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Koln vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-85
32-23 22-24 10-13 27-25
Position#10
Record3-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game76.6
Koln 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#16
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game96.5
GermanyPro ARound 11
Other2016-17
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koln winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KolnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H25/09
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A01/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H04/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A08/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H13/10
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A22/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H28/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A04/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H08/11
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A12/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
26-23
17-17
17-27
12-22
24-22
23-20
13-24
18-13
21-16
24-15
16-16
19-24
15-26
16-15
16-11
15-21
16-19
19-19
26-22
18-21
18-20
13-15
15-23
11-24
22-15
16-21
29-22
18-23
12-10
16-8
19-20
19-14
16-20
18-11
24-20
24-22
18-23
16-18
23-28
150.0Avg total
73.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.476.6150.0-3.230%
Season at home (5)77.274.2151.4+3.040%
Season away (5)69.679.0148.6-9.420%
Last 10 (10)73.476.6150.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)73.075.6148.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.376.8143.1-10.48%
vs Similar (14)72.474.5146.9-2.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.874.0152.8+4.8100%
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gotha
#7
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A01/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
125-130 OT
125
130
-5
H03/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A09/10
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H16/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A22/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H30/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A04/11
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
67-114
67
114
-47
H06/11
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A11/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H16/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
29-23
14-24
12-23
33-21
19-21
26-27
26-35
15-28
29-15
22-22
24-27
33-22
21-22
19-21
18-18
12-14
22-28
15-25
22-30
17-21
28-26
16-24
18-18
22-15
17-37
17-20
23-21
14-23
20-30
16-31
17-30
21-29
21-24
20-25
19-22
17-19
17-15
14-25
17-19
178.2Avg total
81.3Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.196.5178.5-14.49%
Season at home (6)86.297.7183.8-11.517%
Season away (5)77.295.0172.2-17.80%
Last 10 (10)81.396.9178.2-15.610%
Last 5 (5)74.294.8169.0-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.196.5178.5-14.49%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koln) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
KolnDresden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KolnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H25/09
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/10
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H04/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A08/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H13/10
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H28/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/11
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H08/11
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A12/11
Pro A
75.2Avg total
35.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.238.074.1-1.839%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.036.272.2-0.262%-
Last 30 away (15)36.339.575.8-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.475.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.473.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.938.471.3-5.59%-
vs Similar (13)38.038.176.1-0.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.236.575.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gotha
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H03/10
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A09/10
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/10
Pro A
Hanau
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H30/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/11
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H06/11
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A11/11
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H16/11
Pro A
87.3Avg total
41.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)42.545.788.3-3.236%-
Last 30 at home (6)45.044.589.5+0.550%-
Last 30 away (5)39.647.286.8-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.687.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.886.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.545.788.3-3.236%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koln) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koln wins
0
Dresden wins
No previous meetings.
Kolnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16APaderborn81-91
08/11/16HHeidelberg77-65
04/11/16AEhingen65-61
28/10/16HCrailsheim Merlins78-82
22/10/16AMitteldeutscher64-79
13/10/16HChemnitz76-81
08/10/16AHanau66-76
04/10/16HHamburg79-60
01/10/16AKirchheim72-88
25/09/16HTrier76-83
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16HEhingen65-78
11/11/16ABaunach81-100
06/11/16HMitteldeutscher67-114
04/11/16ANurnberger79-93
30/10/16HHanau79-89
22/10/16ACrailsheim Merlins71-97
16/10/16HTrier91-83
09/10/16AEhingen90-92
03/10/16HPaderborn125-130 OT
01/10/16AGotha65-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koln
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game73.477.269.6
Allowed / game76.674.279.0
Point differential-3.2+3.0-9.4
Avg total150.0151.4148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dresden
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game82.186.277.2
Allowed / game96.597.795.0
Point differential-14.4-11.5-17.8
Avg total178.5183.8172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher1110191%85.769.9+15.8
2 Kirchheim1110191%81.875.4+6.5
3 Crailsheim Merlins119282%83.772.1+11.6
4 Hanau117464%76.071.1+4.9
5 Chemnitz117464%74.371.0+3.3
6 Heidelberg117464%71.569.6+1.9
7 Paderborn116555%81.881.1+0.7
8 Gotha105550%75.069.6+5.4
9 Trier115645%75.772.8+2.9
10 Hamburg114736%73.276.0-2.8
11 Baunach114736%71.479.5-8.2
12 Ehingen124833%72.277.8-5.7
13 Koln103730%73.476.6-3.2
14 Nurnberger103730%72.378.0-5.7
15 Essen112918%70.383.2-12.9
16 Dresden111109%82.196.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koln3222102791
Dresden2324132585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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