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KTP Kotka Basket vs Salon Vilpas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.1
FinlandKorisliiga· Steveco-Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Salon Vilpas
14 Feb 2027
KTP v SVI
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
KTP 83
SVI77
30 Dec 2025
KTP 71
SVI93
18 Dec 2024
KTP 83
SVI98
01 Dec 2023
KTP 89
SVI97
03 Mar 2023
KTP 109
SVI105
04 Nov 2022
KTP 84
SVI85
22 Mar 2022
KTP 88
SVI101
01 Feb 2022
KTP 104
SVI113
20 Oct 2020
KTP 94
SVI80
26 Nov 2019
KTP 92
SVI129
09 Oct 2019
KTP 78
SVI89
08 Mar 2019
KTP 93
SVI100
18 Dec 2018
KTP 76
SVI72
14 Apr 2018
KTP 55
SVI88
10 Apr 2018
KTP 64
SVI95
18 Feb 2018
KTP 84
SVI98
10 Nov 2017
KTP 72
SVI98
18 Feb 2017
KTP 83
SVI92
18 Nov 2016
KTP 75
SVI76
02 Jan 2016
KTP 87
SVI76
07 Oct 2015
KTP 85
SVI97
23 Jan 2015
KTP 98
SVI81
01 Oct 2014
KTP 81
SVI74
03 Feb 2014
KTP 86
SVI77
02 Jan 2014
KTP 94
SVI81
23 Jan 2013
KTP 97
SVI82
12 Oct 2012
KTP 96
SVI89
03 Feb 2012
KTP 90
SVI69
26 Oct 2011
KTP 82
SVI78
18 Mar 2011
KTP 109
SVI92
13 Dec 2010
KTP 106
SVI81
17 Feb 2010
KTP 94
SVI77
11 Nov 2009
KTP 90
SVI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 79
A07/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
60avg 79
H09/04
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
84avg 79
H29/09
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
78avg 79
A03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 79
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 79
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#11
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 79
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#10
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 79
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#10
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 79
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 79
H30/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
19-21
23-21
20-26
15-22
22-19
17-13
16-24
20-17
23-12
22-18
22-17
27-15
19-20
18-19
20-24
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
174.3Avg total
90.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.083.4178.4+11.688%
Season at home (4)94.882.5177.2+12.275%
Season away (4)95.284.2179.5+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.983.4174.3+7.570%
Last 5 (5)100.290.6190.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.884.1169.8+1.762%
vs Weaker (15)90.981.7172.6+9.173%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Honka
#3
L
104-107
104
107
-3
100avg 78
H29/09
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
94avg 78
A03/10
Korisliiga
AEK Athens
#33
L
93-95
93
95
-2
86avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#11
W
95-73
95
73
+22
90avg 78
H10/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 78
H14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
77avg 78
A17/10
Korisliiga
Szombathely
#24
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 78
A20/10
Champions League
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
70avg 78
H24/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 78
A27/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
W
80-52
80
52
+28
71avg 78
A30/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
25-29
33-29
18-29
22-25
28-21
22-18
25-15
24-24
20-25
27-17
22-29
20-16
20-19
27-20
28-18
20-29
18-19
20-28
23-26
23-14
20-25
18-12
20-19
21-23
21-23
14-16
16-23
16-15
24-23
17-12
22-14
13-26
25-18
19-23
22-19
17-20
26-13
22-16
15-3
167.4Avg total
86.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.079.1166.1+7.962%
Season at home (4)89.886.5176.2+3.250%
Season away (4)84.271.8156.0+12.575%
Last 10 (10)86.181.3167.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)78.271.4149.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.096.0194.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)85.798.0183.7-12.30%
vs Weaker (25)83.774.1157.8+9.664%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
KTP Kotka BasketSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/04
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H29/09
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
86.3Avg total
44.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.386.6+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.242.286.4+2.162%-
Last 30 away (14)44.442.486.8+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.686.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.094.8+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.442.385.7+1.146%-
vs Weaker (15)45.942.488.3+3.580%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Honka
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H29/09
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A03/10
Korisliiga
AEK Athens
#33
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A07/10
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A17/10
Korisliiga
Szombathely
#24
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A20/10
Champions League
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A30/10
Korisliiga
85.8Avg total
43.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.882.6+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.338.482.7+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)40.941.582.4-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.785.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.081.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.045.0100.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.347.792.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker (25)41.838.580.3+3.468%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.6 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
76.2%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.6 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.9
53.5%
54.1%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.5
34.1%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
76.2%15.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWWWWWWLL
Salon Vilpas
WLWLWLWLWL
#1
League position
#4
+7.6
Net rating
+5.3
101.8
Offensive rating
96.8
94.2
Defensive rating
91.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
34.1%
53.5%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 96.8Defence94.2 · 91.5Shooting54.5% · 52.7%3-point %38.7% · 34.1%Ball care16.1% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
KTP Kotka Basket wins
6
Salon Vilpas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72
03/10/26AKarhu Basket84-78
29/09/26HBisons Loimaa87-64
09/04/26HHelsinki Seagulls70-78
07/04/26AHelsinki Seagulls79-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ALahti Basketball80-52
27/10/26AHelsinki Seagulls79-86
24/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls79-64
20/10/26ASzombathely72-85
17/10/26ABisons Loimaa81-70
14/10/26HKTP Kotka Basket81-102
10/10/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki95-73
07/10/26AAEK Athens93-95
03/10/26APyrinto Tampere97-79
29/09/26HHonka104-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game95.094.895.2
Allowed / game83.482.584.2
Point differential+11.6+12.2+11.0
Avg total178.4177.2179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.089.884.2
Allowed / game79.186.571.8
Point differential+7.9+3.2+12.5
Avg total166.1176.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KTP Kotka Basket87188%95.083.4+11.6
2 Kipina87188%97.287.6+9.6
3 Honka86275%103.098.2+4.8
4 Salon Vilpas85362%87.079.1+7.9
5 Pyrinto Tampere84450%86.887.1-0.4
6 Helsinki Seagulls84450%78.882.1-3.4
7 Kataja83538%86.286.5-0.2
8 Karhu Basket83538%83.585.2-1.8
9 Lahti Basketball83538%80.586.1-5.6
10 Kouvot Kouvola82625%86.590.8-4.2
11 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki82625%87.893.6-5.9
12 Bisons Loimaa82625%73.185.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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