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Lafayette vs Holy Cross Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-82
39-34 38-48
Position#317
Record11-20
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#321
Record10-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lafayette v Holy Cross
03 Mar 2026
LAFA77
HOLY82
17 Jan 2026
LAFA74
HOLY55
04 Mar 2025
LAFA69
HOLY68
11 Jan 2025
LAFA82
HOLY65
07 Feb 2024
LAFA75
HOLY59
14 Jan 2023
LAFA62
HOLY48
21 Feb 2022
LAFA84
HOLY61
08 Jan 2020
LAFA82
HOLY64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holy Cross winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#339
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H29/01
NCAA
American University
#204
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H05/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H12/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A18/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
44-40
27-32
40-33
24-26
26-39
26-28
37-32
29-40
25-28
37-33
32-45
33-49
53-34
31-34
30-41
31-25
39-44
37-26
46-51
140.3Avg total
68.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)69.274.2143.4-5.035%
Season at home (15)69.671.9141.5-2.340%
Season away (16)68.876.3145.1-7.531%
Last 10 (10)68.471.9140.3-3.560%
Last 5 (5)73.876.4150.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.778.6145.3-11.920%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.770.8141.5-0.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holy Cross) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holy CrossUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#168
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Army
#318
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A31/01
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H03/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H07/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
41-44
33-33
35-36
29-32
35-40
29-30
47-37
23-33
47-41
27-30
46-53
49-33
34-53
31-30
41-33
33-38
30-40
24-37
38-39
145.2Avg total
70.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)67.673.9141.4-6.331%
Season at home (14)70.169.3139.4+0.943%
Season away (18)65.677.4143.0-11.922%
Last 10 (10)70.574.7145.2-4.220%
Last 5 (5)70.677.2147.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)65.574.8140.3-9.322%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.573.0143.5-2.540%
vs Weaker (1)77.053.0130.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -2.2-2.2
LafayetteHoly Cross
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#339
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H29/01
NCAA
American University
#204
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Army
#318
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H12/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A18/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.035.167.0-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.033.967.9+0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)29.936.366.2-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)31.233.264.4-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.467.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.336.768.1-5.413%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.933.965.8-2.136%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holy Cross) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holy CrossLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#168
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Army
#318
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H28/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.565.7-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.331.063.3+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)30.237.667.9-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.164.2-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.666.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.236.866.0-7.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.633.969.5+1.750%-
vs Weaker (1)28.020.048.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Lafayette wins
1
Holy Cross wins
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HArmy83-77
26/02/26AColgate70-69
22/02/26HAmerican University61-75
18/02/26AHoly Cross86-83
14/02/26HLehigh69-78
12/02/26HLoyola Maryland54-68
07/02/26AArmy63-60
05/02/26HNavy50-65
31/01/26AAmerican University67-65
29/01/26HBucknell81-79
Holy Crosslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HLoyola Maryland62-76
26/02/26ABoston University63-78
22/02/26ABucknell72-63
18/02/26HLafayette83-86
15/02/26ALoyola Maryland73-83
11/02/26HColgate70-74
07/02/26HLehigh76-67
03/02/26HBoston University64-72
31/01/26AArmy68-69
29/01/26AColgate74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lafayette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW35%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayLWWWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%40%31%
Points / game69.269.668.8
Allowed / game74.271.976.3
Point differential-5.0-2.3-7.5
Avg total143.4141.5145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (1)50% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Holy Cross
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %31%43%22%
Points / game67.670.165.6
Allowed / game73.969.377.4
Point differential-6.3+0.9-11.9
Avg total141.4139.4143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy3125681%74.863.3+11.5
2 Colgate31171455%76.274.5+1.7
3 American University31161552%74.671.2+3.4
4 Boston University31151648%76.174.0+2.0
5 Lehigh31151648%73.374.8-1.6
6 Loyola Maryland31112035%74.877.0-2.2
7 Army31112035%72.777.6-4.9
8 Lafayette31112035%69.274.2-5.0
9 Holy Cross32102231%67.673.9-6.3
10 Bucknell3192229%67.477.1-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lafayette393877
Holy Cross344882
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