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Kerasus vs Egospor Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Projected 82-73
Projected total 155.7
In play
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game67.8
Kerasus
Turkey
Vs
78%
22%
■ KERA 78%■ EGOS 22%
Pythia win probability
Egospor
Turkey
Position#18
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.8
TurkeyTB2LRound 6· Giresun
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Kerasus hosts Egospor on 15 November 2026 in the TB2L, with the Pythia model naming Kerasus the favourite at 78% to 22%, a reflection of their 3-2 record and 72.0 points per game compared to Egospor's 1-3 record and 76.5 points per game; Kerasus' 5-game average of 67.8 points allowed versus Egospor's 80.8 shows a defensive edge that the model weighs heavily. Kerasus are unbeaten at home, 2-0 with 81.5 points per game and 65.5 allowed, while Egospor are 1-1 on the road, 80.5 points per game and 78.5 allowed; in the last five games Kerasus have won three and lost two, whereas Egospor have won one and lost four, a trend that the model captures in its 66% probability that Kerasus will cover the -4.5 line and a 62% chance of the over on the 150.5 total. The projected score is 82-73, with a total of 155.7 points, and the game carries a 4% chance of overtime. The most recent result for Kerasus was a 73-77 loss to Bayrampasa on 7 November, while Egospor's last game was a 63-77 defeat to Bayrampasa on 30 October.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kerasus win
78.2%fair 1.28
Best odds1.52
Implied62.2%
Edge+16.0pp
Egospor win
21.8%fair 4.58
Best odds2.50
Implied37.8%
Edge-16.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KerasusTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKerasus
Date
Competition
High Touch
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
85avg 67
A06/03
TB2L
Karatay Bld.
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
87avg 67
H14/03
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
L
73-91
73
91
-18
61avg 67
H04/04
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
64avg 67
A07/04
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 67
H10/04
TB2L
Akhisar Belediye
#9
W
66-53
66
53
+13
64avg 67
A09/10
TB2L
Petkim Spor 2
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
no box
H16/10
TB2L
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#2
L
58-78
58
78
-20
no box
A24/10
TB2L
High Touch
#14
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H01/11
TB2L
Bayrampasa
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
A07/11
TB2L
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-17
27-21
26-23
26-13
20-18
26-25
16-19
20-29
14-14
23-21
16-27
19-24
20-16
13-10
15-13
24-15
18-19
9-18
11-19
20-9
15-10
15-18
16-16
16-24
24-14
23-10
12-15
19-20
11-20
14-17
14-21
22-18
23-21
25-15
18-14
10-14
22-19
21-27
20-17
145.8Avg total
73.8Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.067.8139.8+4.260%
Season at home (2)81.565.5147.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)65.769.3135.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)73.872.0145.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)72.067.8139.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.078.0136.0-20.00%
vs Similar (16)73.971.9145.8+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)72.468.2140.7+4.278%
This opponent (Egospor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EgosporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEgospor
Date
Competition
Haznedar Doruk
#20
W
88-67
88
67
+21
81avg 74
A24/01
TB2L
Ege Universitesi
#13
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
70avg 74
H06/02
TB2L
Beylikduzu
#17
W
106-73
106
73
+33
109avg 74
H20/02
TB2L
Eskisehir BK
#11
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 74
A27/02
TB2L
Kecioren Baglum
#2
L
70-90
70
90
-20
56avg 74
H06/03
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
73avg 74
A14/03
TB2L
Petkim Spor 2
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A11/10
TB2L
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H16/10
TB2L
High Touch
#14
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A24/10
TB2L
Bayrampasa
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
H30/10
TB2L
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-12
21-18
23-16
14-21
12-23
21-12
25-16
28-22
22-27
27-13
29-11
21-20
13-13
16-23
17-20
16-25
20-21
10-26
24-18
20-30
18-13
20-23
20-18
10-14
27-25
26-20
15-29
27-25
20-19
21-27
14-18
24-20
20-9
22-16
17-24
21-21
10-24
16-16
16-16
160.1Avg total
79.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.580.8157.2-4.225%
Season at home (2)72.583.0155.5-10.50%
Season away (2)80.578.5159.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.980.2160.1-0.330%
Last 5 (5)76.881.4158.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.683.1156.7-9.516%
vs Similar (5)77.476.8154.2+0.660%
vs Weaker (6)74.864.0138.8+10.867%
This opponent (Kerasus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145.5
Over 145.5
72.9%
Under 145.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 150.5 · main line
Over 150.5
61.9%
@ 1.83+11.9pp
Under 150.5
38.1%
@ 1.83-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 155.5
Over 155.5
49.8%
Under 155.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kerasus total 73.5
Over 73.5
80.8%
Under 73.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerasus total 77.5 · main line
Over 77.5
68.2%
@ 1.91+18.7pp
Under 77.5
31.8%
@ 1.83-18.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
Kerasus total 81.5
Over 81.5
53.0%
Under 81.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egospor total 69.5
Over 69.5
64.4%
Under 69.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egospor total 73.5 · main line
Over 73.5
49.1%
@ 1.87-0.1pp
Under 73.5
50.9%
@ 1.83+0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Egospor total 77.5
Over 77.5
34.1%
Under 77.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kerasus -7.5
KERA -7.5
55.0%
EGOS +7.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
KERA
No market prices yet.
EGOS
No market prices yet.
Spread Kerasus -4.5 · main line
KERA -4.5
66.0%
@ 1.85+16.0pp
EGOS +4.5
34.0%
@ 1.83-16.0pp
Best 5 market prices
KERA
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
EGOS
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Kerasus -1.5
KERA -1.5
76.0%
EGOS +1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
KERA
No market prices yet.
