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Liberty vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 51-67
0-0 24-28 0-0 27-39
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game61.5
Liberty
USA
vs
Illinois (Chi.) 🏆
USA
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game71.0
USACITCIT - Semi-finals
Other2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#20
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H14/03
CIT
Samford
#10
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H20/03
CIT
UMBC Retrievers
#3
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A26/03
CIT
N. Carolina A&T
#16
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H13/03
CIT
Central Michigan
#5
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H24/03
CIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
33-22
–
40-42
0-0
30-24
0-0
36-34
0-0
30-40
0-0
38-40
0-0
23-21
0-0
42-31
0-0
39-39
0-0
45-32
136.2Avg total
71.2Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.561.5136.0+13.0100%
Season at home (2)74.561.5136.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (5)71.265.0136.2+6.280%
Last 5 (5)71.265.0136.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (2)67.069.0136.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (1)84.071.0155.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#26
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/03
CIT
Northern Iowa
#3
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A24/03
CIT
Stony Brook
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H17/03
CBI
George Washington
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H21/03
CBI
Coastal Carolina
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A22/03
CBI
St. Francis (PA)
#20
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H15/03
CIT
Austin Peay
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A22/03
CIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-30
0-0
34-39
0-0
24-25
0-0
27-38
0-0
35-32
0-0
36-37
0-0
42-32
0-0
38-39
0-0
29-36
0-0
49-53
0-0
35-29
0-0
49-32
0-0
31-36
0-0
52-45
147.1Avg total
75.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.571.0154.5+12.5100%
Season at home (1)84.061.0145.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (7)75.371.9147.1+3.471%
Last 5 (5)79.274.2153.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.063.0114.0-12.00%
vs Similar (3)80.380.3160.7+0.067%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Liberty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
LibertyIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#10
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H20/03
CIT
UMBC Retrievers
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A26/03
CIT
N. Carolina A&T
#16
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H13/03
CIT
Central Michigan
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H24/03
CIT
61.5Avg total
30.5Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)30.531.061.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (3)30.728.058.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (1)30.040.070.0-10.00%-
Last 10 (4)30.531.061.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (4)30.531.061.5-0.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (2)30.032.062.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#26
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H21/03
CIT
Northern Iowa
#3
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A24/03
CIT
Stony Brook
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/03
CBI
George Washington
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/03
CBI
Coastal Carolina
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A22/03
CBI
St. Francis (PA)
#20
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/03
CIT
Austin Peay
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A22/03
CIT
66.0Avg total
34.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)34.631.466.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (4)39.530.870.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 away (3)28.032.360.3-4.30%-
Last 10 (7)34.631.466.0+3.157%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.067.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.025.049.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (3)34.034.768.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Liberty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
No previous meetings.
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/18HCentral Michigan84-71
13/03/18HN. Carolina A&T65-52
26/03/17AUMBC Retrievers68-80
20/03/17HSamford66-58
14/03/17HNorfolk State73-64
Illinois (Chi.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/18AAustin Peay83-81
15/03/18HSt. Francis (PA)84-61
22/03/17ACoastal Carolina78-89
21/03/17HGeorge Washington80-71
17/03/17HStony Brook71-69
24/03/13ANorthern Iowa51-63
21/03/13HChicago State80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
CIT 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.574.5-
Allowed / game61.561.5-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Illinois (Chi.)
CIT 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.584.083.0
Allowed / game71.061.081.0
Point differential+12.5+23.0+2.0
Avg total154.5145.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty220100%74.561.5+13.0
2 Illinois (Chi.)220100%83.571.0+12.5
3 Northern Colorado220100%83.573.5+10.0
4 Sam Houston St.220100%72.565.5+7.0
5 San Diego Toreros32167%76.774.0+2.7
6 Central Michigan32167%87.789.0-1.3
7 Austin Peay21150%80.574.5+6.0
8 Eastern Michigan21150%72.567.0+5.5
9 UTSA Roadrunners21150%72.572.5+0.0
10 Drake21150%76.077.0-1.0
11 Portland State1010%64.067.0-3.0
12 Wofford1010%94.098.0-4.0
13 IPFW1010%89.094.0-5.0
14 Abilene Christian1010%73.080.0-7.0
15 Lamar1010%69.076.0-7.0
16 N. Carolina A&T1010%52.065.0-13.0
17 Louisiana Monroe1010%66.080.0-14.0
18 Hartford1010%72.088.0-16.0
19 Niagara1010%65.083.0-18.0
20 St. Francis (PA)1010%61.084.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liberty02402751
Illinois (Chi.)02803967
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