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Leotar Trebinje vs Orlovik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 82-78
Projected total 160.5
Final 55-75
19-21 15-21 8-15 13-18
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game71.0
Vs
64%
36%
■ LEOT 64%■ ORLO 36%
Pythia win probability
Orlovik 🏆
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.2
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 6· Sportska dvorana Milos Mrdic
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leotar Trebinje v Orlovik
08 Nov 2026
LEOT55
ORLO75
08 Mar 2026
LEOT67
ORLO80
11 Jan 2025
LEOT85
ORLO69
17 Apr 2024
LEOT104
ORLO101
27 Jan 2024
LEOT90
ORLO89
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Leotar Trebinje host Orlovik in the Prvenstvo BiH on 7 November 2026, with the model favouring Leotar Trebinje at 64% to 36% for the away side; the projected score is 82-78 and the total is 160.5 points. Leotar Trebinje are 4-1 this season, averaging 72.6 points and allowing 71.0, and sit third in the league; at home they are unbeaten 2-0, scoring 74.5 and conceding 67.5, and have won four of their last five games, including a 70-68 win over Drina and an 81-75 victory at home against Borac Banja Luka, with a recent loss to Siroki Brijeg 59-77. Orlovik are 3-2, averaging 82.8 points and conceding 83.2, positioned ninth; on the road they are 1-2, scoring 77.3 and allowing 88.0, and have won three of their last five, with a recent 72-95 loss to Borac Banja Luka, a 83-68 win over Promo at home, and a 76-88 defeat to Zrinjski Mostar. In head-to-head history Orlovik lead 5-3, most recently beating Leotar 80-67 on 8 March 2026. The home line is -2.5 with a 57% chance that Leotar Trebinje will cover, and there is a 5% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leotar Trebinje winLost
64.0%fair 1.56
Best odds1.43
Implied67.6%
Edge-3.6pp
Orlovik winWon
36.0%fair 2.78
Best odds2.81
Implied32.4%
Edge+3.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leotar TrebinjeBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrebinje
Date
Competition
Radnicki Gorazde
#15
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 72
A14/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
L
96-98
96
98
-2
92avg 72
H21/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#9
W
87-65
87
65
+22
86avg 72
H28/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
78avg 72
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
70-76
70
76
-6
57avg 72
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#3
W
85-75
85
75
+10
44avg 72
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#13
W
68-60
68
60
+8
62avg 72
H10/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
51avg 72
A19/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
70avg 72
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Drina
#10
W
70-68
70
68
+2
no box
A01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
20-15
19-13
22-26
19-23
26-22
20-28
31-25
23-15
31-17
20-10
13-23
19-20
28-23
24-16
14-26
21-16
13-16
17-18
19-26
27-20
26-24
18-16
14-15
17-22
21-17
16-8
14-13
14-18
23-13
10-29
12-17
15-20
23-19
20-25
23-11
16-12
15-21
29-22
10-13
155.3Avg total
78.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.671.0143.6+1.680%
Season at home (2)74.567.5142.0+7.0100%
Season away (3)71.373.3144.7-2.067%
Last 10 (10)78.776.6155.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)72.671.0143.6+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.184.9158.0-11.820%
vs Similar (9)87.083.0170.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (11)91.783.5175.2+8.355%
This opponent (Orlovik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrlovikBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrlovik
Date
Competition
Jahorina
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
56avg 76
A21/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
63avg 76
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 76
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
91avg 76
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 76
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
65avg 76
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#12
W
99-84
99
84
+15
100avg 76
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#9
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 76
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
75avg 76
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
A02/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-12
13-13
16-20
12-29
15-14
19-9
20-14
16-12
21-26
19-22
26-19
24-23
19-28
24-16
21-21
19-17
19-24
22-16
17-25
19-23
12-17
25-19
28-22
29-20
29-27
20-16
21-21
22-19
19-25
16-24
19-20
29-19
17-18
19-20
18-11
21-24
13-22
12-27
26-22
162.7Avg total
81.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.883.2166.0-0.460%
Season at home (2)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)77.388.0165.3-10.733%
Last 10 (10)81.481.3162.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)82.883.2166.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.382.7160.0-5.333%
vs Similar (12)81.284.9166.2-3.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.874.7159.5+10.173%
This opponent (Leotar Trebinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
68.0%
Under 152.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157.5 · main lineActual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
56.4%
@ 1.79+6.4pp
Under 157.5
43.6%
@ 1.79-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
44.4%
@ 1.85-5.6pp
Under 162.5
55.6%
@ 1.85+5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.68

