Lehigh will host Brown on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model naming Lehigh the clear favourite, rating them 91% to win largely because of their 1-1 record, 69.0 points per game and 78.0 allowed per game, while Brown sits at 0-2, 61.0 points per game and 65.5 allowed per game. Lehigh's season shows a 1-0 home record, 71.0 points per game and 64.0 allowed per game, and they have won three of their last five games, including a 71-64 victory over Cornell at home on 5 November 2026; Brown has lost all five of their recent games, most recently a 67-72 defeat to Boston University at home on 6 November 2026. The teams have not met before in this competition, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 78-62 score, with a 140.3 total, giving Lehigh a 91% chance to win and a 9% chance for Brown, and a 83% probability that Lehigh will cover the -5.0 spread; the over on the 139.5 line has a 52% chance, and there is a 2% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Lehigh's superior offensive and defensive numbers, with Brown struggling to keep pace.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lehigh winLost
91.0%fair 1.10
Best odds1.48
Implied65.2%
Edge+25.8pp
Brown winWon
9.0%fair 11.11
Best odds2.90
Implied34.8%
Edge-25.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Lehigh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 134.5Actual: Under 134.5
Over 134.5
63.8%
@ 1.66+5.4pp
Under 134.5
36.2%
@ 2.45-5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.66
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Marathon Be
1.98
Over/Under 139.5 · main lineActual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
51.8%
@ 1.90+1.5pp
Under 139.5
48.2%
@ 1.91-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
39.6%
@ 2.40+1.1pp
Under 144.5
60.4%
@ 1.67-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Marathon Be
1.67
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Lehigh total 65.5Actual: Lehigh under 65.5
Over 65.5
no forecast
@ 1.32
Under 65.5
no forecast
@ 2.95
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
2.95
Lehigh total 69.5 · main lineActual: Lehigh under 69.5
Over 69.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under 69.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.35
Marathon Be
1.83
Lehigh total 73.5Actual: Lehigh under 73.5
Over 73.5
67.2%
@ 2.00+21.0pp
Under 73.5
32.8%
@ 1.72-21.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Under
Betano
1.72
Brown total 64Actual: Brown over 64
Over 64
43.1%
Under 64
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 68 · main lineActual: Brown under 68
Over 68
28.0%
@ 1.85-22.0pp
Under 68
72.0%
@ 1.85+22.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Brown total 72Actual: Brown under 72
Over 72
16.3%
Under 72
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Lehigh -8Actual: Brown +8
LEHI -8
75.5%
BROW +8
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Lehigh -5 · main lineActual: Brown +5
LEHI -5
83.5%
@ 1.90+32.8pp
BROW +5
16.5%
@ 1.95-32.8pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
BROW
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.87
Spread Lehigh -2Actual: Brown +2
LEHI -2
89.6%
BROW +2
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
LehighBrown
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Lehigh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Brown win
LEHI win
no forecast
@ 1.60
BROW win
no forecast
@ 2.35
2nd half Spread Lehigh -2.5 · main lineActual: Brown +2.5
LEHI -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
BROW +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half Over/Under 73.5 · main lineActual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Brown (regulation)
LEHI
no forecast
@ 1.65
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
BROW
no forecast
@ 2.37
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Lehigh -7
78.3%
2.27
Pinnacle
2.27
-
-
-
-
+36.2pp
Lost
Lehigh -6.5
78.9%
2.07
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.02
SBO
2.00
-
-
+35.0pp
Lost
Lehigh -6
81.0%
2.02
Pinnacle
2.08
SBO
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.97
-
-
+34.9pp
Lost
Lehigh -7.5
76.2%
2.18
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.12
-
-
-
+33.6pp
Lost
Lehigh -8.5
73.3%
2.30
Betano
2.30
-
-
-
-
+33.3pp
Lost
Lehigh -5.5
81.5%
1.90
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
+33.3pp
Lost
Lehigh -9.5
70.2%
2.50
Betano
2.50
-
-
-
-
+33.2pp
Lost
Lehigh -5
83.5%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
+32.8pp
Lost
Lehigh -2.5
87.8%
1.66
1xBet
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.71
Betano
1.53
-
-
+30.9pp
Lost
Lehigh -4.5
83.9%
1.77
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.76
SBO
1.74
+30.6pp
Lost
Lehigh -4
85.7%
1.81
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.73
-
-
+30.3pp
Lost
Lehigh -3.5
86.1%
1.74
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.67
+28.7pp
Lost
Lehigh -3
87.5%
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.61
-
-
+28.2pp
Lost
Lehigh (regulation)
89.7%
1.47
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.42
-
-
+28.1pp
Lost
Lehigh -1.5
89.8%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+26.8pp
Lost
Lehigh win
91.0%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.48
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
SBO
1.42
1xBet
1.41
+25.8pp
Lost
Lehigh +1.5
91.9%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+23.4pp
Lost
Brown under 68
72.0%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
-
+22.0pp
Won
Lehigh +2.5
93.2%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+22.0pp
Lost
Lehigh +5.5
95.8%
1.26
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
-
+22.0pp
Lost
Brown under 69.5
76.1%
1.69
Marathon Bet
1.84
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+21.5pp
Won
Lehigh +4.5
95.0%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Lehigh +3.5
94.1%
1.27
Betano
1.27
-
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Brown under 68.5
73.0%
1.77
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.67
-
+19.1pp
Won
Brown under 71.5
81.7%
1.44
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+17.5pp
Won
Brown under 74.5
88.3%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Brown under 73.5
86.3%
1.30
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Won
Brown under 70.5
79.0%
1.44
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Won
Brown under 72.5
84.1%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Won
Brown under 77.5
92.9%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Won
Brown under 76.5
91.5%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Won
Overtime: no
98.0%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+7.4pp
-
Over 131.5
70.6%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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