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Koln vs Erfurt Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-68 (OT)
13-14 14-17 17-17 13-9 21-11
Position#23
Record3-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game81.8
Koln 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#19
Record8-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.9
GermanyPro BRound 17
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koln winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Erfurt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KolnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coburg
#15
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A03/11
Pro B
Rhondorf
#22
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H10/11
Pro B
Erfurt
#19
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A18/11
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H24/11
Pro B
Frankfurt 2
#6
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A01/12
Pro B
TG Wurzburg
#20
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H08/12
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H15/12
Pro B
Rhondorf
#22
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A22/12
Pro B
Coburg
#15
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
H05/01
Pro B
Panthers Schwenningen
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A13/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-25
17-31
21-24
11-18
15-18
21-21
20-20
–
–
–
–
22-20
19-21
13-18
20-26
12-19
20-22
12-18
11-18
18-14
19-10
16-20
17-16
18-24
21-29
14-22
15-22
23-19
22-21
17-32
27-13
21-25
19-23
25-19
19-17
15-24
17-18
15-16
18-24
159.4Avg total
74.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.981.8153.8-9.919%
Season at home (8)72.678.9151.5-6.225%
Season away (8)71.284.8156.0-13.512%
Last 10 (10)74.285.2159.4-11.020%
Last 5 (5)78.485.0163.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.582.6154.1-11.015%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.379.0152.3-5.750%
vs Weaker (4)76.867.2144.0+9.5100%
This opponent (Erfurt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ErfurtGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H04/11
Pro B
Panthers Schwenningen
#7
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A11/11
Pro B
Koln
#23
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H18/11
Pro B
Bayern 2
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A24/11
Pro B
TG Wurzburg
#20
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H02/12
Pro B
Panthers Schwenningen
#7
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H09/12
Pro B
TG Wurzburg
#20
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
A15/12
Pro B
Bayern 2
#12
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H23/12
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A06/01
Pro B
Rhondorf
#22
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A12/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-21
19-18
20-28
17-25
23-13
16-17
9-10
–
–
–
–
25-15
18-22
24-21
18-16
14-14
21-12
26-27
30-28
23-9
21-23
21-8
11-21
23-16
15-16
13-11
15-23
23-19
16-16
20-5
16-26
12-21
17-22
12-15
25-31
22-23
27-31
22-17
16-17
158.7Avg total
81.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.477.9153.3-2.450%
Season at home (8)74.975.5150.4-0.662%
Season away (8)76.080.2156.2-4.238%
Last 10 (10)81.277.5158.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)77.876.6154.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.676.6151.2-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.081.8159.8-3.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koln) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
KolnErfurt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KolnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coburg
#15
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/11
Pro B
Rhondorf
#22
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H10/11
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/11
Pro B
Frankfurt 2
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/12
Pro B
TG Wurzburg
#20
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H08/12
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H15/12
Pro B
Rhondorf
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/12
Pro B
Coburg
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H05/01
Pro B
Panthers Schwenningen
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/01
Pro B
78.2Avg total
36.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.741.077.7-4.232%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.272.1-2.340%-
Last 30 away (13)38.845.384.2-6.523%-
Last 10 (9)36.941.378.2-4.422%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.441.777.1-6.321%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.046.286.2-6.240%-
vs Weaker (4)38.831.069.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Erfurt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ErfurtLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/11
Pro B
Panthers Schwenningen
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
Pro B
Bayern 2
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A24/11
Pro B
TG Wurzburg
#20
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/12
Pro B
Panthers Schwenningen
#7
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H09/12
Pro B
TG Wurzburg
#20
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A15/12
Pro B
Bayern 2
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H23/12
Pro B
Giessen Rackelos 2
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/01
Pro B
Rhondorf
#22
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A12/01
Pro B
77.4Avg total
40.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)37.038.375.3-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.333.772.0+4.767%-
Last 30 away (8)36.041.877.8-5.838%-
Last 10 (9)40.337.177.4+3.278%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.279.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.536.873.3-0.464%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.043.782.7-4.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koln) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koln wins
1
Erfurt wins
DateGameScore
18/11/18Erfurt v Koln86-76
Kolnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19APanthers Schwenningen65-82
05/01/19HCoburg100-101 OT
22/12/18ARhondorf89-85
15/12/18HLeverkusen68-97
08/12/18HTG Wurzburg70-60
01/12/18AFrankfurt 255-77
24/11/18HGiessen Rackelos 274-85
18/11/18AErfurt76-86
10/11/18HRhondorf67-77
03/11/18ACoburg78-102
Erfurtlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/19ARhondorf87-88
06/01/19AGiessen Rackelos 266-89
23/12/18HBayern 275-66
15/12/18ATG Wurzburg85-79 OT
09/12/18HPanthers Schwenningen76-61
02/12/18HTG Wurzburg91-81
24/11/18ABayern 285-74
18/11/18HKoln86-76
11/11/18APanthers Schwenningen76-78 OT
04/11/18HGiessen Rackelos 285-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koln
Pro B 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL19%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%25%12%
Points / game71.972.671.2
Allowed / game81.878.984.8
Point differential-9.9-6.2-13.5
Avg total153.8151.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Erfurt
Pro B 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game75.474.976.0
Allowed / game77.975.580.2
Point differential-2.4-0.6-4.2
Avg total153.3150.4156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leverkusen1615194%86.272.9+13.2
2 Panthers Schwenningen1611569%73.571.4+2.1
3 Wedel1611569%78.477.8+0.7
4 Frankfurt 21610662%72.971.7+1.2
5 Munster1610662%76.275.7+0.5
6 Bernau169756%82.774.2+8.5
7 Elchingen169756%78.474.2+4.1
8 Sandersdorf169756%75.673.2+2.4
9 Schwelm169756%78.876.5+2.3
10 Iserlohn169756%79.877.9+1.9
11 Bochum169756%77.577.9-0.4
12 Giessen Rackelos 2168850%81.178.4+2.7
13 Coburg168850%73.473.7-0.2
14 Weser-Ems/OTB168850%75.577.2-1.8
15 Erfurt168850%75.477.9-2.4
16 Itzehoe167944%78.278.1+0.2
17 OrangeAcademy167944%70.270.4-0.1
18 Bayern 2167944%73.074.9-1.9
19 Dresden167944%70.573.9-3.4
20 TG Wurzburg1661038%71.072.4-1.4
21 Wolfenbuttel1651131%70.577.1-6.6
22 Rhondorf1641225%74.681.9-7.4
23 ETB Wohnbau1631319%70.875.1-4.3
24 Koln1631319%71.981.8-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Koln131417132178
Erfurt14171791168
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