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Krosno vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-74
24-19 21-27 19-15 23-13
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game68.3
Krosno 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.0
Poland1 LigaRound 4· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2024-25
Meetings · Krosno v Starogard Gdanski
03 Apr 2027
KROS v STAR
upcoming
13 Oct 2024
KROS87
STAR74
05 Nov 2023
KROS94
STAR88
02 Nov 2022
KROS66
STAR77
25 Sep 2021
KROS74
STAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
73avg 74
A23/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
70avg 74
H07/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
73avg 74
A13/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
58avg 74
H20/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
60avg 74
H21/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 74
A27/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 74
A28/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
70-66
70
66
+4
63avg 74
A29/09
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 74
H05/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
76-65
76
65
+11
67avg 74
A09/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-14
14-16
25-27
18-20
21-19
17-23
19-13
23-18
13-16
25-11
23-23
23-22
17-19
11-16
12-15
24-15
17-24
21-19
6-23
22-15
16-15
23-23
18-18
24-22
17-28
15-23
17-20
20-14
18-9
12-23
20-20
15-15
16-22
27-16
24-21
22-21
14-11
17-17
23-16
149.7Avg total
75.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.068.3144.3+7.7100%
Season at home (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)73.065.5138.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)75.474.3149.7+1.170%
Last 5 (5)76.073.8149.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
vs Similar (8)82.075.8157.8+6.288%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.675.0156.5+6.671%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
97-79
97
79
+18
94avg 82
H27/04
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
93-63
93
63
+30
86avg 82
H28/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
69avg 82
A04/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 82
A05/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
92-97
92
97
-5
85avg 82
H11/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
95-117
95
117
-22
92avg 82
A18/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
81avg 82
H22/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 82
H28/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
48avg 82
A06/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
82-84
82
84
-2
63avg 82
H09/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
23-19
27-23
22-16
29-17
19-16
24-17
21-13
29-19
22-27
20-25
5-26
22-23
20-25
17-18
14-20
23-27
23-23
28-20
18-27
17-27
22-37
27-29
29-24
28-24
22-11
23-20
16-33
19-18
11-24
19-9
23-16
13-29
22-17
22-18
11-19
17-12
20-20
19-30
26-22
169.8Avg total
83.7Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.078.0152.0-4.033%
Season at home (2)77.075.5152.5+1.550%
Season away (1)68.083.0151.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)83.786.1169.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)81.287.8169.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.091.2173.2-9.225%
vs Similar (7)80.381.3161.6-1.043%
vs Weaker (19)93.683.3176.9+10.368%
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
KrosnoStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A23/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A13/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H20/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A27/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A28/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A29/09
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A09/10
1 Liga
73.0Avg total
37.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.580.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.738.280.8+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)40.638.779.4+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.573.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.038.079.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.738.280.0+3.562%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/04
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H28/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A05/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A18/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H22/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H28/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A06/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/10
1 Liga
86.2Avg total
42.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.887.6+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.385.8+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)44.145.689.7-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.686.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.882.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.849.093.8-4.225%-
vs Similar (7)38.440.679.0-2.143%-
vs Weaker (19)47.242.389.5+4.858%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.317.1
56.4%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.911.3
63.1%
70.2%11.3
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.3
55.0%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.5
30.4%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.0
72.4%
70.2%16.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
WWWLWLLWWW
Starogard Gdanski
LLWWLLLLWW
#1
League position
#10
+5.9
Net rating
-2.3
104.3
Offensive rating
103.9
98.5
Defensive rating
106.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.4%
3-point %
30.4%
59.0%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 103.9Defence98.5 · 106.2Shooting52.9% · 50.5%3-point %32.4% · 30.4%Ball care16.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds23.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Krosno   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Krosno wins
3
Starogard Gdanski wins
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24ASlask Wroclaw II76-65
05/10/24HMKKS Koszalin82-74
29/09/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg70-66
28/04/24AGKS Tychy73-93
27/04/24AGKS Tychy79-71
21/04/24HGKS Tychy68-81
20/04/24HGKS Tychy63-72
13/04/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg84-68
07/04/24HPoli. Opolska85-80 OT
23/03/24AHydroTruck Radom74-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24HTrefl Sopot II82-84
06/10/24APolonia Warszawa68-83
28/09/24HGKS Tychy72-67
22/05/24HGKS Tychy89-88
18/05/24AGKS Tychy95-117
11/05/24HGornik Walbrzych92-97
05/05/24AGornik Walbrzych73-86
04/05/24AGornik Walbrzych76-97
28/04/24HSlask Wroclaw II93-63
27/04/24HSlask Wroclaw II97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.082.073.0
Allowed / game68.374.065.5
Point differential+7.7+8.0+7.5
Avg total144.3156.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.077.068.0
Allowed / game78.075.583.0
Point differential-4.0+1.5-15.0
Avg total152.0152.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno330100%76.068.3+7.7
2 Trefl Sopot II43175%88.082.0+6.0
3 Poli. Opolska43175%90.085.8+4.2
4 Lancut32167%85.778.0+7.7
5 Poznan32167%86.379.7+6.7
6 GKS Tychy32167%79.377.3+2.0
7 Polonia Warszawa21150%79.077.0+2.0
8 HydroTruck Radom42250%77.576.0+1.5
9 Inowroclaw42250%81.080.5+0.5
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg42250%79.078.5+0.5
11 Pelplin42250%77.277.5-0.2
12 R. Rzeszow42250%79.584.8-5.2
13 Bydgoszcz31233%70.769.7+1.0
14 LKS Lodz31233%78.082.0-4.0
15 Starogard Gdanski31233%74.078.0-4.0
16 WKK Wroclaw41325%77.881.8-4.0
17 MKKS Koszalin3030%76.790.0-13.3
18 Slask Wroclaw II2020%70.584.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno2421192387
Starogard Gdanski1927151374
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