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Leones De Ponce vs Mets de Guaynabo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-94
26-23 29-18 25-26 17-27
Position#5
Record11-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#10
Record9-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game96.1
Puerto RicoBSN· Auditorio Juan Pachín Vicéns
Other2025
Meetings · Leones De Ponce v Mets de Guaynabo
02 Jun 2025
LEON97
METS94
26 Jul 2024
LEON87
METS70
22 Jul 2024
LEON91
METS86
18 Jul 2024
LEON89
METS75
12 Jun 2024
LEON63
METS73
12 Jun 2023
LEON96
METS86
10 Apr 2022
LEON93
METS92
19 Oct 2021
LEON105
METS67
15 Oct 2021
LEON67
METS81
11 Oct 2021
LEON92
METS79
24 Aug 2021
LEON106
METS109
11 Nov 2020
LEON113
METS100
05 Jun 2020
LEON v METS
upcoming
08 Apr 2020
LEON v METS
upcoming
10 Apr 2015
LEON85
METS99
20 Mar 2015
LEON90
METS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones De Ponce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mets de Guaynabo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Cangrejeros
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
59avg 79
H03/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
77avg 79
H05/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
79avg 79
H07/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
82-94
82
94
-12
70avg 79
A09/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
111avg 79
H13/05
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
no box
A16/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
72avg 79
H18/05
BSN
San German
#8
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 79
A23/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
91-92
91
92
-1
87avg 79
H25/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
82avg 79
H30/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
15-19
24-22
12-19
16-18
28-23
21-24
25-16
22-24
15-17
21-15
25-22
23-32
15-19
20-26
24-17
19-32
24-18
19-14
26-24
18-30
29-15
23-20
26-22
24-11
15-23
26-30
10-10
17-19
18-12
18-32
25-27
24-27
17-19
24-26
26-20
18-16
28-20
24-34
18-21
173.0Avg total
86.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.086.3171.2-1.348%
Season at home (13)83.884.5168.3-0.854%
Season away (10)86.588.5175.0-2.040%
Last 10 (10)86.087.0173.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.686.8172.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)82.684.3166.8-1.740%
vs Weaker (5)91.886.8178.6+5.080%
This opponent (Mets de Guaynabo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mets de GuaynaboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuaynabo
Date
Competition
Cangrejeros
#2
L
92-104
92
104
-12
88avg 83
H30/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
107-90
107
90
+17
102avg 83
H06/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
78avg 83
A08/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
94-112
94
112
-18
89avg 83
A11/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
93-99
93
99
-6
87avg 83
A15/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
89-92
89
92
-3
77avg 83
H17/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
90avg 83
A19/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
114-121 OT
114
121
-7
110avg 83
H24/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
84-94
84
94
-10
76avg 83
H28/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 83
A30/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
30-27
16-25
28-27
25-15
32-16
29-28
21-31
20-24
19-15
22-22
20-20
24-24
20-28
21-31
29-29
23-23
23-30
23-26
24-20
24-20
26-16
24-25
15-31
20-24
23-23
26-15
27-34
30-22
26-28
23-28
25-26
16-26
24-24
27-24
17-20
19-19
23-28
28-18
27-26
196.6Avg total
95.9Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)93.496.1189.5-2.836%
Season at home (12)95.897.1192.9-1.242%
Season away (13)91.195.2186.3-4.231%
Last 10 (10)95.9100.7196.6-4.820%
Last 5 (5)96.6101.8198.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.499.9186.3-13.40%
vs Similar ◀ (23)92.793.4186.1-0.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
Leones De PonceMets de Guaynabo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cangrejeros
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H03/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A09/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H13/05
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H25/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/05
BSN
81.6Avg total
40.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.9-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.339.181.4+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)37.143.280.3-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.381.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)39.040.379.2-1.348%-
vs Weaker (5)45.443.889.2+1.660%-
This opponent (Mets de Guaynabo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mets de GuaynaboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cangrejeros
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H30/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A11/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A15/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H17/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A19/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H24/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H28/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/05
BSN
92.2Avg total
46.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.189.1+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.142.491.5+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.445.586.9-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)46.545.792.2+0.830%-
Last 5 (5)46.246.092.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.048.691.6-5.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)45.642.788.3+2.952%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.5
54.2%
53.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.8
29.4%
36.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws26.220.1
76.7%
75.6%20.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mets de Guaynabotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mets de Guaynabo: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.9
54.9%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.3
36.3%
36.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
75.6%15.4
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leones De Ponce
LLLWWWLWWL
Mets de Guaynabo
WLLLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#10
-1.0
Net rating
-5.8
112.2
Offensive rating
115.8
113.2
Defensive rating
121.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.3%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.4%
3-point %
36.3%
60.4%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 115.8Defence113.2 · 121.7Shooting50.6% · 54.7%3-point %29.4% · 36.3%Ball care14.1% · 12.3%Off. rebounds28.8% · 24.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Leones De Ponce   ■ Mets de Guaynabo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25HPiratas de Quebradillas88-91
25/05/25HAguada Santeros91-92
23/05/25ASan German78-90
18/05/25HSan German75-74
16/05/25AOsos de Manati96-87
13/05/25HAguada Santeros108-104 OT
09/05/25APiratas de Quebradillas82-94
07/05/25HGigantes de Carolina83-78
05/05/25HSan German90-81
03/05/25HCangrejeros69-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25AGigantes de Carolina97-91
28/05/25HIndios de Mayaguez84-94
24/05/25HCriollos de Caguas114-121 OT
19/05/25ACriollos de Caguas99-111 OT
17/05/25HVaqueros de Bayamon89-92
15/05/25AAguada Santeros93-99
11/05/25AGigantes de Carolina94-112
08/05/25ACriollos de Caguas90-93 OT
06/05/25HCapitanes de Arecibo107-90
30/04/25HCangrejeros92-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones De Ponce
BSN 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWWWLL54%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %48%54%40%
Points / game85.083.886.5
Allowed / game86.384.588.5
Point differential-1.3-0.8-2.0
Avg total171.2168.3175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Mets de Guaynabo
BSN 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%42%31%
Points / game93.495.891.1
Allowed / game96.197.195.2
Point differential-2.8-1.2-4.2
Avg total189.5192.9186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%8%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon2720774%90.782.6+8.1
2 Piratas de Quebradillas2617965%90.488.8+1.7
3 Cangrejeros2415962%88.187.5+0.6
4 Indios de Mayaguez26151158%87.986.4+1.5
5 Criollos de Caguas25141156%91.889.8+2.0
6 Capitanes de Arecibo26141254%86.887.7-0.9
7 Gigantes de Carolina23121152%88.988.9-0.0
8 Leones De Ponce23111248%85.086.3-1.3
9 San German26111542%89.390.7-1.4
10 Mets de Guaynabo2591636%93.496.1-2.8
11 Aguada Santeros2481633%87.089.1-2.1
12 Osos de Manati2542116%89.695.7-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones De Ponce2629251797
Mets de Guaynabo2318262794
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