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Liberty vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-62
43-29 39-33
Position#30
Record13-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game58.5
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Central Arkansas
USA
Position#341
Record6-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game81.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Summit
#600
W
101-49
101
49
+52
H07/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A13/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H17/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H20/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#658
W
88-50
88
50
+38
H21/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A29/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-23
53-26
42-38
28-46
32-33
50-29
33-32
42-24
47-21
41-29
35-24
35-29
33-18
44-30
38-13
37-28
29-30
30-32
39-20
33-34
132.8Avg total
76.9Scored
55.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.958.5133.4+16.472%
Season at home (13)79.953.3133.2+26.692%
Season away (5)62.072.0134.0-10.020%
Last 10 (10)76.955.9132.8+21.080%
Last 5 (5)70.651.6122.2+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)66.282.2148.5-16.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.460.5136.8+15.981%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#278
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
78-111
78
111
-33
A11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A17/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A21/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
57-103
57
103
-46
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A31/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A07/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
45-32
39-54
39-57
30-52
36-35
27-32
39-43
25-49
32-54
31-33
35-49
42-41
33-34
32-49
43-28
29-41
33-45
51-44
41-47
157.6Avg total
71.3Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.881.3155.1-7.533%
Season at home (7)80.372.3152.6+8.057%
Season away (11)69.687.0156.6-17.418%
Last 10 (10)71.386.3157.6-15.020%
Last 5 (5)74.884.0158.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.080.6153.6-7.537%
vs Similar (2)66.085.5151.5-19.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: -4.8-4.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: -9.7-9.72nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: -4.8-4.8
LibertyCentral Arkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Summit
#600
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H07/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#658
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
38-13
38
13
+25
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H13/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
37.6Scored
25.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.627.664.2+9.073%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.326.063.3+11.374%-
Last 30 away (11)35.530.365.7+5.273%-
Last 10 (10)37.625.262.8+12.480%-
Last 5 (5)34.821.055.8+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)35.037.072.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)36.826.163.0+10.777%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#278
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A17/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A21/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H06/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/01
NCAA
76.3Avg total
33.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.137.271.3-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.934.068.9+0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)33.439.673.1-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)33.343.076.3-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.678.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)33.837.771.4-3.937%-
vs Similar (2)30.038.068.0-8.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liberty wins
0
Central Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
22/02/22Central Arkansas v Liberty66-85
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23HNorth Alabama72-54
08/01/23AEastern Kentucky59-62
06/01/23HJacksonville State75-41
03/01/23HLipscomb77-48
29/12/22ABellarmine70-53
21/12/22HMid-Atlantic88-50
20/12/22HGrambling St.75-56
17/12/22HBryant University82-62
13/12/22AOral Roberts70-84
07/12/22HSummit101-49
Central Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23AQueens Royals92-91
07/01/23AAustin Peay62-86
06/01/23HEastern Kentucky75-77
03/01/23HFlorida Gulf Coast79-84 OT
31/12/22AKennesaw State66-82
28/12/22ATCU57-103
21/12/22AUALR66-75
17/12/22AOklahoma66-87
11/12/22AOral Roberts78-111
07/12/22HArkansas State72-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %72%92%20%
Points / game74.979.962.0
Allowed / game58.553.372.0
Point differential+16.4+26.6-10.0
Avg total133.4133.2134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%92%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %33%57%18%
Points / game73.880.369.6
Allowed / game81.372.387.0
Point differential-7.5+8.0-17.4
Avg total155.1152.6156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %11%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1813572%74.958.5+16.4
2 Sam Houston St.1712571%77.858.8+18.9
3 Kennesaw State1913668%74.868.3+6.6
4 Western Kentucky1610662%74.468.1+6.4
5 Middle Tenn. St.1710759%70.065.8+4.2
6 Louisiana Tech1810856%76.469.1+7.3
7 Delaware1810856%69.971.2-1.3
8 UTEP179853%70.267.1+3.1
9 Florida International168850%73.775.3-1.6
10 Missouri State178947%66.362.9+3.4
11 Jacksonville State1981142%69.270.8-1.7
12 New Mexico State1771041%74.668.1+6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens Royals1913668%81.473.9+7.4
2 Florida Gulf Coast1913668%71.467.6+3.8
3 Eastern Kentucky1912763%80.973.4+7.5
4 Stetson1710759%75.971.1+4.9
5 Jacksonville1710759%64.860.4+4.4
6 Lipscomb1911858%75.969.1+6.8
7 North Alabama1991047%74.074.5-0.5
8 Bellarmine1981142%66.764.4+2.3
9 Austin Peay1981142%70.471.7-1.4
10 North Florida1871139%73.877.9-4.1
11 Central Arkansas1861233%73.881.3-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty433982
Central Arkansas293362
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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