EGOS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
KerasusEgospor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KerasusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Touch
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/03
TB2L
Karatay Bld.
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H14/03
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H04/04
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/04
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/04
TB2L
Akhisar Belediye
#9
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A09/10
TB2L
Petkim Spor 2
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/10
TB2L
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/10
TB2L
High Touch
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/11
TB2L
Bayrampasa
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A07/11
TB2L
73.2Avg total
37.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74.5
Last 30 (26)36.733.570.2+3.265%42%
Last 30 at home (13)40.133.974.0+6.285%69%
Last 30 away (13)33.333.066.3+0.346%15%
Last 10 (10)37.835.473.2+2.450%60%
Last 5 (5)36.433.870.2+2.660%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.040.070.0-10.00%0%
vs Similar (16)37.433.971.3+3.669%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.132.068.1+4.167%33%
This opponent (Egospor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EgosporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haznedar Doruk
#20
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A24/01
TB2L
Ege Universitesi
#13
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H06/02
TB2L
Beylikduzu
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H20/02
TB2L
Eskisehir BK
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/02
TB2L
Kecioren Baglum
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/03
TB2L
Kutahya Bld.
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/03
TB2L
Petkim Spor 2
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/10
TB2L
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H16/10
TB2L
High Touch
#14
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A24/10
TB2L
Bayrampasa
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H30/10
TB2L
79.2Avg total
38.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74.5
Last 30 (29)36.641.477.9-4.824%62%
Last 30 at home (14)36.943.079.9-6.121%64%
Last 30 away (15)36.339.976.1-3.627%60%
Last 10 (10)38.740.579.2-1.850%70%
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.640%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.442.478.7-6.016%68%
vs Similar (5)34.040.274.2-6.220%40%
vs Weaker (5)39.838.878.6+1.060%60%
This opponent (Kerasus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
KERA win
no forecast
@ 1.60
EGOS win
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Spread Kerasus -2.5 · main line
KERA -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
EGOS +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 74.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Kerasus 1st half total 38.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Egospor 1st half total 36.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: KERA + total 74.5
KERA & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
KERA & under
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half: Draw + total 74.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
KERA
no forecast
@ 1.65
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
EGOS
no forecast
@ 2.27

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KERA win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
EGOS win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KERA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: EGOS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Kerasus (regulation)75.9%1.49
1xBet
1.49		----+18.3pp
Kerasus win78.2%1.49
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.47
SBO
1.46		+16.0pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 1 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kerasustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kerasus: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 61.1 points a game
51%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.0
47.6%
48.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.6
30.7%
27.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
62.3%14.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Egosportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Egospor: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 61.1 points a game
51%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.2
49.3%
48.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.5
33.2%
27.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.9
68.8%
62.3%13.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kerasus
LWLWWLWLWW
Egospor
LWLLLLLWLW
#7
League position
#18
+1.6
Net rating
+1.5
82.6
Offensive rating
93.1
81.0
Defensive rating
91.6
46.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.7%
3-point %
33.2%
67.1%
Assist %
66.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 93.1Defence81.0 · 91.6Shooting46.9% · 49.6%3-point %30.7% · 33.2%Ball care18.5% · 15.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Kerasus   ■ Egospor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kerasus wins
0
Egospor wins
No previous meetings.
Kerasuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABayrampasa73-77
01/11/26HHigh Touch88-68
24/10/26AKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor58-78
16/10/26HPetkim Spor 275-63
09/10/26AAkhisar Belediye66-53
10/04/26HKutahya Bld.62-71
07/04/26AKutahya Bld.67-63
04/04/26HKutahya Bld.73-91
14/03/26HKaratay Bld.88-75
06/03/26AHigh Touch88-81
Egosporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBayrampasa63-77
24/10/26AHigh Touch83-69
16/10/26HKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor82-89
11/10/26APetkim Spor 278-88
14/03/26AKutahya Bld.78-84
06/03/26HKecioren Baglum70-90
27/02/26AEskisehir BK67-76
20/02/26HBeylikduzu106-73
06/02/26HEge Universitesi84-89 OT
24/01/26AHaznedar Doruk88-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kerasus
TB2L 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game72.081.565.7
Allowed / game67.865.569.3
Point differential+4.2+16.0-3.7
Avg total139.8147.0135.0
Over 150.520%50%0%
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Egospor
TB2L 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game76.572.580.5
Allowed / game80.883.078.5
Point differential-4.2-10.5+2.0
Avg total157.2155.5159.0
Over 150.575%50%100%
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom 2440100%78.567.5+11.0
2 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor65183%85.572.0+13.5
3 Manisa65183%81.268.3+12.8
4 Karatay Bld.54180%86.276.8+9.4
5 Bayrampasa54180%74.871.8+3.0
6 Petkim Spor 264267%75.267.3+7.8
7 Kerasus53260%72.067.8+4.2
8 Konya BBSK 253260%69.465.2+4.2
9 Akhisar Belediye53260%69.265.2+4.0
10 ITU53260%86.083.2+2.8
11 Corlu63350%75.371.2+4.2
12 Tesvikiye63350%72.077.3-5.3
13 Ilkler Sehri Usak52340%73.872.0+1.8
14 High Touch52340%73.877.0-3.2
15 Kutahya Bld.52340%75.479.6-4.2
16 Corum62433%70.274.0-3.8
17 Haznedar Doruk62433%66.070.5-4.5
18 Egospor41325%76.580.8-4.2
19 Titan Akademi41325%74.282.8-8.5
20 Antalya51420%73.277.0-3.8
21 Istanbul BB5050%68.090.0-22.0
22 Beylikduzu5050%63.287.6-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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