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Lebanon vs Syria Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-64
33-16 14-18 18-14 24-16
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game72.7
Lebanon 🏆
vs
Position#20
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeAsia Cup· Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Other2023
Meetings · Lebanon v Syria
25 Nov 2024
LEBA89
SYRI64
01 Jul 2018
LEBA87
SYRI50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Syria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
Philippines
#44
L
96-107
96
107
-11
no box
A24/02
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
91-106
91
106
-15
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
70-109
70
109
-39
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
73-128
73
128
-55
no box
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 76
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
94-63
94
63
+31
92avg 76
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
99-77
99
77
+22
99avg 76
A22/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-28
23-29
32-25
20-30
30-28
30-26
11-22
17-27
13-28
18-27
22-27
13-29
17-37
18-34
25-28
20-19
17-19
22-20
20-27
32-20
23-21
18-25
21-18
20-13
28-23
14-13
19-24
28-22
23-14
25-20
11-22
21-13
18-20
29-13
26-17
26-20
22-15
30-19
21-23
177.4Avg total
86.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.372.7166.0+20.7100%
Season at home (1)94.063.0157.0+31.0100%
Season away (2)93.077.5170.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.491.0177.4-4.650%
Last 5 (5)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.098.6176.6-20.620%
vs Similar (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.772.1163.8+19.692%
This opponent (Syria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSyria
Date
Competition
Iran
#51
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
H01/07
World Cup
Iran
#51
L
56-91
56
91
-35
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Iran
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
A13/07
Asia Cup
Japan
#10
L
56-117
56
117
-61
no box
H15/07
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A17/07
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
58-97
58
97
-39
no box
A19/07
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 71
H23/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
78-63
78
63
+15
72avg 71
A26/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
L
71-76
71
76
-5
68avg 71
A22/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
18-24
19-20
13-21
8-20
19-19
21-15
19-22
8-22
20-17
15-25
13-27
18-22
20-22
12-21
17-15
9-29
18-39
15-28
14-21
16-26
21-7
24-13
16-21
6-25
15-28
17-16
20-28
22-28
14-23
20-25
22-11
16-17
26-11
15-12
21-23
16-26
12-22
23-19
20-9
151.0Avg total
67.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.775.3151.0+0.333%
Season at home (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Season away (2)74.569.5144.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)67.683.4151.0-15.820%
Last 5 (5)72.478.0150.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)65.587.5153.0-22.018%
vs Similar (6)71.873.7145.5-1.833%
vs Weaker (2)73.570.0143.5+3.550%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -9.3-9.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -9.3-9.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
LebanonSyria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#44
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A24/02
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A25/08
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
30-66
30
66
-36
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/11
Asia Cup
88.0Avg total
42.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.782.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.237.678.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)45.639.585.1+6.271%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.188.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.236.284.4+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.650.886.4-15.20%-
vs Similar (1)28.038.066.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.136.282.2+9.988%-
This opponent (Syria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#51
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H01/07
World Cup
Iran
#51
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H04/07
World Cup
Iran
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/07
Asia Cup
Japan
#10
L
27-68
27
68
-41
H15/07
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A17/07
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
21-53
21
53
-32
A19/07
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H23/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A26/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/11
Asia Cup
76.2Avg total
32.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.940.773.6-7.827%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.840.273.1-7.415%-
Last 30 away (17)33.041.174.1-8.135%-
Last 10 (10)32.044.276.2-12.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.675.4-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.743.575.2-11.814%-
vs Similar (6)37.534.371.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker (2)33.029.062.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.729.0
63.5%
49.3%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.9%
32.7%22.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.7
81.5%
70.1%14.7
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Syriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Syria: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.7
50.5%
49.3%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.7
38.2%
32.7%26.0
🏀 Free throws14.711.3
77.3%
70.1%11.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lebanon
WWWWWLLLLL
Syria
LWLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#20
+28.0
Net rating
-2.8
120.5
Offensive rating
103.7
92.5
Defensive rating
106.5
58.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.9%
3-point %
38.2%
56.9%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 103.7Defence92.5 · 106.5Shooting58.3% · 53.1%3-point %31.9% · 38.2%Ball care17.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds35.0% · 25.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Lebanon   ■ Syria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lebanon wins
0
Syria wins
DateGameScore
23/02/24Syria v Lebanon78-87
01/07/18Lebanon v Syria87-50
23/02/18Syria v Lebanon63-87
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates99-77
26/02/24HBahrain94-63
23/02/24ASyria87-78
02/09/23AIran81-73
31/08/23AIvory Coast94-84
29/08/23HFrance79-85
27/08/23HCanada73-128
25/08/23ALatvia70-109
27/02/23ANew Zealand91-106
24/02/23APhilippines96-107
Syrialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24ABahrain71-76
26/02/24AUnited Arab Emirates78-63
23/02/24HLebanon78-87
19/07/22ANew Zealand58-97
17/07/22AKazakhstan77-67
15/07/22HJapan56-117
13/07/22AIran67-80
04/07/22HIran56-91
01/07/22HBahrain67-76
27/02/22AIran68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lebanon
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.394.093.0
Allowed / game72.763.077.5
Point differential+20.7+31.0+15.5
Avg total166.0157.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Syria
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game75.778.074.5
Allowed / game75.387.069.5
Point differential+0.3-9.0+5.0
Avg total151.0165.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia440100%97.561.2+36.2
2 Philippines440100%96.565.0+31.5
3 Lebanon330100%93.372.7+20.7
4 Iran330100%60.742.3+18.3
5 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
6 Japan440100%82.270.5+11.8
7 China43175%86.057.5+28.5
8 New Zealand43175%86.868.8+18.0
9 Thailand118373%86.475.5+10.8
10 Saudi Arabia32167%67.067.7-0.7
11 Guam96367%71.373.4-2.1
12 Bahrain32167%69.776.3-6.7
13 Iraq85362%76.073.6+2.4
14 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
15 Qatar84450%65.665.0+0.6
16 Kazakhstan42250%51.256.5-5.2
17 Mongolia115645%77.079.7-2.7
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates83538%67.870.8-3.0
21 Syria31233%75.775.3+0.3
22 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
23 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
24 India41325%61.071.8-10.8
25 Chinese Taipei41325%67.882.8-15.0
26 Hong Kong92722%65.380.0-14.7
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia4040%64.094.2-30.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lebanon3314182489
Syria1618141664
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