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KFUM Kalmar vs Eskilstuna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-83
19-19 18-18 19-19 23-27
Position#14
Record4-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#13
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game89.3
SwedenSuperettan· Kalmar Sportcenter (Kalmar)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KFUM Kalmar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eskilstuna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
60avg 66
A15/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 66
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 66
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 66
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
86avg 66
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 66
H09/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
81-103
81
103
-22
68avg 66
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
70avg 66
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
108-80
108
80
+28
116avg 66
H06/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
19-27
14-21
20-15
26-16
13-22
23-14
24-20
27-30
22-18
18-21
11-19
17-15
15-31
20-15
18-18
19-12
24-29
15-28
30-19
19-23
17-26
23-15
24-14
23-25
16-21
12-17
31-24
18-23
24-27
20-29
19-24
27-20
19-18
19-15
22-18
33-15
22-21
22-26
31-18
166.3Avg total
83.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.482.5157.9-7.127%
Season at home (7)84.687.0171.6-2.429%
Season away (8)67.478.5145.9-11.125%
Last 10 (10)83.283.1166.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)88.283.8172.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)76.490.9167.3-14.517%
vs Similar ◀ (3)66.780.3147.0-13.70%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 58
H22/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
68avg 58
H28/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
60-93
60
93
-33
41avg 58
H05/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
89-107
89
107
-18
82avg 58
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 58
H18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
50avg 58
A02/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
58-83
58
83
-25
36avg 58
H09/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
70-88
70
88
-18
54avg 58
A17/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
76-102
76
102
-26
53avg 58
A06/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 58
H10/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
11-24
19-12
17-19
12-17
17-19
26-17
28-24
9-21
21-18
12-32
18-22
21-27
12-25
30-27
26-28
32-18
20-18
16-24
13-27
21-25
6-23
27-20
16-20
17-26
14-18
7-27
20-12
23-22
14-28
17-22
16-16
22-23
17-31
14-28
23-20
22-30
25-26
12-25
24-24
164.0Avg total
73.3Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.589.3161.8-16.814%
Season at home (7)72.484.0156.4-11.629%
Season away (7)72.694.6167.1-22.00%
Last 10 (10)73.390.7164.0-17.410%
Last 5 (5)71.493.2164.6-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.489.4163.9-15.012%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.779.5164.2+5.267%
vs Weaker (8)93.287.5180.8+5.862%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
KFUM KalmarEskilstuna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A15/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H09/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/01
Superettan
84.4Avg total
41.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.644.882.4-7.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.446.485.9-7.029%-
Last 30 away (16)35.943.479.4-7.519%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.384.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.887.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.646.183.8-8.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.740.777.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H22/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H05/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A02/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A17/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A06/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/01
Superettan
81.3Avg total
35.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.184.5-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.582.6+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.786.4-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.246.181.3-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)36.250.486.6-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.544.582.0-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.737.780.3+5.050%-
vs Weaker (8)48.144.592.6+3.675%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.1
53.2%
50.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.3
38.6%
31.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.39.7
63.4%
66.9%9.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.1
46.6%
50.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.09.4
27.6%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws14.910.1
67.8%
66.9%10.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KFUM Kalmar
WWLLWLLLWL
Eskilstuna
LLLLLLLLWL
#14
League position
#13
-2.7
Net rating
-20.7
101.4
Offensive rating
87.3
104.1
Defensive rating
108.0
55.2%
Effective FG%
44.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
22.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.6%
3-point %
27.6%
56.8%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 87.3Defence104.1 · 108.0Shooting55.2% · 44.1%3-point %38.6% · 27.6%Ball care22.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.5% · 20.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ KFUM Kalmar   ■ Eskilstuna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
KFUM Kalmar wins
1
Eskilstuna wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Eskilstuna v KFUM Kalmar79-66
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HAIK Basket108-80
17/12/23ARIG Mark87-71
16/12/23AHogsbo81-103
09/12/23HTureberg82-87
18/11/23ASloga Uppsala83-78
11/11/23HKFUM Fryshuset93-96 OT
04/11/23HRIG Mark70-79
29/10/23HOckelbo78-88
21/10/23HSloga Uppsala86-72
15/10/23AAIK Basket64-77
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HKFUM Fryshuset83-105
06/01/24AHogsbo76-102
17/12/23AHuddinge70-88
09/12/23HHelsingborg58-83
02/12/23ATureberg70-88
18/11/23HRIG Mark81-87
11/11/23ASloga Uppsala89-107
05/11/23HWetterbygden Stars60-93
28/10/23HNorrort83-77
22/10/23HIK Eos63-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW27%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game75.484.667.4
Allowed / game82.587.078.5
Point differential-7.1-2.4-11.1
Avg total157.9171.6145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Eskilstuna
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game72.572.472.6
Allowed / game89.384.094.6
Point differential-16.8-11.6-22.0
Avg total161.8156.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1815383%85.678.9+6.7
2 Hogsbo1712571%90.579.6+10.9
3 Tureberg1611569%78.673.4+5.2
4 Huddinge1711665%81.375.6+5.7
5 Wetterbygden Stars1811761%79.974.8+5.1
6 Helsingborg2012860%87.879.2+8.6
7 Sloga Uppsala158753%77.380.7-3.4
8 KFUM Fryshuset1910953%86.587.2-0.7
9 Djurgarden1991047%85.986.5-0.5
10 Ockelbo178947%71.774.2-2.5
11 IK Eos157847%79.780.7-1.1
12 Malbas1871139%73.277.7-4.4
13 KFUM Kalmar1541127%75.482.5-7.1
14 Norrort1641225%72.377.6-5.3
15 RIG Mark1641225%69.075.8-6.8
16 Eskilstuna1421214%72.589.3-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KFUM Kalmar1918192379
Eskilstuna1918192783
← all games of the day
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