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Kvarnby Lions W vs Malbas Malmo 2 W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-63
30-21 13-16 13-11 20-15
Position#4
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game57.0
Allowed / game105.0
vs
Position#20
Record1-0
FormW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game64.0
SwedenBasketettan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarnby Lions W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas Malmo 2 W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kvarnby Lions WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Team4Q W
#25
W
73-68
73
68
+5
56avg 54
A11/01
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#19
W
78-51
78
51
+27
69avg 54
H19/01
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#8
W
57-51
57
51
+6
40avg 54
A26/01
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#21
W
92-44
92
44
+48
81avg 54
A02/02
Basketettan W
MarkSjuharad 2 W
#18
W
69-61
69
61
+8
56avg 54
A15/02
Basketettan W
Malbas Malmo W
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
45avg 54
A16/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#22
W
93-40
93
40
+53
81avg 54
H22/03
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 54
A06/04
Basketettan W
IK Eos Utveckling W
#9
W
72-59
72
59
+13
58avg 54
H12/04
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#2
L
57-105
57
105
-48
37avg 54
A26/09
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
16-24
22-11
20-18
19-12
17-7
16-14
26-18
17-19
14-5
13-13
13-14
22-17
28-7
19-6
23-14
19-14
15-9
18-14
17-24
12-19
16-12
11-6
13-22
22-7
24-15
11-9
36-9
5-19
17-18
15-15
11-18
21-22
7-13
18-9
26-15
15-24
19-27
6-28
17-26
129.9Avg total
69.1Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)57.0105.0162.0-48.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)57.0105.0162.0-48.00%
Last 10 (10)69.160.8129.9+8.370%
Last 5 (5)64.466.6131.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.270.8120.0-21.525%
vs Similar (5)67.866.0133.8+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)74.656.4130.9+18.276%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo 2 W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo 2 WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe 2 W
#19
W
67-64
67
64
+3
56avg 56
H27/09
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
23-23
13-7
17-19
131.0Avg total
67.0Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
Last 5 (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kvarnby Lions W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
Kvarnby Lions WMalbas Malmo 2 W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kvarnby Lions WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team4Q W
#25
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A11/01
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#19
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H19/01
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#8
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A26/01
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#21
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A02/02
Basketettan W
MarkSjuharad 2 W
#18
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A15/02
Basketettan W
Malbas Malmo W
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A16/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#22
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H22/03
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A06/04
Basketettan W
IK Eos Utveckling W
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H12/04
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A26/09
Basketettan W
64.5Avg total
34.0Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.765.9+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.629.665.2+6.156%-
Last 30 away (14)32.634.166.8-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)34.030.564.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.266.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)25.838.464.1-12.612%-
vs Similar (5)35.032.067.0+3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.028.566.5+9.565%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo 2 W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Malbas Malmo 2 WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe 2 W
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/09
Basketettan W
75.0Avg total
37.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
Last 30 at home (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
Last 5 (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kvarnby Lions W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnby Lions Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarnby Lions W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.5 points a game
54%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.521.2
42.8%
40.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.04.3
19.5%
25.3%12.9
🏀 Free throws21.813.7
62.8%
63.4%13.7
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbas Malmo 2 Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo 2 W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.5 points a game
54%
28%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.0
45.5%
40.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
25.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws34.021.0
61.8%
63.4%21.0
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarnby Lions W
LWLWLWWWWW
Malbas Malmo 2 W
W
#4
League position
#20
+10.1
Net rating
+9.1
84.1
Offensive rating
89.9
74.0
Defensive rating
80.8
38.7%
Effective FG%
43.6%
40.1%
Opp. effective FG%
38.3%
23.8%
Turnover %
26.0%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.62
19.5%
3-point %
27.3%
51.0%
Assist %
33.3%
70%
Form (last 10/1)
100%

Profile

Offence84.1 · 89.9Defence74.0 · 80.8Shooting38.7% · 43.6%3-point %19.5% · 27.3%Ball care23.8% · 26.0%Off. rebounds36.6% · 33.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.62Form (last 10/1)70% · 100%
■ Kvarnby Lions W   ■ Malbas Malmo 2 W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kvarnby Lions W wins
0
Malbas Malmo 2 W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25AOnsala W57-105
12/04/25HIK Eos Utveckling W72-59
06/04/25ABrahe W48-70
22/03/25HLobas W93-40
16/03/25AMalbas Malmo W52-59
15/02/25AMarkSjuharad 2 W69-61
02/02/25AHuddinge W92-44
26/01/25AOnsala W57-51
19/01/25HKFUM Kalmar W78-51
11/01/25ATeam4Q W73-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HBrahe 2 W67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarnby Lions W
Basketettan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game57.0-57.0
Allowed / game105.0-105.0
Point differential-48.0--48.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Malbas Malmo 2 W
Basketettan W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game67.067.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total131.0131.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Onsala W110100%105.057.0+48.0
2 Sodertalje 2 W110100%97.068.0+29.0
3 Lidingo W220100%78.058.0+20.0
4 Marbo W110100%84.064.0+20.0
5 Fryshuset Basket W110100%69.050.0+19.0
6 Blackeberg W330100%71.757.0+14.7
7 Huddinge W110100%65.060.0+5.0
8 Malbas Malmo 2 W110100%67.064.0+3.0
9 Lulea Stars W21150%58.059.5-1.5
10 Tureberg W21150%70.072.0-2.0
11 Umea W21150%54.562.5-8.0
12 Brahe 2 W1010%64.067.0-3.0
13 IK Eos Utveckling W1010%60.065.0-5.0
14 Lulea 2 W1010%72.078.0-6.0
15 Ostersund 2 W2020%53.563.0-9.5
16 KFUM Central W1010%62.078.0-16.0
17 Viby W1010%50.069.0-19.0
18 Lobas W1010%64.084.0-20.0
19 Skuru W1010%54.074.0-20.0
20 Nassjo W1010%68.097.0-29.0
21 Kvarnby Lions W1010%57.0105.0-48.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 21 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarnby Lions W3013132076
Malbas Malmo 2 W2116111563
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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