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Karpos vs KK Skopje 2023 Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 80-86
Projected total 165.9
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game83.3
Vs
31%
69%
■ KAP 31%■ KK S 69%
Pythia win probability
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game90.0
MacedoniaSuperleagueRound 7· SC Dzekson
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 15 November 2026 the Superleague will see Karpos host KK Skopje 2023, with the model favouring the visitors at 69% to 31% for the home side; the projected score is 80-86 and the total is 165.9 points. Karpos, 8th in the league, has a 2-4 record over six games, scoring 75.0 points per game while conceding 83.3, and at home they are 1-2 with 76.3 points for and 86.3 against; their last five games included two wins and three losses, with a recent 92-87 away win over Pelister, a 87-81 home win over Strumica, and a 70-84 loss to TFT Skopje. KK Skopje 2023, 10th in the standings, is 1-5 overall, averaging 84.8 points and allowing 90.0, and on the road they are 0-2 with 96.0 points for and 101.5 against; their last five games were one win and four losses, and recent results show defeats to MZT Skopje, Rabotnicki and Pelister. The model also estimates a 5% chance of overtime. The game will test KK Skopje 2023's resilience as they look to improve on a season of heavy defeats.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos win
31.4%fair 3.18
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KK Skopje 2023 win
68.6%fair 1.46
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarpos
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#5
L
81-94
81
94
-13
no box
H25/04
Superleague
Pelister
#8
L
83-99
83
99
-16
no box
H28/04
Superleague
Strumica
#12
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A02/05
Superleague
Shkupi Skopje
#10
W
121-91
121
91
+30
no box
H05/05
Superleague
Tikvesh
#3
L
65-93
65
93
-28
52avg 52
H03/10
Superleague
MKK Kumanovo
#5
L
59-70
59
70
-11
no box
A10/10
Superleague
Kozuv
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
H17/10
Superleague
TFT Skopje
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A24/10
Superleague
Strumica
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
H31/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A08/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
24-21
16-25
27-21
24-25
21-22
22-24
16-28
23-24
19-19
20-13
16-10
31-19
31-24
34-18
25-30
9-30
20-20
24-18
12-25
21-15
13-14
13-22
12-19
19-19
21-20
17-26
20-20
16-18
15-26
21-17
18-23
15-11
25-26
25-24
22-20
24-21
24-17
19-22
25-27
166.3Avg total
81.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.083.3158.3-8.333%
Season at home (3)76.386.3162.7-10.033%
Season away (3)73.780.3154.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)81.385.0166.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)77.081.4158.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)76.494.8171.2-18.312%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (3)80.779.7160.3+1.067%
This opponent (KK Skopje 2023) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK Skopje 2023MacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2023
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
no box
H12/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A17/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A20/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
H24/05
Superleague
Kozuv
#6
L
95-101
95
101
-6
95avg 91
H04/10
Superleague
TFT Skopje
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
88avg 91
A08/10
Superleague
Strumica
#7
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
H18/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
L
94-101
94
101
-7
no box
A25/10
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
H31/10
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#2
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
H08/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
9-15
17-16
16-14
26-18
14-27
21-24
16-15
17-23
14-24
22-19
23-15
26-21
16-25
14-16
18-18
24-18
23-24
25-30
23-29
18-30
23-22
22-22
35-28
18-16
22-16
25-16
18-20
26-19
22-23
24-25
22-34
20-17
20-28
20-30
19-14
17-22
22-20
8-16
13-21
166.1Avg total
80.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.890.0174.8-5.217%
Season at home (4)79.284.2163.5-5.025%
Season away (2)96.0101.5197.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)80.785.4166.1-4.720%
Last 5 (5)82.887.8170.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.186.1165.1-7.014%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.479.0161.4+3.467%
vs Weaker (1)101.077.0178.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158
Over 158
68.0%
Under 158
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
56.2%
Under 163
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
43.9%
Under 168
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Karpos total 79.5
Over 79.5
52.0%
Under 79.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpos total 83.5
Over 83.5
36.9%
Under 83.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karpos total 87.5
Over 87.5
23.8%
Under 87.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KK Skopje 2023 total 76
Over 76
83.6%
Under 76
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KK Skopje 2023 total 80
Over 80
71.7%
Under 80
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KK Skopje 2023 total 84
Over 84
56.6%
Under 84
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Karpos -3
KAP -3
23.6%
KK S +3
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
KAP
No market prices yet.
