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Kortrijk vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-85
17-29 14-25 23-13 22-18
Position#14
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Lange Munte
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kortrijk v Donar Groningen
02 Oct 2026
KORT76
DGR85
24 Oct 2025
KORT80
DGR76
17 Jan 2025
KORT124
DGR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kortrijk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KortrijkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKortrijk
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
77-74
77
74
+3
60avg 79
H27/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
96-76
96
76
+20
87avg 79
A01/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
111-114 OT
111
114
-3
97avg 79
H03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
93-69
93
69
+24
91avg 79
A11/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
64avg 79
H17/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 79
A19/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 79
H24/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 79
A02/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
96-80
96
80
+16
85avg 79
H06/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
83-70
83
70
+13
83avg 79
A09/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-16
18-24
24-16
16-20
22-17
33-19
25-20
30-19
25-33
16-26
29-22
19-14
21-22
29-20
24-13
20-21
19-13
12-16
24-18
28-27
25-22
14-20
17-17
28-25
17-22
22-16
18-17
25-21
28-16
23-24
21-25
24-24
27-22
21-19
24-15
24-16
18-15
25-25
16-14
170.0Avg total
89.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.780.3170.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)89.080.4169.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.093.0195.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (9)85.383.8169.1+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.775.5165.2+14.284%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
61-86
61
86
-25
54avg 79
H15/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
78-67
78
67
+11
77avg 79
A19/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 79
A22/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
99-63
99
63
+36
103avg 79
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
67-81
67
81
-14
56avg 79
H28/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
85avg 79
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
90-76
90
76
+14
94avg 79
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 79
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
69avg 79
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
54avg 79
A30/09
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
14-14
19-25
13-33
23-18
21-15
16-14
18-20
18-24
28-24
24-13
18-28
22-14
23-11
27-15
27-23
18-23
25-16
14-22
10-20
16-19
21-22
25-22
22-19
17-19
30-22
26-12
17-23
15-24
27-18
12-22
17-18
23-27
15-19
25-26
18-25
19-20
21-20
14-23
16-20
159.5Avg total
78.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.980.6159.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)79.284.0163.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.593.0175.5-10.527%
vs Similar (13)83.381.3164.6+2.054%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.0170.5+8.583%
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -5.3-5.3
KortrijkDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KortrijkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A11/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A19/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A02/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H06/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/05
BNXT League
85.4Avg total
45.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.182.6+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.983.6+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.381.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.385.4+4.890%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.090.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.042.093.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (9)43.044.287.2-1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.837.179.8+5.779%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H15/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A19/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A22/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A06/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/05
BNXT League
Anwil Wloclawek
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/09
ENBL
Tal Tech
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A30/09
ENBL
79.4Avg total
41.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.283.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.738.081.7+5.771%-
Last 30 away (16)41.443.985.4-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.379.4+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.846.388.1-4.527%-
vs Similar (13)41.737.579.2+4.262%-
vs Weaker (6)45.539.785.2+5.867%-
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kortrijktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kortrijk: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
53.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.2
34.7%
32.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.514.8
72.2%
71.0%14.8
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.8
56.1%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.5
32.6%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.9
77.8%
71.0%11.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kortrijk
WWWWLWWLWW
Donar Groningen
LLLWWLWLWL
#14
League position
#11
+10.4
Net rating
-1.3
100.2
Offensive rating
93.0
89.8
Defensive rating
94.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.7%
3-point %
32.6%
57.1%
Assist %
54.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 93.0Defence89.8 · 94.2Shooting53.3% · 53.1%3-point %34.7% · 32.6%Ball care13.3% · 18.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Kortrijk   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kortrijk wins
1
Donar Groningen wins
Kortrijklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26AZwolle83-70
06/05/26HOostende96-80
02/05/26ALeuven Bears97-86
24/04/26HDen Helder85-80
19/04/26ASpirou Charleroi84-86
17/04/26HSpirou Charleroi75-68
11/04/26ALeiden93-69
03/04/26HLimburg111-114 OT
01/04/26ABelfius Mons96-76
27/03/26HRotterdam77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/26ATal Tech70-83
24/09/26AAnwil Wloclawek81-97
09/05/26HLimburg71-82
06/05/26ARotterdam90-76
03/05/26HOostende84-82
28/04/26HDen Bosch67-81
25/04/26HMechelen99-63
22/04/26ALWD Basket88-89
19/04/26AZwolle78-67
15/04/26HZwolle61-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kortrijk
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kortrijk1714232276
Donar Groningen2925131885
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