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Liege W vs Spirou Basket W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:15
Scheduled
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game46.0
Allowed / game86.0
BelgiumTop Division Women· Salle du Bois Saint-Jean
Women2026-27
Meetings · Liege W v Spirou Basket W
16 Jan 2027
LIEG v SPIR
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
LIEG53
SPIR43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Spirou Basket W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Liege W
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 66.4
65.8▼ 0.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 67.8
70.0▲ 2.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 46%
50%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.7
14.0▲ 0.3
🔥 Form · Spirou Basket W
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 48.6
48.6▲ 0.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 63.9
76.0▲ 12.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 43%
43%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 10.4
8.0▼ 2.4
Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#11
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H28/02
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H28/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
A04/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
50-66
50
66
-16
H10/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
39-96
39
96
-57
A12/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
50-92
50
92
-42
A03/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#10
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A11/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H16/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A24/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-9
17-12
18-7
11-10
14-8
13-9
15-16
18-23
19-13
11-17
25-20
11-15
9-19
18-12
12-20
6-30
7-22
13-23
13-21
8-10
16-20
15-12
14-16
11-24
20-21
10-27
9-20
12-13
17-13
19-18
20-6
22-11
22-7
27-16
18-20
13-22
10-26
22-23
24-25
132.9Avg total
64.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.870.0135.8-4.240%
Season at home (1)89.054.0143.0+35.0100%
Season away (4)60.074.0134.0-14.025%
Last 10 (10)64.168.8132.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)65.870.0135.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)56.678.7135.3-22.18%
vs Similar (4)75.578.8154.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.653.5128.1+21.292%
This opponent (Spirou Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou Basket WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#4
L
47-78
47
78
-31
H03/04
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A11/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H14/04
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H17/04
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H25/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
46-72
46
72
-26
A29/04
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A01/05
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#3
L
34-100
34
100
-66
A04/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H11/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
54-90
54
90
-36
A17/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-20
10-18
13-24
18-16
–
–
–
–
8-20
12-4
10-11
22-13
19-6
17-16
21-21
18-25
–
–
–
–
12-14
13-20
10-16
11-22
20-13
11-19
15-13
13-5
8-12
10-31
8-25
8-32
13-12
13-17
18-19
6-20
9-28
23-17
9-21
13-24
103.1Avg total
45.7Scored
57.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)46.086.0132.0-40.00%
Season at home (1)50.068.0118.0-18.00%
Season away (2)44.095.0139.0-51.00%
Last 10 (10)45.757.4103.1-11.750%
Last 5 (5)48.676.0124.6-27.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)50.775.4126.0-24.710%
vs Similar (2)66.564.5131.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (7)53.040.193.1+12.9100%
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
Liege WSpirou Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#11
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H28/02
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H28/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H10/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
13-52
13
52
-39
A12/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A03/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A11/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H16/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A24/10
Top Division Women
62.6Avg total
29.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)32.233.665.8-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.329.865.1+5.562%-
Last 30 away (15)29.536.966.4-7.540%-
Last 10 (10)29.233.462.6-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.463.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)26.438.965.3-12.515%-
vs Similar (3)37.338.375.7-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.226.763.8+10.583%-
This opponent (Spirou Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#4
L
16-38
16
38
-22
H03/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H14/04
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H17/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A29/04
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A01/05
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#3
L
18-43
18
43
-25
A04/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H11/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
Top Division Women
58.9Avg total
25.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)27.635.362.9-7.725%-
Last 30 at home (13)26.933.660.5-6.723%-
Last 30 away (15)28.136.764.9-8.627%-
Last 10 (8)25.533.458.9-7.912%-
Last 5 (5)26.436.663.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)25.938.364.2-12.410%-
vs Similar (2)28.530.559.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (5)34.224.658.8+9.680%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 63.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers7.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.322.4
47.4%
46.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.12.5
16.6%
31.5%7.5
🏀 Free throws17.311.3
65.3%
72.2%11.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spirou Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Basket W: 49.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.4 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.815.1
37.9%
46.8%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.33.5
22.9%
31.5%10.5
🏀 Free throws14.19.0
63.8%
72.2%9.0
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege W
LWWLLLLWWW
Spirou Basket W
LLLWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#10
-11.3
Net rating
-26.3
66.3
Offensive rating
59.8
77.6
Defensive rating
86.1
41.9%
Effective FG%
36.9%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
21.0%
Turnover %
23.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
16.6%
3-point %
22.9%
57.8%
Assist %
50.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence66.3 · 59.8Defence77.6 · 86.1Shooting41.9% · 36.9%3-point %16.6% · 22.9%Ball care21.0% · 23.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Liege W   ■ Spirou Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Liege W wins
1
Spirou Basket W wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Spirou Basket W v Liege W50-68
28/03/26Liege W v Spirou Basket W53-43
28/11/25Spirou Basket W v Liege W66-62
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ABraine W69-96
16/10/26HLummen W89-54
11/10/26ASpirou Basket W68-50
03/10/26AMechelen W50-92
27/09/26APhantoms W53-58
12/04/26ANamur W39-96
10/04/26HNamur W50-66
04/04/26APhantoms W89-87 OT
28/03/26HSpirou Basket W53-43
28/02/26HCharleroi W81-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26APhantoms W54-90
11/10/26HLiege W50-68
04/10/26AKortrijk W34-100
01/05/26ALummen W59-50
29/04/26AWaregem W46-72
25/04/26HCharleroi W20-0
17/04/26HLummen W75-68
14/04/26HWaregem W52-48
11/04/26ACharleroi W20-0
03/04/26HKortrijk W47-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game65.889.060.0
Allowed / game70.054.074.0
Point differential-4.2+35.0-14.0
Avg total135.8143.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spirou Basket W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game46.050.044.0
Allowed / game86.068.095.0
Point differential-40.0-18.0-51.0
Avg total132.0118.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W330100%92.760.7+32.0
2 Braine W550100%88.673.2+15.4
3 Kortrijk W54180%86.263.0+23.2
4 Namur W43175%93.557.8+35.8
5 Phantoms W43175%74.065.2+8.8
6 Jeugd Gentson W42250%77.081.5-4.5
7 Liege W52340%65.870.0-4.2
8 Donza W41325%72.274.2-2.0
9 Waregem W5050%63.487.8-24.4
10 Spirou Basket W3030%46.086.0-40.0
11 Lummen W4040%51.095.5-44.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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