Leipzig vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 96-102

16-29 27-25 31-24 22-24

Position#16

Record8-21

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game87.4

Leipzig

Crailsheim Merlins 🏆

Position#11

Record12-17

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game81.0

Pro ARound 30

Other2012-13

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leipzig winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crailsheim Merlins winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leipzig

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gottingen

80-92

-12

H01/02

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

73-80

-7

A09/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

84-87

-3

H16/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

69-88

-19

A23/02

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

91-82

H28/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

95-90 OT

A09/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#15

103-97

103

H15/03

Pro A

Jena

85-83

A17/03

Pro A

ETB Wohnbau

#13

90-86 OT

H23/03

Pro A

Vechta

88-129

129

-41

A28/03

Pro A

–

12-18

24-24

21-17

16-21

18-26

21-20

21-16

24-25

17-23

19-22

16-16

17-27

25-17

15-19

18-21

33-25

24-22

20-20

21-18

17-22

18-26

33-22

26-19

26-30

–

21-24

12-18

21-19

25-18

24-21

19-47

25-33

20-28

177.2Avg total

85.8Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	81.1	87.4	168.6	-6.3	28%
Season at home (14)	83.1	86.4	169.4	-3.3	29%
Season away (15)	79.3	88.4	167.7	-9.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	91.4	177.2	-5.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	97.0	189.2	-4.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	78.5	87.5	166.1	-9.0	16%
vs Similar (10)	86.1	87.2	173.3	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BG Eisbaeren

72-88

-16

H02/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

92-80

+12

A09/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

82-71

+11

H16/02

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

71-68

A23/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

71-83

-12

H02/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#15

80-86

-6

A09/03

Pro A

Jena

90-79

+11

H15/03

Pro A

ETB Wohnbau

#13

84-86

-2

A17/03

Pro A

Vechta

78-91

-13

H23/03

Pro A

Gotha

#14

88-73

+15

H28/03

Pro A

16-16

20-25

24-32

12-15

17-22

29-16

25-20

21-22

25-18

13-12

21-17

23-24

18-17

8-22

25-15

20-14

17-29

11-16

17-22

26-16

25-25

18-17

21-20

16-24

20-19

16-21

24-18

30-21

22-22

17-18

20-18

25-28

22-21

23-21

20-28

13-21

23-15

19-21

19-16

27-21

161.3Avg total

80.8Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	79.7	81.0	160.8	-1.3	41%
Season at home (15)	83.5	79.3	162.8	+4.3	60%
Season away (14)	75.6	82.9	158.6	-7.3	21%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	80.5	161.3	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	83.0	167.0	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.1	83.3	160.4	-6.2	33%
vs Similar (20)	79.6	80.3	159.9	-0.7	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	101.0	78.0	179.0	+23.0	100%

This opponent (Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LeipzigCrailsheim Merlins

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.6	22.9	41.4	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.2	22.4	41.7	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (6)	20.2	21.7	41.8	-1.5	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.4	24.4	44.9	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	25.2	45.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.1	22.8	42.9	-2.7	44%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (6)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

LeipzigLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BG Eisbaeren

36-42

-6

A09/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

39-46

-7

H16/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

36-45

-9

A23/02

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

40-36

H28/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

44-42

A09/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#15

51-48

H15/03

Pro A

ETB Wohnbau

#13

33-42

-9

H23/03

Pro A

Vechta

43-68

-25

A28/03

Pro A

86.4Avg total

40.2Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	39.5	44.2	83.7	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	40.0	41.5	81.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	39.0	47.3	86.3	-8.3	14%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.2	46.1	86.4	-5.9	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	47.2	89.4	-5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.3	45.2	84.6	-5.9	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	42.7	82.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BG Eisbaeren

