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Leones De Ponce vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 87-100
18-27 23-28 22-16 24-29
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#2
Record4-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeAmericas LeagueAmericas League - Semi-finals
Other2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones De PonceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A13/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H15/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A15/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
114-115 OT
114
115
-1
H18/05
BSN
Academia de la Montana
#15
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H11/02
Americas League
Cocodrilos
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A12/02
Americas League
Weber Bahia
#3
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
H12/02
Americas League
Weber Bahia
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H04/03
Americas League
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A05/03
Americas League
San Lorenzo
#4
W
115-107 OT
115
107
+8
H05/03
Americas League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
16-28
25-21
19-28
22-18
21-19
22-28
21-31
26-21
17-30
18-28
36-24
25-21
21-22
32-30
21-26
22-17
15-8
24-16
15-20
24-16
18-19
21-16
25-33
23-23
20-17
22-20
15-20
23-14
24-25
28-19
20-24
17-25
10-12
25-21
15-22
17-14
22-13
24-30
17-23
183.6Avg total
91.4Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.885.0173.8+3.867%
Season at home (4)94.586.5181.0+8.075%
Season away (2)77.582.0159.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)91.492.2183.6-0.840%
Last 5 (5)91.489.8181.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)90.294.0184.2-3.833%
vs Similar (18)82.381.0163.3+1.361%
vs Weaker (3)79.773.7153.3+6.067%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballos de Cocle
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H28/01
Americas League
Leones Quilpue
#16
W
103-80
103
80
+23
A29/01
Americas League
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A30/01
Americas League
Soles
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H25/02
Americas League
La Union
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A25/02
Americas League
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
A27/02
Americas League
Guaiqueries
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A08/03
LPB
Guaiqueries
#3
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A09/03
LPB
Trotamundos
#4
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H11/03
LPB
Trotamundos
#4
L
105-111 OT
105
111
-6
H12/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-12
26-22
21-27
19-14
34-26
30-21
20-19
18-22
22-9
17-29
21-24
20-24
24-23
31-18
13-21
13-14
21-24
23-17
25-17
11-21
12-4
21-24
17-12
16-28
23-16
21-24
24-22
35-19
20-31
20-21
14-19
28-11
17-17
19-16
17-13
18-18
19-15
17-27
29-23
170.2Avg total
87.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.580.3165.8+5.267%
Season at home (2)90.084.5174.5+5.5100%
Season away (4)83.278.2161.5+5.050%
Last 10 (10)87.283.0170.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)85.885.0170.8+0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.293.4170.6-16.220%
vs Similar (9)76.678.3154.9-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.977.1168.0+13.780%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Leones De PonceGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H15/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A15/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H18/05
BSN
Academia de la Montana
#15
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H11/02
Americas League
Cocodrilos
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/02
Americas League
Weber Bahia
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/02
Americas League
Weber Bahia
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/03
Americas League
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A05/03
Americas League
San Lorenzo
#4
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H05/03
Americas League
79.0Avg total
40.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.577.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.536.577.0+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)38.238.977.2-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.379.0+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.675.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.740.883.4+1.967%-
vs Similar (18)38.736.475.2+2.356%-
vs Weaker (3)35.034.369.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballos de Cocle
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H28/01
Americas League
Leones Quilpue
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A29/01
Americas League
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A30/01
Americas League
Soles
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H25/02
Americas League
La Union
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A25/02
Americas League
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A27/02
Americas League
Guaiqueries
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/03
LPB
Guaiqueries
#3
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A09/03
LPB
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H11/03
LPB
Trotamundos
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/03
LPB
78.5Avg total
41.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.476.1+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.034.477.4+8.680%-
Last 30 away (15)36.438.374.7-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.078.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.075.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.840.679.4-1.860%-
vs Similar (9)33.035.468.4-2.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.535.379.9+9.280%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leones De Ponce wins
0
Guaros de Lara wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17HSan Lorenzo115-107 OT
05/03/17AHebraica y Macabi67-80
04/03/17HWeber Bahia95-82
12/02/17HWeber Bahia92-96 OT
12/02/17ACocodrilos88-84
11/02/17HAcademia de la Montana76-61
18/05/16HCapitanes de Arecibo114-115 OT
15/05/16ACapitanes de Arecibo97-103
15/05/16HCapitanes de Arecibo86-96
13/05/16ACapitanes de Arecibo84-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HTrotamundos105-111 OT
11/03/17HTrotamundos81-57
09/03/17AGuaiqueries89-90
08/03/17AGuaiqueries84-90
27/02/17AFuerza Regia70-77 OT
25/02/17ALa Union82-72
25/02/17HSoles88-86
30/01/17AFuerza Regia78-84
29/01/17ALeones Quilpue103-80
28/01/17HCaballos de Cocle92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones De Ponce
Americas League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game88.894.577.5
Allowed / game85.086.582.0
Point differential+3.8+8.0-4.5
Avg total173.8181.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Guaros de Lara
Americas League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game85.590.083.2
Allowed / game80.384.578.2
Point differential+5.2+5.5+5.0
Avg total165.8174.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia76186%83.369.7+13.6
2 Weber Bahia76186%83.676.0+7.6
3 San Lorenzo64267%86.079.5+6.5
4 Guaros de Lara64267%85.580.3+5.2
5 Leones De Ponce64267%88.885.0+3.8
6 Aguada32167%95.795.7+0.0
7 Hebraica y Macabi63350%78.779.0-0.3
8 La Union63350%77.280.7-3.5
9 Cocodrilos31233%82.780.0+2.7
10 Soles62433%84.582.3+2.2
11 Caballos de Cocle31233%81.787.0-5.3
12 Capitanes de Arecibo31233%74.381.3-7.0
13 Correcaminos de Colon3030%82.093.3-11.3
14 Bucaneros3030%69.381.0-11.7
15 Academia de la Montana3030%67.786.3-18.7
16 Leones Quilpue3030%77.7103.3-25.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones De Ponce1823222487
Guaros de Lara27281629100
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