KK S
No market prices yet.
Spread Karpos 0
KAP 0
31.4%
KK S 0
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
KAP
No market prices yet.
KK S
No market prices yet.
Spread Karpos +3
KAP +3
39.5%
KK S -3
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
KAP
No market prices yet.
KK S
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
KarposKK Skopje 2023
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H25/04
Superleague
Pelister
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/04
Superleague
Strumica
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A02/05
Superleague
Shkupi Skopje
#10
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H05/05
Superleague
Tikvesh
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H03/10
Superleague
MKK Kumanovo
#5
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/10
Superleague
Kozuv
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
Superleague
TFT Skopje
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A24/10
Superleague
Strumica
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H31/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A08/11
Superleague
82.7Avg total
40.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.447.786.1-9.321%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.549.188.7-9.620%-
Last 30 away (14)37.146.283.4-9.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.882.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)39.248.087.2-8.824%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (3)36.744.381.0-7.70%-
This opponent (KK Skopje 2023) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK Skopje 2023Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H12/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A20/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H24/05
Superleague
Kozuv
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/10
Superleague
TFT Skopje
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/10
Superleague
Strumica
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H18/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A25/10
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/10
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/11
Superleague
83.8Avg total
40.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.839.980.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.740.980.6-1.233%-
Last 30 away (12)42.038.980.9+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.283.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.684.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.642.381.9-2.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.736.778.3+5.078%-
vs Weaker (1)50.036.086.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.6
47.0%
56.4%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
71.8%11.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Skopje 2023their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Skopje 2023: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
56.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.5
39.7%
33.0%43.5
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
71.8%13.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
WWLLLLWWLL
KK Skopje 2023
LLLWLLLLLW
#8
League position
#10
-13.4
Net rating
-5.4
96.2
Offensive rating
104.0
109.6
Defensive rating
109.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.7%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
11.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.1%
3-point %
39.7%
62.5%
Assist %
73.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 104.0Defence109.6 · 109.4Shooting50.1% · 55.7%3-point %36.1% · 39.7%Ball care17.2% · 11.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Karpos   ■ KK Skopje 2023
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
0
KK Skopje 2023 wins
No previous meetings.
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26APelister92-87
31/10/26HStrumica87-81
24/10/26ATFT Skopje70-84
17/10/26HKozuv77-85
10/10/26AMKK Kumanovo59-70
03/10/26HTikvesh65-93
05/05/18HShkupi Skopje121-91
02/05/18AStrumica78-66
28/04/18HPelister83-99
25/04/18HFeni Industries81-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HMZT Skopje60-79
31/10/26HRabotnicki79-89
25/10/26APelister94-101
18/10/26HStrumica83-68
08/10/26ATFT Skopje98-102
04/10/26HKozuv95-101
24/05/26HMZT Skopje74-80
20/05/26AMZT Skopje76-81
17/05/26AMZT Skopje77-84
12/05/26HTFT Skopje71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game75.076.373.7
Allowed / game83.386.380.3
Point differential-8.3-10.0-6.7
Avg total158.3162.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Skopje 2023
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game84.879.296.0
Allowed / game90.084.2101.5
Point differential-5.2-5.0-5.5
Avg total174.8163.5197.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki660100%85.277.3+7.8
2 MZT Skopje65183%78.070.5+7.5
3 Tikvesh74357%77.675.9+1.7
4 TFT Skopje74357%81.980.9+1.0
5 MKK Kumanovo63350%77.375.3+2.0
6 Kozuv73443%84.185.1-1.0
7 Strumica62433%79.280.8-1.7
8 Karpos62433%75.083.3-8.3
9 Pelister72529%78.982.4-3.6
10 KK Skopje 202361517%84.890.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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