36-41

-5

H02/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

46-38

A09/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

38-30

H16/02

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

26-39

-13

A23/02

Pro A

Cuxhaven

28-45

-17

H02/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#15

43-42

A09/03

Pro A

Jena

36-40

-4

H15/03

Pro A

ETB Wohnbau

#13

39-40

-1

A17/03

Pro A

Vechta

45-42

H23/03

Pro A

Gotha

#14

42-36

H28/03

Pro A

77.2Avg total

37.9Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	38.4	39.7	78.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	38.8	39.7	78.4	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (6)	37.8	39.7	77.5	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	39.3	77.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.2	40.3	80.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.2	39.2	76.4	-2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (6)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.8	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	21.1	23.3	44.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	24.6	23.2	47.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.0	23.4	40.4	-6.4	14%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.2	24.5	46.8	-2.2	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.6	48.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.7	23.5	46.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.9	20.3	40.1	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.4	20.1	40.6	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (6)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.8	19.3	35.2	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	20.9	43.4	+1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	41.3	44.3	85.6	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	43.6	43.9	87.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	38.7	44.7	83.4	-6.0	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	43.4	44.4	87.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	46.6	93.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.4	45.1	84.6	-5.7	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.2	43.0	87.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	41.5	40.6	82.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	42.6	41.8	84.3	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (6)	40.0	38.8	78.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	41.2	84.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	42.2	78.5	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.0	39.6	84.6	+5.4	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leipzig wins

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/12	Crailsheim Merlins v Leipzig	101-78

Leipziglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/13	A	Vechta	88-129
23/03/13	H	ETB Wohnbau	90-86 OT
17/03/13	A	Jena	85-83
15/03/13	H	Kirchheim	103-97
09/03/13	A	Cuxhaven	95-90 OT
28/02/13	H	Paderborn	91-82
23/02/13	A	Chemnitz	69-88
16/02/13	H	Nurnberger	84-87
09/02/13	A	BG Eisbaeren	73-80
01/02/13	H	Gottingen	80-92

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/13	H	Gotha	88-73
23/03/13	H	Vechta	78-91
17/03/13	A	ETB Wohnbau	84-86
15/03/13	H	Jena	90-79
09/03/13	A	Kirchheim	80-86
02/03/13	H	Cuxhaven	71-83
23/02/13	A	Paderborn	71-68
16/02/13	H	Chemnitz	82-71
09/02/13	A	Nurnberger	92-80
02/02/13	H	BG Eisbaeren	72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leipzig

Pro A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	28%
Home	LLWWW	29%
Away	LLWWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	28%	29%	27%
Points / game	81.1	83.1	79.3
Allowed / game	87.4	86.4	88.4
Point differential	-6.3	-3.3	-9.1
Avg total	168.6	169.4	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	33% (3)	43% (7)
Overtime %	10%	7%	13%

Crailsheim Merlins

Pro A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	41%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	WWWLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	41%	60%	21%
Points / game	79.7	83.5	75.6
Allowed / game	81.0	79.3	82.9
Point differential	-1.3	+4.3	-7.3
Avg total	160.8	162.8	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	47%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vechta	29	22	7	76%	92.9	83.1	+9.8
2	Gottingen	29	21	8	72%	79.7	72.6	+7.1
3	Dusseldorf	29	19	10	66%	77.3	74.5	+2.8
4	BG Eisbaeren	29	17	12	59%	81.3	78.0	+3.3
5	Cuxhaven	29	17	12	59%	85.1	83.8	+1.3
6	Jena	29	15	14	52%	86.6	85.8	+0.8
7	Ehingen	29	15	14	52%	74.0	73.4	+0.6
8	Nurnberger	29	15	14	52%	81.9	83.8	-1.9
9	Chemnitz	29	14	15	48%	73.4	75.9	-2.4
10	Heidelberg	29	13	16	45%	83.4	81.6	+1.8
11	Crailsheim Merlins	29	12	17	41%	79.7	81.0	-1.3
12	Paderborn	29	12	17	41%	80.4	83.4	-3.0
13	ETB Wohnbau	29	12	17	41%	78.1	82.3	-4.2
14	Gotha	29	10	19	34%	79.0	82.9	-3.9
15	Kirchheim	29	10	19	34%	83.6	88.1	-4.6
16	Leipzig	29	8	21	28%	81.1	87.4	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leipzig	16	27	31	22	96
Crailsheim Merlins	29	25	24	24	102

← all games of the day

Leipzig vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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