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Kentucky vs St. John's (N.Y.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-66
25-32 53-34
Position#107
Record7-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#32
Record7-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. John's (N.Y.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
W
107-59
107
59
+48
H08/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-94
59
94
-35
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
58-26
49-33
46-53
42-43
47-19
52-34
27-44
39-39
50-20
38-26
43-28
61-26
31-31
33-36
20-43
39-51
52-31
51-36
32-39
40-21
152.9Avg total
85.0Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.366.4150.6+17.964%
Season at home (10)83.963.4147.3+20.570%
Season away (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.067.9152.9+17.160%
Last 5 (5)80.468.4148.8+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.891.8164.5-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.679.1157.7-0.550%
vs Weaker (8)94.156.4150.5+37.8100%
This opponent (St. John's (N.Y.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. John's (N.Y.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H21/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H24/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
L
50-94
50
94
-44
A06/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H07/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A12/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H13/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
54-26
41-25
56-24
45-43
37-40
43-34
53-47
39-30
35-55
28-46
22-48
33-25
30-33
31-35
25-45
36-26
55-38
39-28
40-38
150.1Avg total
78.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.174.8156.8+7.358%
Season at home (8)88.669.6158.2+19.075%
Season away (4)69.085.0154.0-16.025%
Last 10 (10)78.172.0150.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)67.872.4140.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.083.0165.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.076.8159.8+6.267%
vs Weaker (23)77.365.9143.2+11.383%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +1.3+1.3
KentuckySt. John's (N.Y.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/12
NCAA
74.0Avg total
40.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.573.6+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.032.171.2+6.965%-
Last 30 away (10)36.242.378.5-6.130%-
Last 10 (10)40.633.474.0+7.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.470.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.847.279.0-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.438.775.1-2.344%-
vs Weaker (8)45.122.667.8+22.5100%-
This opponent (St. John's (N.Y.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. John's (N.Y.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#100
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A25/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A06/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H07/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H17/12
NCAA
70.0Avg total
37.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.969.0+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.932.469.3+4.668%-
Last 30 away (11)37.431.268.5+6.273%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.670.0+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.065.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.043.088.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.737.277.8+3.567%-
vs Weaker (23)35.830.165.9+5.770%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
St. John's (N.Y.) wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HIndiana72-60
10/12/25HN. Carolina Central103-67
06/12/25HGonzaga59-94
03/12/25HNorth Carolina64-67
27/11/25HTennessee Tech104-54
22/11/25HLoyola Maryland88-46
18/11/25HMichigan State66-83
15/11/25HEastern Illinois99-53
12/11/25ALouisville88-96
08/11/25HValparaiso107-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HDePaul79-66
13/12/25HIona91-64
12/12/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)56-80
07/12/25HOle Miss63-58
06/12/25AColgate50-94
27/11/25AAuburn74-85
25/11/25ABaylor96-81
24/11/25HIowa State82-83
21/11/25HBucknell97-49
15/11/25HWilliam & Mary93-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11101
Win %64%70%0%
Points / game84.383.988.0
Allowed / game66.463.496.0
Point differential+17.9+20.5-8.0
Avg total150.6147.3184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%70%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. John's (N.Y.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%75%25%
Points / game82.188.669.0
Allowed / game74.869.685.0
Point differential+7.3+19.0-16.0
Avg total156.8158.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt11110100%93.772.6+21.1
2 Georgia1110191%99.571.6+27.9
3 LSU1110191%87.570.1+17.5
4 Missouri1210283%86.869.8+16.9
5 Arkansas119282%89.973.2+16.7
6 Texas A&M118373%92.976.7+16.2
7 Tennessee118373%81.165.6+15.5
8 Alabama118373%94.182.0+12.1
9 Oklahoma118373%85.174.4+10.7
10 Auburn118373%86.576.8+9.6
11 Texas128467%87.471.3+16.1
12 Kentucky117464%84.366.4+17.9
13 Florida117464%83.871.2+12.6
14 South Carolina117464%78.468.2+10.2
15 Ole Miss117464%75.467.7+7.6
16 Mississippi St.117464%80.977.1+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1211192%79.061.7+17.3
2 Seton Hall1211192%76.262.1+14.1
3 Villanova119282%80.067.9+12.1
4 Butler118373%87.476.3+11.1
5 Georgetown118373%78.273.6+4.5
6 DePaul128467%76.468.8+7.7
7 Xavier128467%76.673.7+2.9
8 St. John's (N.Y.)127558%82.174.8+7.3
9 Creighton116555%76.771.2+5.5
10 Providence137654%89.883.7+6.1
11 Marquette125742%78.176.8+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky255378
St. John's (N.Y.)323466
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