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Karkkila vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 107-73
30-13 36-19 16-25 25-16
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#8
Record4-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game75.1
FinlandI Divisioona A
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
HBA-Marsky Helsinki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 84
A24/10
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
96-64
96
64
+32
90avg 84
H02/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 84
A07/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
84avg 84
H16/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
53avg 84
A23/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
78avg 84
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
109-79
109
79
+30
106avg 84
A04/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 84
A12/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 84
H21/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
102-63
102
63
+39
93avg 84
A08/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
21-14
19-13
16-14
22-14
17-11
33-13
24-26
23-14
15-29
29-21
26-26
28-21
25-16
16-20
28-23
19-22
22-10
18-23
11-25
26-16
24-24
25-22
17-26
31-24
26-23
29-17
23-15
21-26
23-21
26-25
27-12
22-17
21-15
18-19
21-17
28-16
22-22
30-13
22-12
167.9Avg total
91.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.976.5168.4+15.483%
Season at home (5)94.873.2168.0+21.6100%
Season away (7)89.978.9168.7+11.071%
Last 10 (10)91.376.6167.9+14.790%
Last 5 (5)96.476.4172.8+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.085.8156.8-14.812%
vs Similar (4)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.874.4167.2+18.490%
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Karkkila
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 71
H24/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
54-60
54
60
-6
42avg 71
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
56avg 71
H07/11
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
96-63
96
63
+33
88avg 71
A13/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
79-100
79
100
-21
68avg 71
A21/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-85
95
85
+10
94avg 71
H28/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
76avg 71
A05/12
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
59avg 71
H10/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 71
A19/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
75-55
75
55
+20
65avg 71
H09/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
14-21
13-19
14-16
5-5
17-27
18-9
14-19
17-19
18-10
19-16
21-32
20-15
20-20
29-18
27-10
20-29
20-22
14-34
25-15
24-12
16-19
25-27
30-27
19-31
27-25
13-25
21-14
26-17
11-17
16-19
16-16
18-22
20-18
22-18
13-16
22-12
23-16
14-21
16-6
154.5Avg total
77.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.975.1152.0+1.833%
Season at home (6)76.875.0151.8+1.833%
Season away (6)77.075.2152.2+1.833%
Last 10 (10)77.876.7154.5+1.130%
Last 5 (5)80.878.4159.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.488.8170.2-7.515%
vs Similar (8)79.182.0161.1-2.938%
vs Weaker (9)83.671.7155.2+11.967%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
KarkkilaHBA-Marsky Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H02/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H16/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A23/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A04/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/01
I Divisioona A
83.9Avg total
45.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.277.4+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.036.476.4+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.539.878.3-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.483.9+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.889.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.839.975.7-4.125%-
vs Similar (4)36.033.269.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.937.683.5+8.370%-
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karkkila
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/11
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/11
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A21/11
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/11
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A05/12
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H10/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A19/12
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H09/01
I Divisioona A
76.2Avg total
38.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.783.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.538.880.4+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)42.743.986.6-1.241%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.676.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.879.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.744.888.5-1.146%-
vs Similar (8)38.444.082.4-5.612%-
vs Weaker (9)43.435.378.8+8.178%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.4
54.8%
51.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.9
36.5%
30.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.013.6
64.8%
67.7%13.6
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
HBA-Marsky Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA-Marsky Helsinki: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.4
48.1%
51.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.3
27.3%
30.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.713.3
64.3%
67.7%13.3
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karkkila
WWWWWLWWWW
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
WLLLWLWLLL
#3
League position
#8
+17.2
Net rating
+0.2
111.2
Offensive rating
91.4
94.0
Defensive rating
91.2
54.8%
Effective FG%
45.0%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
21.6%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
27.3%
49.2%
Assist %
61.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 91.4Defence94.0 · 91.2Shooting54.8% · 45.0%3-point %36.5% · 27.3%Ball care16.6% · 21.6%Off. rebounds32.0% · 33.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Karkkila   ■ HBA-Marsky Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Karkkila wins
0
HBA-Marsky Helsinki wins
DateGameScore
24/10/25HBA-Marsky Helsinki v Karkkila70-75
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ALappeenranta102-63
21/12/25HRaholan Pyrkiva82-68
12/12/25AToPo Helsinki97-84
04/12/25APyrinto Akatemia109-79
29/11/25HACO Basket92-88
23/11/25AHelsingin NMKY70-80
16/11/25HHuima97-80
07/11/25AJyvaskyla93-90
02/11/25HRaiders Basket96-64
24/10/25AHBA-Marsky Helsinki75-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HPyrinto Akatemia75-55
19/12/25AHelsingin NMKY73-74
10/12/25HHuima81-83 OT
05/12/25AJyvaskyla80-95
28/11/25HRaiders Basket95-85
21/11/25AToPo Helsinki79-100
13/11/25ALappeenranta96-63
07/11/25HKipina75-77
01/11/25ARaholan Pyrkiva54-60
24/10/25HKarkkila70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%100%71%
Points / game91.994.889.9
Allowed / game76.573.278.9
Point differential+15.4+21.6+11.0
Avg total168.4168.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%80%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.976.877.0
Allowed / game75.175.075.2
Point differential+1.8+1.8+1.8
Avg total152.0151.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket1312192%93.569.3+24.2
2 Karkkila1210283%91.976.5+15.4
3 Kipina129375%93.287.6+5.6
4 Jyvaskyla139469%83.377.9+5.4
5 ToPo Helsinki138562%83.979.7+4.2
6 Raholan Pyrkiva148657%77.076.1+0.9
7 Helsingin NMKY137654%79.884.1-4.3
8 Pyrinto Akatemia145936%79.388.2-8.9
9 HBA-Marsky Helsinki124833%76.975.1+1.8
10 Huima123925%77.687.2-9.7
11 Lappeenranta1421214%74.587.9-13.4
12 Raiders Basket141137%71.488.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karkkila30361625107
HBA-Marsky Helsinki1319251673
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