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Latvia vs Slovakia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:05
Final 64-52
15-10 16-17 14-11 19-14
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game75.0
Latvia 🏆
vs
Position#23
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game69.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Arena Riga
Other2023
Meetings · Latvia v Slovakia
25 Feb 2024
LATV64
SLOV52
29 Nov 2021
LATV82
SLOV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Latvia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovakia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
109-70
109
70
+39
no box
H25/08
World Cup
France
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
104-84
104
84
+20
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 80
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
15-24
19-9
15-16
27-17
28-13
27-18
27-22
26-33
23-20
13-21
26-12
23-13
19-30
15-24
18-34
17-16
12-16
18-26
27-11
22-20
23-22
36-21
23-21
16-13
18-23
25-26
20-19
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
162.8Avg total
86.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.075.0154.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.075.0154.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.076.8162.8+9.280%
Last 5 (5)89.477.0166.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.885.8165.5-6.025%
vs Similar (8)85.877.9163.6+7.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.871.6157.4+14.389%
This opponent (Slovakia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlovakiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovakia
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A28/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
68-56
68
56
+12
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-71
72
71
+1
65avg 70
A26/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 70
A22/07
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
86-63
86
63
+23
82avg 70
H26/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
83-58
83
58
+25
74avg 70
H02/08
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
89-64
89
64
+25
84avg 70
A05/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
60-75
60
75
-15
55avg 70
H22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
20-21
17-19
12-20
23-17
16-18
18-11
17-24
16-20
20-13
14-13
18-10
22-15
22-23
17-8
21-27
12-21
21-14
26-14
13-22
18-10
13-19
23-24
15-12
30-27
16-10
19-3
21-23
19-13
19-18
23-16
22-11
15-21
26-13
28-15
20-15
13-25
23-15
18-24
6-11
143.2Avg total
75.8Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.169.2144.3+5.973%
Season at home (6)75.571.0146.5+4.567%
Season away (5)74.667.0141.6+7.680%
Last 10 (10)75.867.4143.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)77.465.0142.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.979.3146.2-12.415%
vs Similar (14)73.270.9144.1+2.464%
vs Weaker (3)86.068.7154.7+17.3100%
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
LatviaSlovakia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H27/02
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H25/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A27/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A29/08
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
80.7Avg total
42.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.378.9+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.835.478.2+7.392%-
Last 30 away (18)42.536.879.3+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.580.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.838.879.5+2.050%-
vs Similar (8)40.840.681.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.833.877.6+10.194%-
This opponent (Slovakia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlovakiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A28/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A13/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/07
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H02/08
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
74.2Avg total
39.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.673.6-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.139.174.3-4.040%-
Last 30 away (15)34.838.172.9-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.274.2+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.272.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.041.975.9-7.915%-
vs Similar (14)34.536.070.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.019.0
63.3%
50.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.010.0
45.5%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws13.09.0
69.2%
71.4%9.0
They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slovakiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovakia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.8
51.9%
50.6%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.4
34.2%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
71.4%13.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Latvia
WWWLWWLWWW
Slovakia
LWWWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#23
+2.8
Net rating
+11.9
107.9
Offensive rating
106.3
105.1
Defensive rating
94.4
65.4%
Effective FG%
51.6%
42.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
28.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
45.5%
3-point %
34.2%
72.4%
Assist %
73.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 106.3Defence105.1 · 94.4Shooting65.4% · 51.6%3-point %45.5% · 34.2%Ball care28.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 29.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Latvia   ■ Slovakia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Latvia wins
0
Slovakia wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22Slovakia v Latvia60-93
29/11/21Latvia v Slovakia82-74
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
06/09/23AGermany79-81
03/09/23ABrazil104-84
01/09/23ASpain74-69
29/08/23ACanada75-101
27/08/23AFrance88-86
25/08/23HLebanon109-70
27/02/23HGreece67-57
Slovakialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HBelgium60-75
05/08/23AAlbania89-64
02/08/23HRomania83-58
26/07/23HAlbania86-63
22/07/23ARomania69-65
26/02/23ADenmark72-71
23/02/23HNorth Macedonia82-73
13/11/22ANorway68-56
10/11/22HDenmark74-70
28/08/22ANorth Macedonia75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Latvia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Slovakia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game75.175.574.6
Allowed / game69.271.067.0
Point differential+5.9+4.5+7.6
Avg total144.3146.5141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Belgium110100%75.060.0+15.0
5 Slovenia110100%87.073.0+14.0
6 Sweden110100%84.070.0+14.0
7 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Italy110100%87.080.0+7.0
10 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
11 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
12 Latvia110100%79.075.0+4.0
13 Israel110100%72.070.0+2.0
14 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
15 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
16 Slovakia118373%75.169.2+5.9
17 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
18 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
19 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
20 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
21 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
22 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
23 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
24 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
31 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
32 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
33 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
34 Spain1010%75.079.0-4.0
35 Hungary1010%65.070.0-5.0
36 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
39 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
40 Montenegro1010%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Latvia1516141964
Slovakia1017111452
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