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Khimki M. vs Bars Rostov Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record16-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#15
Record0-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game87.3
RussiaSuper League· Khimki Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Khimki M. v Bars Rostov
08 Oct 2024
KHM71
BARS61
21 Dec 2023
KHM75
BARS60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bars Rostov win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Khimki M.
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.6
86.8▲ 8.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.0
79.6▲ 4.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🔥 Form · Bars Rostov
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.1
72.6▼ 4.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.8
83.6▼ 1.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
Khimki M.RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#3
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A28/01
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow 2
#7
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A31/01
Super League
Tambov
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A03/02
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H09/02
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H12/02
Super League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A21/02
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A06/03
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A09/03
Super League
University-Ugra
#8
W
98-69
98
69
+29
H19/03
Super League
Ufa
#6
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
H22/03
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
18-20
11-20
15-21
10-20
11-9
16-12
24-25
20-24
11-22
17-9
19-18
22-21
32-24
20-18
32-24
35-15
15-31
23-24
29-17
14-19
27-13
29-20
16-23
20-17
11-21
20-20
26-25
19-19
22-22
24-20
15-15
28-19
27-17
22-18
21-15
19-13
20-16
13-26
22-19
163.2Avg total
83.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.173.9152.0+4.359%
Season at home (13)85.577.8163.4+7.762%
Season away (14)71.370.2141.5+1.157%
Last 10 (10)83.479.8163.2+3.650%
Last 5 (5)86.879.6166.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.073.0143.0-3.050%
vs Similar (12)76.175.1151.2+1.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.673.6154.3+7.071%
This opponent (Bars Rostov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bars RostovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tambov
#13
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H25/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#2
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A29/10
Russian Cup
Metallurg
#11
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A02/11
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A05/11
Super League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H15/11
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
L
67-78 OT
67
78
-11
H06/12
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H14/12
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H17/12
Super League
University-Ugra
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A23/12
Super League
Ufa
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A26/12
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-22
14-27
12-21
29-26
13-23
21-30
9-16
12-21
18-22
14-30
21-21
19-20
21-24
21-34
13-13
28-28
19-19
12-17
16-21
18-22
13-9
21-13
13-21
21-21
18-23
22-18
14-18
20-28
24-20
20-22
15-25
21-22
21-19
10-23
24-16
15-25
25-19
14-17
12-24
158.5Avg total
71.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.887.3160.1-14.50%
Season at home (8)74.187.1161.2-13.00%
Season away (6)71.087.5158.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)71.786.8158.5-15.10%
Last 5 (5)72.683.6156.2-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.589.3162.8-15.80%
vs Similar (12)80.479.3159.8+1.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.7-4.7
Khimki M.Bars Rostov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/01
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow 2
#7
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A31/01
Super League
Tambov
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A03/02
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H09/02
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H12/02
Super League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A21/02
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A06/03
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/03
Super League
University-Ugra
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H19/03
Super League
Ufa
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/03
Super League
78.9Avg total
40.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.574.7+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.338.680.9+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)34.734.669.2+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.878.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.276.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.036.074.0+2.075%-
vs Similar (12)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.535.676.1+4.971%-
This opponent (Bars Rostov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bars RostovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tambov
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A29/10
Russian Cup
Metallurg
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/11
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A05/11
Super League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/11
Super League
Khimki M.
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H06/12
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/12
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H17/12
Super League
University-Ugra
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/12
Super League
Ufa
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/12
Super League
82.5Avg total
39.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.681.8-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.443.985.2-2.525%-
Last 30 away (14)36.841.177.9-4.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.882.5-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.144.784.7-4.617%-
vs Similar (12)38.039.477.4-1.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.3
56.4%
-40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.2
30.6%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws17.714.0
79.1%
-14.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bars Rostovtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Khimki M. wins
1
Bars Rostov wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Bars Rostov v Khimki M.67-78 OT
17/01/25Bars Rostov v Khimki M.84-94 OT
08/10/24Khimki M. v Bars Rostov71-61
21/12/23Khimki M. v Bars Rostov75-60
18/10/23Bars Rostov v Khimki M.73-65
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HUfa93-95 OT
19/03/26HUniversity-Ugra98-69
09/03/26AIzhevsk80-76
06/03/26ATemp Sumz Revda77-83
21/02/26ADynamo Vladivostok86-75
12/02/26HMetallurg102-87
09/02/26HChelyabinsk106-87
03/02/26ATambov67-73
31/01/26ACSKA Moscow 261-66
28/01/26AMBA Moscow64-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25AUfa66-85
23/12/25AUniversity-Ugra76-80
17/12/25HTemp Sumz Revda79-95
14/12/25HIzhevsk75-80
06/12/25HKhimki M.67-78 OT
15/11/25HDynamo Vladivostok75-85
05/11/25AChelyabinsk74-91
02/11/25AMetallurg65-94
29/10/25AUniversity-Ugra72-95
25/10/25HTambov68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Super League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%62%57%
Points / game78.185.571.3
Allowed / game73.977.870.2
Point differential+4.3+7.7+1.1
Avg total152.0163.4141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)29% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Bars Rostov
Super League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.874.171.0
Allowed / game87.387.187.5
Point differential-14.5-13.0-16.5
Avg total160.1161.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chelyabinsk2719870%86.078.3+7.8
2 Dynamo Vladivostok2719870%86.381.7+4.6
3 Temp Sumz Revda2718967%84.676.4+8.2
4 Dynamo Grozny27171063%77.172.7+4.4
5 Ufa27171063%78.177.0+1.1
6 Khimki M.27161159%78.173.9+4.3
7 CSKA Moscow 227161159%79.775.6+4.1
8 University-Ugra27161159%80.380.7-0.4
9 Zenit Petersburg 227131448%82.381.2+1.0
10 Novosibirsk27111641%72.675.6-3.0
11 Metallurg27111641%73.877.1-3.3
12 Izhevsk2791833%76.180.7-4.7
13 Tambov2791833%74.683.5-8.9
14 Barnaul2752219%76.183.8-7.7
15 Bars Rostov140140%72.887.3-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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