📊 3. Team Totals

Leotar Trebinje total 80.5Actual: Leotar Trebinje under 80.5
Over 80.5
56.8%
@ 1.65+4.6pp
Under 80.5
43.2%
@ 1.80-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.65
Under
1xBet
1.80
Leotar Trebinje total 84.5 · main lineActual: Leotar Trebinje under 84.5
Over 84.5
41.2%
@ 2.25-3.1pp
Under 84.5
58.8%
@ 1.85+3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.25
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.42
Leotar Trebinje total 88.5Actual: Leotar Trebinje under 88.5
Over 88.5
27.0%
Under 88.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlovik total 74Actual: Orlovik over 74
Over 74
66.0%
Under 74
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlovik total 78 · main lineActual: Orlovik under 78
Over 78
50.4%
@ 1.71+0.1pp
Under 78
49.6%
@ 1.73-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Under
1xBet
1.73
Orlovik total 82Actual: Orlovik under 82
Over 82
34.9%
Under 82
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Leotar Trebinje -5.5Actual: Orlovik +5.5
LEOT -5.5
45.8%
@ 1.88-3.3pp
ORLO +5.5
54.2%
@ 1.81+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
LEOT
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.84
ORLO
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Spread Leotar Trebinje -2.5 · main lineActual: Orlovik +2.5
LEOT -2.5
56.8%
@ 1.79+6.6pp
ORLO +2.5
43.2%
@ 2.16-6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
LEOT
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.50
ORLO
1xBet
2.16
Pinnacle
1.81
Spread Leotar Trebinje +0.5Actual: Orlovik -0.5
LEOT +0.5
64.0%
ORLO -0.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
LEOT
No market prices yet.
ORLO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
Leotar TrebinjeOrlovik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leotar TrebinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Gorazde
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H28/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#3
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H10/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Drina
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/11
Prvenstvo BiH
78.7Avg total
41.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)42.840.883.6+2.147%53%
Last 30 at home (14)44.439.784.1+4.757%57%
Last 30 away (16)41.441.783.1-0.238%50%
Last 10 (10)41.037.778.7+3.350%40%
Last 5 (5)39.437.276.6+2.240%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.541.882.3-1.330%40%
vs Similar (9)44.141.085.1+3.156%67%
vs Weaker (11)43.939.683.5+4.355%55%
This opponent (Orlovik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrlovikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jahorina
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A21/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Radnicki Gorazde
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Zrinjski Mostar
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A02/11
Prvenstvo BiH
81.6Avg total
39.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)42.140.082.1+2.153%47%
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.683.8+4.667%53%
Last 30 away (15)40.040.580.5-0.540%40%
Last 10 (10)39.542.181.6-2.630%40%
Last 5 (5)42.042.884.8-0.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.041.774.7-8.70%0%
vs Similar (12)41.841.783.5+0.250%58%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.138.482.5+5.767%47%
This opponent (Leotar Trebinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Orlovik win
LEOT win
no forecast
@ 1.50
ORLO win
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Spread Leotar Trebinje -1 · main lineActual: Orlovik +1
LEOT -1
no forecast
@ 1.79
ORLO +1
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Under 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Leotar Trebinje 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Leotar Trebinje under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Orlovik 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Orlovik over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 81Actual: Under 81
Over
no forecast
@ 1.77
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Leotar Trebinje -2.5Actual: Orlovik +2.5
LEOT -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
ORLO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Orlovik (regulation)
LEOT
no forecast
@ 1.53
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
ORLO
no forecast
@ 2.57

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LEOT win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
ORLO win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LEOT leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Leotar Trebinje +2.570.4%1.48
1xBet
1.48
----+10.5ppLost
Leotar Trebinje +3.573.1%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+9.7ppLost
Orlovik over 71.574.0%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+8.2ppWon
Orlovik over 72.570.7%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+8.0ppWon
Orlovik over 70.577.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+7.9ppWon
Leotar Trebinje over 75.574.5%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+5.8ppLost
Leotar Trebinje over 76.571.3%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+5.7ppLost
Overtime: no94.9%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.7pp-
Orlovik +10.571.6%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+2.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leotar Trebinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leotar Trebinje: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.8
52.9%
53.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.8
27.0%
32.6%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.213.3
73.1%
67.8%13.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orloviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlovik: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.9
56.9%
53.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
32.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
67.8%13.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leotar Trebinje
WWLWWLWWLL
Orlovik
LWLWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#4
-1.2
Net rating
+5.5
90.3
Offensive rating
95.3
91.5
Defensive rating
89.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.0%
3-point %
33.4%
46.7%
Assist %
56.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 95.3Defence91.5 · 89.8Shooting48.6% · 53.7%3-point %27.0% · 33.4%Ball care16.2% · 16.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Leotar Trebinje   ■ Orlovik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leotar Trebinje wins
5
Orlovik wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ADrina70-68
25/10/26HBorac Banja Luka81-75
19/10/26ASiroki Brijeg59-77
10/10/26HPromo68-60
03/10/26ASlavija85-75
18/04/26AMrkonjic Grad70-76
11/04/26HJahorina97-94 OT
28/03/26HSlavija87-65
21/03/26HPromo96-98
14/03/26ARadnicki Gorazde74-78
Orloviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26ABorac Banja Luka72-95
24/10/26HPromo83-68
17/10/26AZrinjski Mostar76-88
11/10/26HRadnicki Gorazde99-84
03/10/26ASloboda84-81
18/04/26ABasket Zivinice77-82
11/04/26HSloboda97-90 OT
05/04/26AStudent Igokea82-79
29/03/26HMrkonjic Grad75-79 OT
21/03/26AJahorina69-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leotar Trebinje
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game72.674.571.3
Allowed / game71.067.573.3
Point differential+1.6+7.0-2.0
Avg total143.6142.0144.7
Over 157.520%0%33%
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orlovik
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game82.891.077.3
Allowed / game83.276.088.0
Point differential-0.4+15.0-10.7
Avg total166.0167.0165.3
Over 157.580%50%100%
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zivinice65183%76.271.5+4.7
2 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
3 Leotar Trebinje54180%72.671.0+1.6
4 Slavija64267%85.581.8+3.7
5 Sloboda53260%88.478.0+10.4
6 Igman53260%88.887.6+1.2
7 Orlovik53260%82.883.2-0.4
8 Borac Banja Luka63350%79.775.5+4.2
9 Zrinjski Mostar63350%77.573.7+3.8
10 Gradina Tesanj62433%75.080.3-5.3
11 Drina51420%72.683.0-10.4
12 Mrkonjic Grad51420%72.883.2-10.4
13 Promo51420%66.077.4-11.4
14 Radnicki Gorazde61517%81.887.3-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leotar Trebinje191581355
Orlovik2121151875
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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