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Liaoning vs Beijing Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game78.8
ChinaCBARound 14· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liaoning v Beijing
16 Dec 2026
LIAO v BEIJ
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
LIAO83
BEIJ93
20 Dec 2024
LIAO105
BEIJ106
05 Feb 2024
LIAO113
BEIJ85
12 Nov 2023
LIAO109
BEIJ91
18 Apr 2023
LIAO97
BEIJ84
10 Jan 2023
LIAO82
BEIJ74
14 Oct 2022
LIAO83
BEIJ81
07 Jan 2022
LIAO103
BEIJ95
18 Jan 2021
LIAO104
BEIJ96
22 Nov 2019
LIAO109
BEIJ91
28 Oct 2018
LIAO104
BEIJ98
19 Mar 2018
LIAO123
BEIJ119
17 Mar 2018
LIAO87
BEIJ95
06 Dec 2017
LIAO104
BEIJ97
11 Dec 2016
LIAO108
BEIJ96
08 Jan 2016
LIAO108
BEIJ96
22 Mar 2015
LIAO98
BEIJ106
12 Mar 2015
LIAO108
BEIJ94
10 Mar 2015
LIAO84
BEIJ103
23 Jan 2015
LIAO120
BEIJ96
06 Dec 2013
LIAO99
BEIJ106
08 Jan 2013
LIAO105
BEIJ124
30 Nov 2012
LIAO104
BEIJ109
01 Jan 2012
LIAO111
BEIJ104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Beijing win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Liaoning
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.3
98.0▲ 10.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.9
90.8▲ 4.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.2
23.8▲ 3.6
🔥 Form · Beijing
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 91.6
108.2▲ 16.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.0
78.2▼ 4.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 61%
69%▲ 8%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.5
24.8▲ 4.3
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A24/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
A30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-18
31-25
27-19
24-17
25-18
14-19
14-13
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
183.2Avg total
93.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.589.7187.2+7.883%
Season at home (2)101.090.0191.0+11.0100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)93.889.4183.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)98.090.8188.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker (13)97.686.9184.5+10.785%
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A15/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A17/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H20/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
85-99
85
99
-14
H22/05
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A18/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H20/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
120-62
120
62
+58
H22/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#12
W
117-73
117
73
+44
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A27/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
105-86
105
86
+19
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-29
20-21
25-17
16-16
26-26
30-21
27-25
15-26
14-22
14-18
23-15
23-15
28-20
11-39
23-25
16-25
21-21
18-12
29-24
24-25
34-19
20-19
18-15
32-18
30-11
29-12
29-21
32-16
32-19
30-18
23-20
25-15
30-22
26-34
22-21
26-18
25-31
27-17
27-20
178.5Avg total
95.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)104.278.8183.0+25.3100%
Season at home (3)111.071.0182.0+40.0100%
Season away (3)97.386.7184.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)95.782.8178.5+12.970%
Last 5 (5)108.278.2186.4+30.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.088.6171.6-5.620%
vs Similar (8)90.184.8174.9+5.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)98.481.6180.0+16.888%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
LiaoningBeijing
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A24/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
99.2Avg total
51.0Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.845.693.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.944.593.4+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)51.048.299.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)53.049.0102.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker (13)49.646.095.6+3.669%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H20/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H22/05
CBA
Jilin
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H20/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
62-29
62
29
+33
H22/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#12
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A27/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A29/10
CBA
90.0Avg total
48.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.642.288.8+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.639.988.5+8.864%-
Last 30 away (16)44.844.289.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)48.641.490.0+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)58.038.896.8+19.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
vs Similar (8)44.544.188.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)49.840.490.2+9.465%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.924.4
59.7%
53.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.3
38.9%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
74.8%15.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WLWWWWLLWW
Beijing
WWWWWWLLWL
#3
League position
#1
-0.1
Net rating
+16.9
101.5
Offensive rating
107.5
101.6
Defensive rating
90.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
59.1%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
38.9%
62.1%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 107.5Defence101.6 · 90.6Shooting53.6% · 59.1%3-point %33.8% · 38.9%Ball care13.4% · 13.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Liaoning   ■ Beijing
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Liaoning wins
5
Beijing wins
DateGameScore
21/03/26Liaoning v Beijing83-93
17/12/25Beijing v Liaoning94-81
01/01/25Beijing v Liaoning105-90
20/12/24Liaoning v Beijing105-106
13/11/24Beijing v Liaoning90-78
05/02/24Liaoning v Beijing113-85
14/01/24Beijing v Liaoning84-96
12/11/23Liaoning v Beijing109-91
20/04/23Beijing v Liaoning86-105
18/04/23Liaoning v Beijing97-84
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102
28/04/26AShandong77-67
24/04/26AJiangsu Dragons108-89
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AQingdao105-86
27/10/26AShandong103-92
25/10/26HGuangzhou117-73
22/10/26HShenzhen120-62
20/10/26HGuangdong96-78
18/10/26AJilin84-82
22/05/26HShanghai85-99
20/05/26HShanghai66-81
17/05/26AShanghai99-88
15/05/26AShanghai82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game97.5101.095.8
Allowed / game89.790.089.5
Point differential+7.8+11.0+6.2
Avg total187.2191.0185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beijing
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.2111.097.3
Allowed / game78.871.086.7
Point differential+25.3+40.0+10.7
Avg total183.0182.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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