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Lehigh vs Brown Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 78-62
Projected total 140.3
Final 55-65
25-27 30-38
Position#295
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game78.0
Vs
91%
■ LEHI 91%■ BROW 9%
Pythia win probability
Brown 🏆
USA
Position#280
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Lehigh will host Brown on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model naming Lehigh the clear favourite, rating them 91% to win largely because of their 1-1 record, 69.0 points per game and 78.0 allowed per game, while Brown sits at 0-2, 61.0 points per game and 65.5 allowed per game. Lehigh's season shows a 1-0 home record, 71.0 points per game and 64.0 allowed per game, and they have won three of their last five games, including a 71-64 victory over Cornell at home on 5 November 2026; Brown has lost all five of their recent games, most recently a 67-72 defeat to Boston University at home on 6 November 2026. The teams have not met before in this competition, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 78-62 score, with a 140.3 total, giving Lehigh a 91% chance to win and a 9% chance for Brown, and a 83% probability that Lehigh will cover the -5.0 spread; the over on the 139.5 line has a 52% chance, and there is a 2% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Lehigh's superior offensive and defensive numbers, with Brown struggling to keep pace.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lehigh winLost
91.0%fair 1.10
Best odds1.48
Implied65.2%
Edge+25.8pp
Brown winWon
9.0%fair 11.11
Best odds2.90
Implied34.8%
Edge-25.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LehighUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A19/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H22/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H18/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#102
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Cornell
#149
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
20-32
29-40
29-28
41-39
33-30
45-43
47-40
42-39
31-26
38-40
33-30
43-39
41-30
33-30
29-27
26-40
31-48
36-44
39-32
32-32
140.7Avg total
69.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.078.0147.0-9.050%
Season at home (1)71.064.0135.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)67.092.0159.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)69.870.9140.7-1.170%
Last 5 (5)68.670.4139.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.076.7148.7-4.743%
vs Similar (14)75.674.4150.1+1.271%
vs Weaker (8)71.172.9144.0-1.838%
This opponent (Brown) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrownUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#158
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#127
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
39-28
36-31
33-50
22-31
31-25
30-38
49-38
42-37
38-34
32-31
30-49
45-46
35-40
34-44
27-38
27-20
28-39
37-31
30-41
141.6Avg total
67.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)61.065.5126.5-4.50%
Season at home (2)61.065.5126.5-4.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.674.0141.6-6.420%
Last 5 (5)65.075.8140.8-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.577.9145.4-10.410%
vs Similar (14)66.373.4139.7-7.114%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.047.7127.7+32.3100%
This opponent (Lehigh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 134.5Actual: Under 134.5
Over 134.5
63.8%
@ 1.66+5.4pp
Under 134.5
36.2%
@ 2.45-5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.66
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Marathon Be
1.98
Over/Under 139.5 · main lineActual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
51.8%
@ 1.90+1.5pp
Under 139.5
48.2%
@ 1.91-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
39.6%
@ 2.40+1.1pp
Under 144.5
60.4%
@ 1.67-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Marathon Be
1.67
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Lehigh total 65.5Actual: Lehigh under 65.5
Over 65.5
no forecast
@ 1.32
Under 65.5
no forecast
@ 2.95
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
2.95
Lehigh total 69.5 · main lineActual: Lehigh under 69.5
Over 69.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under 69.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.35
Marathon Be
1.83
Lehigh total 73.5Actual: Lehigh under 73.5
Over 73.5
67.2%
@ 2.00+21.0pp
Under 73.5
32.8%
@ 1.72-21.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Under
Betano
1.72
Brown total 64Actual: Brown over 64
Over 64
43.1%
Under 64
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 68 · main lineActual: Brown under 68
Over 68
28.0%
@ 1.85-22.0pp
Under 68
72.0%
@ 1.85+22.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Brown total 72Actual: Brown under 72
Over 72
16.3%
Under 72
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lehigh -8Actual: Brown +8
LEHI -8
75.5%
BROW +8
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Lehigh -5 · main lineActual: Brown +5
LEHI -5
83.5%
@ 1.90+32.8pp
BROW +5
16.5%
@ 1.95-32.8pp
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
BROW
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.87
Spread Lehigh -2Actual: Brown +2
LEHI -2
89.6%
BROW +2
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
LEHI
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -4.2-4.2
LehighBrown
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LehighLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H22/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H18/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#102
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A03/11
NCAA
Cornell
#149
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64.5
Last 30 (30)34.833.067.8+1.760%57%
Last 30 at home (16)36.331.868.1+4.675%50%
Last 30 away (14)33.034.567.5-1.543%64%
Last 10 (10)33.332.365.6+1.080%40%
Last 5 (5)34.633.468.0+1.280%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.933.766.6-0.957%57%
vs Similar (14)34.933.067.9+1.957%71%
vs Weaker (8)34.432.266.6+2.162%25%
This opponent (Brown) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#158
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#127
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
33.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64.5
Last 30 (30)33.833.267.0+0.743%50%
Last 30 at home (17)34.531.065.5+3.553%47%
Last 30 away (13)33.036.069.0-3.031%54%
Last 10 (10)33.134.667.7-1.550%60%
Last 5 (5)35.034.469.4+0.660%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.434.166.5-1.750%50%
vs Similar (14)31.036.467.4-5.414%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.824.066.8+18.8100%50%
