Leverkusen vs Chemnitz Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 14:00

Scheduled

Position#8

Record14-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game83.5

Leverkusen

Chemnitz

Position#1

Record25-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game95.9

Allowed / game81.1

Pro ARound 31

Other2019-20

Meetings · Leverkusen v Chemnitz

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leverkusen win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Chemnitz win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leverkusen Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panthers Schwenningen

58-89

-31

A12/01

Pro A

Trier

71-63

H19/01

Pro A

Paderborn

103-82

103

+21

H25/01

Pro A

Rostock

#12

85-92

-7

A01/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

#10

68-84

-16

H06/02

Pro A

Artland

#14

83-84

-1

A08/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#17

88-81

H14/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

75-99

-24

A23/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

84-77

A29/02

Pro A

Jena

64-80

-16

H06/03

Pro A

21-21

14-27

14-16

9-25

21-14

15-24

12-12

23-13

21-23

27-20

31-22

24-17

27-28

20-17

22-24

16-23

5-22

26-22

16-20

21-20

18-18

23-19

20-24

22-23

27-20

13-19

23-24

25-18

19-16

20-25

15-27

21-31

21-14

19-21

19-24

25-18

19-24

13-20

15-22

17-14

161.0Avg total

77.9Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.1	83.5	164.6	-2.4	52%
Season at home (13)	84.6	79.5	164.2	+5.1	77%
Season away (14)	77.8	87.1	164.9	-9.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	83.1	161.0	-5.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	84.2	163.0	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.6	82.4	155.0	-9.8	25%
vs Similar (17)	85.2	84.7	169.9	+0.5	65%
vs Weaker (5)	87.4	79.6	167.0	+7.8	80%

This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Chemnitz

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

97-68

+29

A10/01

Pro A

Trier

99-92

H14/01

Pro A

Ehingen

#17

104-72

104

+32

H18/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

102-85

102

+17

A26/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#15

75-69

A01/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

85-74

+11

H05/02

Pro A

Rostock

#12

109-82

109

+27

H15/02

Pro A

Tubingen

#13

94-80

+14

A01/03

Pro A

Paderborn

91-92

-1

A06/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

131-125 OT

131

125

H08/03

Pro A

20-26

21-16

18-15

38-11

22-23

26-21

28-20

23-28

28-20

25-17

22-15

29-20

25-23

25-18

22-24

30-20

12-21

28-17

19-18

16-13

14-19

28-11

21-17

22-27

25-19

34-15

28-19

22-29

15-24

23-21

26-9

30-26

31-26

19-20

20-20

21-26

32-21

13-30

27-27

24-18

182.6Avg total

98.7Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	95.9	81.1	177.0	+14.8	93%
Season at home (14)	96.6	79.8	176.4	+16.8	100%
Season away (13)	95.2	82.5	177.8	+12.7	85%
Last 10 (10)	98.7	83.9	182.6	+14.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	102.0	90.6	192.6	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	84.0	79.7	163.7	+4.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	95.9	81.1	177.0	+14.8	93%

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LeverkusenChemnitz

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	22.3	44.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.7	21.7	41.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	19.6	43.7	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	18.7	43.2	+5.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	20.7	44.3	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	18.6	42.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.4	42.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.6	19.7	44.4	+4.9	78%	-

LeverkusenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panthers Schwenningen

35-48

-13

A12/01

Pro A

Trier

36-38

-2

H19/01

Pro A

Paderborn

48-43

H25/01

Pro A

Rostock

#12

47-45

A01/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

#10

31-44

-13

H06/02

Pro A

Artland

#14

41-37

A08/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#17

40-39

H14/02

Pro A

Heidelberg

39-41

-2

A23/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

40-35

A29/02

Pro A

Jena

32-44

-12

H06/03

Pro A

80.3Avg total

38.9Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.8	81.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	39.4	79.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	43.9	82.9	-4.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.4	80.3	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	39.2	77.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.4	42.5	78.9	-6.1	12%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	60%	-

This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

41-42

-1

A10/01

Pro A

Trier

48-44

H14/01

Pro A

Ehingen

#17

53-37

+16

H18/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

50-41

A26/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#15

40-38

A01/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

42-30

+12

H05/02

Pro A

Rostock

#12

59-34

+25

H15/02

Pro A

Tubingen

#13

38-45

-7

A01/03

Pro A

Paderborn

50-46

A06/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

45-51

-6

H08/03

Pro A

87.4Avg total

46.6Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	40.0	86.9	+6.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.6	37.4	84.9	+10.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.2	43.0	89.2	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	40.8	87.4	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	41.2	88.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.0	40.3	79.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.8	40.0	87.8	+7.9	78%	-

