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Larochette vs Esch Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-77
20-14 19-15 16-27 19-21
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Esch 🏆
Luxembourg
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.5
LuxembourgTotal LeagueRound 3· Hall sportif Centre Filano
Other2025-26
Meetings · Larochette v Esch
04 Oct 2025
LARO74
ESCH77
26 Mar 2025
LARO93
ESCH73
26 Oct 2024
LARO102
ESCH108
20 Dec 2023
LARO91
ESCH70
24 Sep 2022
LARO80
ESCH73
03 Oct 2021
LARO59
ESCH108
02 Oct 2020
LARO58
ESCH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larochette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esch winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarochetteLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarochette
Date
Competition
Musel Pikes
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
63avg 74
H02/02
Total League
Bertrange
#7
L
84-97
84
97
-13
64avg 74
A08/02
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
88avg 74
H01/03
Total League
Walferdange
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
70avg 74
A08/03
Total League
Esch
#4
W
88-69
88
69
+19
78avg 74
A23/03
Total League
Esch
#4
W
93-73
93
73
+20
88avg 74
H26/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
51avg 74
A06/04
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 74
H09/04
Total League
Bertrange
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
54avg 74
H20/09
Total League
Contern
#13
W
87-77
87
77
+10
77avg 74
A27/09
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
18-17
21-24
17-23
21-24
26-28
16-23
21-22
24-23
25-21
20-26
26-13
14-27
18-21
22-22
32-14
21-18
23-19
19-18
25-14
21-24
19-19
31-16
22-14
17-17
26-23
16-27
10-20
21-24
15-17
7-18
32-30
22-24
16-13
16-21
19-22
30-16
23-18
11-23
23-20
165.3Avg total
83.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.078.5158.5+1.550%
Season at home (1)73.080.0153.0-7.00%
Season away (1)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.082.3165.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.481.2160.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.288.9167.1-10.625%
vs Similar (13)86.783.2169.9+3.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.483.1175.6+9.378%
This opponent (Esch) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EschLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsch
Date
Competition
Amicale Steesel
#2
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A25/01
Total League
Larochette
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
93avg 78
H31/01
Total League
Bertrange
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
91avg 78
H02/02
Total League
Walferdange
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
85avg 78
A08/02
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
97-57
97
57
+40
95avg 78
H02/03
Total League
Avanti Mondorf
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
91avg 78
A08/03
Total League
Larochette
#5
L
69-88
69
88
-19
60avg 78
H23/03
Total League
Larochette
#5
L
73-93
73
93
-20
65avg 78
A26/03
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A20/09
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
81avg 78
H28/09
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
17-25
9-21
24-23
22-21
23-20
22-17
26-21
26-22
20-19
17-21
26-16
20-24
29-18
25-29
22-21
32-9
23-17
22-13
20-18
30-21
20-21
21-12
21-26
18-21
19-23
18-19
14-25
24-21
19-19
16-31
14-22
26-32
22-25
20-15
17-17
21-9
23-23
22-20
21-14
165.7Avg total
85.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.077.5163.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)87.066.0153.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)85.089.0174.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)85.080.7165.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)81.283.2164.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.083.9162.9-4.929%
vs Similar (8)82.083.6165.6-1.662%
vs Weaker (15)87.475.1162.5+12.373%
This opponent (Larochette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
LarochetteEsch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarochetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Musel Pikes
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H02/02
Total League
Bertrange
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A08/02
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H01/03
Total League
Walferdange
#9
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A08/03
Total League
Esch
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/03
Total League
Esch
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/04
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/04
Total League
Bertrange
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/09
Total League
Contern
#13
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A27/09
Total League
83.7Avg total
42.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.284.3+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.641.084.6+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.584.0+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.383.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.081.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.441.882.1-1.425%-
vs Similar (13)42.241.583.6+0.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.840.487.2+6.367%-
This opponent (Esch) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amicale Steesel
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/01
Total League
Larochette
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/01
Total League
Bertrange
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/02
Total League
Walferdange
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A08/02
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H02/03
Total League
Avanti Mondorf
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A08/03
Total League
Larochette
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/03
Total League
Larochette
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/03
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#9
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A20/09
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/09
Total League
85.9Avg total
45.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.038.182.1+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.835.680.4+9.279%-
Last 30 away (16)43.340.283.6+3.175%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.685.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.339.177.4-0.943%-
vs Similar (8)40.938.279.1+2.675%-
vs Weaker (15)48.337.585.8+10.993%-
This opponent (Larochette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larochettetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larochette: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.1
47.4%
52.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.4%
71.4%17.2
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esch: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.1
54.3%
52.8%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.6
36.4%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.0
76.5%
71.4%15.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larochette
WLLLWWWWLL
Esch
WLLLWWWWWL
#2
League position
#6
+0.8
Net rating
+7.1
102.8
Offensive rating
109.4
102.0
Defensive rating
102.4
45.7%
Effective FG%
54.4%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.8%
3-point %
36.4%
43.1%
Assist %
53.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 109.4Defence102.0 · 102.4Shooting45.7% · 54.4%3-point %28.8% · 36.4%Ball care16.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 24.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Larochette   ■ Esch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Larochette wins
5
Esch wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Larochette v Esch93-73
23/03/25Esch v Larochette69-88
31/01/25Esch v Larochette93-79
26/10/24Larochette v Esch102-108 OT
20/12/23Larochette v Esch91-70
08/10/23Esch v Larochette77-79
03/12/22Esch v Larochette96-69
24/09/22Larochette v Esch80-73
19/12/21Esch v Larochette89-73
03/10/21Larochette v Esch59-108
Larochettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25AContern87-77
20/09/25HBertrange73-80
09/04/25HEttelbruck75-89
06/04/25AEttelbruck69-87
26/03/25HEsch93-73
23/03/25AEsch88-69
08/03/25AWalferdange86-84
01/03/25HT71 Dudelange95-83
08/02/25ABertrange84-97
02/02/25HMusel Pikes80-84
Eschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HT71 Dudelange87-66
20/09/25ARacing Luxembourg85-89
26/03/25ALarochette73-93
23/03/25HLarochette69-88
08/03/25AAvanti Mondorf92-80
02/03/25HHeffingen97-57
08/02/25AWalferdange96-92
02/02/25HBertrange89-78
31/01/25HLarochette93-79
25/01/25AAmicale Steesel69-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larochette
Total League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.073.087.0
Allowed / game78.580.077.0
Point differential+1.5-7.0+10.0
Avg total158.5153.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esch
Total League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.087.085.0
Allowed / game77.566.089.0
Point differential+8.5+21.0-4.0
Avg total163.5153.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Musel Pikes220100%97.583.0+14.5
2 Bertrange220100%81.575.5+6.0
3 T71 Dudelange32167%79.775.3+4.3
4 Walferdange32167%84.085.0-1.0
5 Esch21150%86.077.5+8.5
6 Ettelbruck21150%86.079.0+7.0
7 Larochette21150%80.078.5+1.5
8 Amicale Steesel21150%81.081.0+0.0
9 Racing Luxembourg31233%87.791.3-3.7
10 Kordall Steelers31233%85.790.0-4.3
11 Mambra Mamer2020%80.094.5-14.5
12 Contern2020%69.585.5-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larochette2019161974
Esch1415272177
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