This opponent (Lehigh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Brown win
LEHI win
no forecast
@ 1.52
BROW win
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Spread Lehigh -1.5 · main lineActual: Brown +1.5
LEHI -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
BROW +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 64.5 · main lineActual: Under 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
Lehigh 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Lehigh under 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
Brown 1st half total 31 · main lineActual: Brown under 31
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Lehigh -2.5Actual: Brown +2.5
LEHI -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
BROW +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread Lehigh -0.5Actual: Brown +0.5
LEHI -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
BROW +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.38
1st half Over/Under 62.5Actual: Under 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Lehigh -3.5Actual: Brown +3.5
LEHI -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
BROW +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Lehigh +0.5Actual: Brown -0.5
LEHI +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
BROW -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 60.5Actual: Under 60.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Lehigh -4.5Actual: Brown +4.5
LEHI -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
BROW +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Lehigh +1.5Actual: Brown -1.5
LEHI +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
BROW -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.87
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Brown (regulation)
LEHI
no forecast
@ 1.55
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
BROW
no forecast
@ 2.70

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LEHI win + total 139.5
🔒 Pro
BROW win + total 139.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LEHI leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Lehigh -778.3%2.27
Pinnacle
2.27
----+36.2ppLost
Lehigh -6.578.9%2.07
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.02
SBO
2.00
--+35.0ppLost
Lehigh -681.0%2.02
Pinnacle
2.08
SBO
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.97
--+34.9ppLost
Lehigh -7.576.2%2.18
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.12
---+33.6ppLost
Lehigh -8.573.3%2.30
Betano
2.30
----+33.3ppLost
Lehigh -5.581.5%1.90
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
+33.3ppLost
Lehigh -9.570.2%2.50
Betano
2.50
----+33.2ppLost
Lehigh -583.5%1.87
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.83
--+32.8ppLost
Lehigh -2.587.8%1.66
1xBet
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.71
Betano
1.53
--+30.9ppLost
Lehigh -4.583.9%1.77
BetVictor
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.76
SBO
1.74
+30.6ppLost
Lehigh -485.7%1.81
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.73
--+30.3ppLost
Lehigh -3.586.1%1.74
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.67
+28.7ppLost
Lehigh -387.5%1.72
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.61
--+28.2ppLost
Lehigh (regulation)89.7%1.47
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.42
--+28.1ppLost
Lehigh -1.589.8%1.47
Betano
1.47
----+26.8ppLost
Lehigh win91.0%1.42
Pinnacle
1.48
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
SBO
1.42
1xBet
1.41
+25.8ppLost
Lehigh +1.591.9%1.34
Betano
1.34
----+23.4ppLost
Brown under 6872.0%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
----+22.0ppWon
Lehigh +2.593.2%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+22.0ppLost
Lehigh +5.595.8%1.26
Betano
1.26
----+22.0ppLost
Brown under 69.576.1%1.69
Marathon Bet
1.84
Betano
1.53
---+21.5ppWon
Lehigh +4.595.0%1.25
Betano
1.25
----+21.3ppLost
Lehigh +3.594.1%1.27
Betano
1.27
----+21.3ppLost
Brown under 68.573.0%1.77
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.67
-+19.1ppWon
Brown under 71.581.7%1.44
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.38
---+17.5ppWon
Brown under 74.588.3%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+16.7ppWon
Brown under 73.586.3%1.30
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
---+16.0ppWon
Brown under 70.579.0%1.44
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
---+15.6ppWon
Brown under 72.584.1%1.32
Betano
1.32
----+15.4ppWon
Brown under 77.592.9%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+11.5ppWon
Brown under 76.591.5%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+10.1ppWon
Overtime: no98.0%1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
---+7.4pp-
Over 131.570.6%1.39
Betano
1.39
----+3.6ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lehigh wins
0
Brown wins
No previous meetings.
Lehighlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HCornell71-64
03/11/26ASt. Louis Billikens67-92
18/03/26HPrairie View A&M55-67
11/03/26HBoston University74-60
08/03/26HColgate76-69
06/03/26HHoly Cross69-66
28/02/26HBucknell89-79
26/02/26AAmerican University78-73
22/02/26HBoston University70-67
19/02/26ANavy49-72
Brownlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBoston University67-72
03/11/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats55-59
07/03/26HPenn61-82
28/02/26ACornell80-86
28/02/26AColumbia62-80
21/02/26HPrinceton80-71
14/02/26ADartmouth79-76
14/02/26AHarvard53-56
07/02/26AYale69-81
31/01/26HDartmouth70-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lehigh
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game69.071.067.0
Allowed / game78.064.092.0
Point differential-9.0+7.0-25.0
Avg total147.0135.0159.0
Over 139.550%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brown
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game61.061.0-
Allowed / game65.565.5-
Point differential-4.5-4.5-
Avg total126.5126.5-
Over 139.50%0%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston University220100%82.576.0+6.5
2 Navy32167%69.065.7+3.3
3 Army21150%84.062.5+21.5
4 Lehigh21150%69.078.0-9.0
5 Lafayette31233%73.776.7-3.0
6 Colgate2020%75.083.5-8.5
7 Loyola Maryland2020%57.574.0-16.5
8 American University2020%63.080.5-17.5
9 Bucknell2020%64.589.0-24.5
10 Holy Cross2020%62.599.0-36.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dartmouth220100%88.056.0+32.0
2 Harvard220100%68.046.0+22.0
3 Princeton32167%68.762.0+6.7
4 Columbia21150%95.571.0+24.5
5 Yale21150%73.574.5-1.0
6 Cornell21150%75.078.0-3.0
7 Brown2020%61.065.5-4.5
8 Penn1010%70.0112.0-42.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Lehigh253055
Brown273865
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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