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Liberty vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-76
22-39 50-37
Position#30
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#21
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game50.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville
#77
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A12/02
NCAA
North Florida
#293
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Stetson
#284
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H20/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A22/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
72-82 OT
72
82
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
104-38
104
38
+66
H08/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
27-41
38-33
31-39
40-33
48-49
34-32
51-34
31-29
35-37
37-42
40-35
23-24
29-23
55-17
49-21
31-40
28-55
45-21
34-42
148.8Avg total
77.7Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.765.3146.0+15.367%
Season at home (2)91.550.5142.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)59.095.0154.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)77.771.1148.8+6.660%
Last 5 (5)78.867.2146.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)68.272.8141.0-4.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)78.863.4142.2+15.588%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#287
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A25/02
NCAA
Rice
#197
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
A27/02
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H03/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H05/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A10/03
NCAA
William Carey
#503
W
75-42
75
42
+33
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#448
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-45
35-29
19-39
42-46
33-29
31-35
32-44
36-37
24-36
43-34
25-30
42-34
29-35
30-51
27-22
48-20
29-25
31-23
45-32
41-30
136.4Avg total
67.5Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.750.7124.3+23.0100%
Season at home (2)80.552.0132.5+28.5100%
Season away (1)60.048.0108.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.568.9136.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)69.460.4129.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)62.777.3140.0-14.58%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)80.250.5130.8+29.8100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.0+4.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.0+4.0
LibertySouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville
#77
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/02
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Stetson
#284
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H24/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#253
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Regent University
#636
W
55-17
55
17
+38
H08/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H15/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
37.6Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.229.166.3+8.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.226.866.0+12.581%-
Last 30 away (14)34.931.766.6+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)37.630.367.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.228.867.0+9.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.833.566.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.328.066.3+10.475%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#287
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A25/02
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A27/02
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H05/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A09/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A10/03
NCAA
William Carey
#503
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#448
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
28.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.534.565.0-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.835.968.8-3.123%-
Last 30 away (17)28.833.462.1-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)28.833.762.5-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)31.028.859.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.235.664.8-6.519%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)39.527.066.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
0
Southern Miss wins
No previous meetings.
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22HN. Carolina Central79-63
12/11/22AAlabama59-95
08/11/22HRegent University104-38
04/03/22HLipscomb52-47
26/02/22HKennesaw State100-93 OT
24/02/22HFlorida Gulf Coast72-82 OT
22/02/22ACentral Arkansas85-66
20/02/22HStetson88-82
16/02/22ANorth Florida69-72
12/02/22AJacksonville69-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22HLoyola NO86-62
12/11/22AVanderbilt60-48
08/11/22HWilliam Carey75-42
10/03/22AFlorida Atlantic59-86
09/03/22AUTSA Roadrunners67-64
05/03/22HCharlotte67-70
03/03/22HUAB68-81
27/02/22ARice72-77 OT
25/02/22ANorth Texas61-85
22/02/22HMarshall60-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.791.559.0
Allowed / game65.350.595.0
Point differential+15.3+41.0-36.0
Avg total146.0142.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.780.560.0
Allowed / game50.752.048.0
Point differential+23.0+28.5+12.0
Avg total124.3132.5108.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.440100%80.246.8+33.5
2 Western Kentucky330100%87.057.0+30.0
3 Kennesaw State43175%86.062.0+24.0
4 Middle Tenn. St.32167%76.058.0+18.0
5 Liberty32167%80.765.3+15.3
6 UTEP32167%74.365.0+9.3
7 Florida International32167%82.082.3-0.3
8 Jacksonville State21150%85.557.5+28.0
9 New Mexico State21150%82.559.5+23.0
10 Missouri State21150%73.056.5+16.5
11 Delaware21150%74.564.5+10.0
12 Louisiana Tech31233%73.773.0+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina220100%103.545.0+58.5
2 James Madison440100%105.256.8+48.5
3 Troy440100%83.858.8+25.0
4 Appalachian State330100%94.069.3+24.7
5 Southern Miss330100%73.750.7+23.0
6 Louisiana Lafayette440100%89.070.2+18.8
7 Marshall32167%89.372.3+17.0
8 Arkansas State32167%73.358.0+15.3
9 Old Dominion53260%73.669.2+4.4
10 Louisiana Monroe42250%82.574.2+8.2
11 Georgia State42250%69.865.8+4.0
12 Texas State42250%64.565.8-1.2
13 South Alabama31233%75.368.0+7.3
14 Georgia Southern31233%54.357.7-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty225072
Southern Miss393776
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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