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.5	40.2	-2.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	15.4	19.1	34.5	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.8	42.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.4	42.8	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.7	18.3	41.0	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.1	44.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.4	18.9	44.4	+6.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.2	20.6	46.8	+5.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.1	20.9	47.0	+5.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	21.8	47.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	25.2	49.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.9	20.1	44.1	+3.8	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	41.4	84.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	38.7	83.7	+6.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	43.8	84.8	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.7	80.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	45.0	85.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.2	39.9	76.1	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	44.4	42.5	86.9	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	48.2	40.2	88.4	+8.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	40.0	86.6	+6.6	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.5	39.4	83.9	+5.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	49.1	40.6	89.7	+8.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	40.2	88.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	43.6	91.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.0	39.3	84.3	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.8	40.1	86.9	+6.7	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leverkusen wins

Chemnitz wins

Date	Game	Score
28/09/19	Chemnitz v Leverkusen	99-71
26/03/16	Leverkusen v Chemnitz	69-82
17/10/15	Chemnitz v Leverkusen	89-59
08/03/15	Leverkusen v Chemnitz	85-78
15/11/14	Chemnitz v Leverkusen	87-78
01/03/14	Chemnitz v Leverkusen	92-84
06/10/13	Leverkusen v Chemnitz	65-70

Leverkusenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/20	H	Jena	64-80
29/02/20	A	Kirchheim	84-77
23/02/20	A	Heidelberg	75-99
14/02/20	H	Ehingen	88-81
08/02/20	A	Artland	83-84
06/02/20	H	Phoenix Hagen	68-84
01/02/20	A	Rostock	85-92
25/01/20	H	Paderborn	103-82
19/01/20	H	Trier	71-63
12/01/20	A	Panthers Schwenningen	58-89

Chemnitzlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Kirchheim	131-125 OT
06/03/20	A	Paderborn	91-92
01/03/20	A	Tubingen	94-80
15/02/20	H	Rostock	109-82
05/02/20	H	Bremerhaven	85-74
01/02/20	A	PS Karlsruhe	75-69
26/01/20	A	Heidelberg	102-85
18/01/20	H	Ehingen	104-72
14/01/20	H	Trier	99-92
10/01/20	A	Jena	97-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leverkusen

Pro A 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	52%
Home	WWLWL	77%
Away	LLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	52%	77%	29%
Points / game	81.1	84.6	77.8
Allowed / game	83.5	79.5	87.1
Point differential	-2.4	+5.1	-9.4
Avg total	164.6	164.2	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	31%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Chemnitz

Pro A 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	85%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	93%	100%	85%
Points / game	95.9	96.6	95.2
Allowed / game	81.1	79.8	82.5
Point differential	+14.8	+16.8	+12.7
Avg total	177.0	176.4	177.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	63%	71%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Chemnitz	27	25	2	93%	95.9	81.1	+14.8
2	Bremerhaven	27	20	7	74%	88.6	78.6	+10.0
3	Jena	27	18	9	67%	83.3	83.1	+0.1
4	Heidelberg	28	16	12	57%	81.3	79.2	+2.1
5	Nurnberger	28	16	12	57%	82.6	82.7	-0.1
6	Trier	27	14	13	52%	83.6	80.9	+2.7
7	Paderborn	27	14	13	52%	88.2	87.3	+0.9
8	Leverkusen	27	14	13	52%	81.1	83.5	-2.4
9	Panthers Schwenningen	28	14	14	50%	79.6	79.4	+0.2
10	Phoenix Hagen	27	13	14	48%	84.5	82.6	+1.9
11	Kirchheim	28	13	15	46%	83.4	85.6	-2.2
12	Rostock	27	12	15	44%	80.0	81.1	-1.0
13	Tubingen	28	12	16	43%	81.0	82.4	-1.4
14	Artland	27	10	17	37%	79.6	83.3	-3.7
15	PS Karlsruhe	27	9	18	33%	80.7	84.1	-3.4
16	Schalke	27	8	19	30%	77.3	82.0	-4.7
17	Ehingen	27	4	23	15%	74.1	87.9	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Leverkusen vs Chemnitz Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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