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LePy W vs HNMKY W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-63
17-25 19-10 16-15 23-13
Position#7
Record12-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game59.0
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
HNMKY W
Finland
Position#9
Record10-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game60.2
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
HNMKY W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · LePy W
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 62.1
67.2▲ 5.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 58.7
55.4▼ 3.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 42%
47%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.1
18.2▲ 1.1
🔥 Form · HNMKY W
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 64.0
67.2▲ 3.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 60.2
53.2▼ 7.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 40%
42%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.7
22.6▲ 5.9
LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H08/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#5
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A01/03
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H08/03
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
80-53
80
53
+27
A15/03
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H22/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
18-15
13-12
18-20
4-16
19-14
14-18
5-4
15-12
23-15
17-12
18-14
16-9
13-13
17-12
21-19
16-9
20-13
20-9
19-10
15-15
16-27
13-11
13-24
17-17
15-21
5-18
13-7
11-11
19-8
21-10
18-12
15-14
21-9
23-9
21-21
27-7
15-12
23-15
15-9
121.0Avg total
66.1Scored
54.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)64.059.0123.1+5.060%
Season at home (10)63.755.8119.5+7.960%
Season away (10)64.462.3126.7+2.160%
Last 10 (10)66.154.9121.0+11.260%
Last 5 (5)67.255.4122.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)54.763.0117.7-8.330%
vs Similar ◀ (6)59.063.8122.8-4.833%
vs Weaker (14)72.851.1123.9+21.786%
This opponent (HNMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HNMKY WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H11/01
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
95-49
95
49
+46
A15/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A25/01
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#7
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H01/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A08/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H22/02
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H01/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A08/03
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H14/03
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H22/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
10-7
19-14
14-21
25-8
14-15
29-13
27-13
17-19
17-15
21-13
17-23
9-16
13-13
12-17
19-21
14-19
20-7
21-11
17-21
16-8
21-16
16-15
8-25
17-9
15-8
16-14
19-11
25-18
7-14
16-10
8-20
22-14
21-17
19-15
19-19
19-3
18-11
13-12
21-7
125.8Avg total
69.2Scored
56.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)64.060.2124.2+3.850%
Season at home (11)60.655.8116.5+4.845%
Season away (9)68.165.6133.7+2.656%
Last 10 (10)69.256.6125.8+12.670%
Last 5 (5)67.253.2120.4+14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.074.7132.7-16.729%
vs Similar ◀ (7)56.063.7119.7-7.729%
vs Weaker (16)69.852.5122.3+17.381%
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
LePy WHNMKY W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
HNMKY W
#9
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A01/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H08/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/03
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H08/03
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A15/03
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H22/03
I Divisioona Women
61.7Avg total
33.4Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.061.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.129.161.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)32.529.061.5+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)33.428.361.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.262.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.230.859.0-2.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.533.565.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (14)35.625.961.4+9.779%-
This opponent (HNMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HNMKY WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H11/01
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A15/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A25/01
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#7
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H01/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A08/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/02
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
32-17
32
17
+15
H01/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A08/03
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H14/03
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H22/03
I Divisioona Women
59.2Avg total
34.1Scored
25.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.827.861.6+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.926.860.8+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)33.728.962.6+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)34.125.159.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.223.659.8+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.135.768.9-2.671%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)26.932.058.9-5.10%-
vs Weaker (16)37.222.459.6+14.894%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.415.6
42.9%
41.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.89.0
27.4%
25.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws10.07.2
72.0%
63.9%7.2
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
HNMKY Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HNMKY W: 63.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.218.6
39.4%
41.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.54.8
20.4%
25.8%14.4
🏀 Free throws20.011.7
58.5%
63.9%11.7
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
WWWLLWWWLL
HNMKY W
WWLWLWLWWW
#7
League position
#9
+9.9
Net rating
+2.1
72.7
Offensive rating
62.3
62.8
Defensive rating
60.2
42.1%
Effective FG%
36.5%
41.1%
Opp. effective FG%
37.2%
22.7%
Turnover %
26.0%
41.8%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.4%
3-point %
20.4%
79.3%
Assist %
86.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence72.7 · 62.3Defence62.8 · 60.2Shooting42.1% · 36.5%3-point %27.4% · 20.4%Ball care22.7% · 26.0%Off. rebounds41.8% · 37.3%Free throws0.14 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ LePy W   ■ HNMKY W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LePy W wins
0
HNMKY W wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26HNMKY W v LePy W53-67
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HFeeniks Basket W80-43
15/03/26APeKa II W80-53
08/03/26HHuima W69-41
01/03/26ATapiolan Honka II W50-63
13/02/26ATurun NMKY W57-77
08/02/26HHyPo W75-41
01/02/26AHNMKY W67-53
25/01/26HPantterit W73-53
18/01/26HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W42-52
08/01/26ATapiolan Honka II W68-73
HNMKY Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HPeKa II W71-33
14/03/26HHuima W81-65
08/03/26ATapiolan Honka II W56-62
01/03/26HFeeniks Basket W67-42
22/02/26HHyPo W61-64
08/02/26AJyvaskyla BA W72-58
01/02/26HLePy W53-67
25/01/26ATapiolan Honka II W72-70
15/01/26APeKa II W95-49
11/01/26HLappeenranta W64-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game64.063.764.4
Allowed / game59.055.862.3
Point differential+5.0+7.9+2.1
Avg total123.1119.5126.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
HNMKY W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWWW45%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%45%56%
Points / game64.060.668.1
Allowed / game60.255.865.6
Point differential+3.8+4.8+2.6
Avg total124.2116.5133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%36%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Espoo Team II W2017385%84.857.3+27.6
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2015575%73.061.7+11.3
3 Puhuttaret W2015575%68.358.5+9.8
4 Turun NMKY W2013765%72.360.6+11.8
5 Tapiolan Honka II W2013765%72.065.0+7.0
6 Pyrinto II W2013765%65.059.9+5.2
7 LePy W2012860%64.059.0+5.0
8 Pantterit W2012860%67.064.7+2.3
9 HNMKY W20101050%64.060.2+3.8
10 Lahti Basketball W1991047%64.167.1-3.0
11 Feeniks Basket W2081240%56.263.0-6.8
12 Huima W2071335%63.071.5-8.6
13 Lappeenranta W1961332%60.470.9-10.5
14 Jyvaskyla BA W1961332%58.069.3-11.3
15 PeKa II W2061430%57.565.2-7.7
16 HyPo W2051525%59.275.1-15.8
17 Salon Vilpas W191185%56.478.8-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W1719162375
HNMKY W2510151363
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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