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Lietkabelis vs Valmiera/ORDO Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 86-64
23-20 24-17 16-15 23-12
Position#4
Record13-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#5
Record14-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeBaltic LeagueBaltic League - 3rd place
Other2015
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Valmiera/ORDO
05 Apr 2016
LIE86
VALM64
18 Nov 2015
LIE73
VALM65
04 Nov 2014
LIE96
VALM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valmiera/ORDO winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#12
W
84-61
84
61
+23
A02/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H06/03
LKL
Nevezis
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H09/03
Baltic League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A16/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A19/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H22/03
Baltic League
Nevezis
#10
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A26/03
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A30/03
Baltic League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A03/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
15-14
21-18
25-4
17-18
19-22
21-24
25-19
19-21
15-8
10-21
20-9
16-22
17-31
17-27
20-10
18-20
18-22
15-15
16-20
22-23
22-19
21-15
25-27
18-21
16-26
18-15
27-29
20-14
22-11
13-22
12-20
18-20
14-22
16-22
26-26
17-28
22-19
17-8
27-15
155.5Avg total
77.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.875.4158.2+7.568%
Season at home (9)84.272.1156.3+12.189%
Season away (10)81.678.3159.9+3.350%
Last 10 (10)77.478.1155.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)81.482.2163.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.981.3153.2-9.440%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.884.2164.0-4.525%
vs Weaker (12)84.873.2158.1+11.692%
This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A02/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H05/03
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H09/03
Baltic League
Jelgava
#9
W
95-56
95
56
+39
A13/03
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A15/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A19/03
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H23/03
Baltic League
Ventspils
#2
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A26/03
LBL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H30/03
Baltic League
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H02/04
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
20-9
15-22
15-26
18-22
29-13
32-17
21-16
22-23
17-20
23-18
18-17
22-16
23-15
30-7
20-18
17-24
16-18
20-13
11-13
23-23
27-16
15-20
25-26
18-22
17-25
17-11
16-17
15-22
16-21
15-10
34-23
20-18
22-14
22-16
26-26
21-15
17-21
23-15
18-17
154.6Avg total
82.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.771.8150.5+6.874%
Season at home (10)82.570.6153.1+11.990%
Season away (9)74.473.2147.7+1.256%
Last 10 (10)82.771.9154.6+10.880%
Last 5 (5)81.475.6157.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.875.5150.2-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.578.3162.8+6.283%
vs Weaker (20)83.571.5155.1+12.080%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
LietkabelisValmiera/ORDO
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A02/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/03
LKL
Nevezis
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H09/03
Baltic League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A16/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H22/03
Baltic League
Nevezis
#10
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A26/03
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A30/03
Baltic League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
LKL
77.4Avg total
36.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.979.3-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.639.479.1+0.264%-
Last 30 away (16)37.342.279.5-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.677.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.143.379.4-7.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.941.479.2-3.538%-
vs Weaker (12)40.738.679.2+2.150%-
This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
W
51-23
51
23
+28
A02/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/03
LBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/03
Baltic League
Jelgava
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A13/03
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A15/03
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A19/03
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/03
Baltic League
Ventspils
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A26/03
LBL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/03
Baltic League
Barons Kvartals
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/04
LBL
78.2Avg total
41.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.176.2+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.075.6+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.536.276.8+4.275%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.178.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.243.878.0-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.034.276.2+7.867%-
vs Weaker (20)40.735.275.9+5.585%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lietkabelis wins
3
Valmiera/ORDO wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/16AAlytaus Dzukija83-70
30/03/16AValmiera/ORDO74-90
26/03/16ANevezis81-76 OT
22/03/16HSiauliai79-91
19/03/16APieno Zvaigzdes90-84
16/03/16ASiauliai67-77
14/03/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-90
09/03/16HNevezis64-59
06/03/16HPieno Zvaigzdes82-83
02/03/16ANevezis84-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/16HBarons Kvartals79-68
30/03/16HLietkabelis90-74
26/03/16AVentspils80-76
23/03/16HTartu Ulikool68-75
19/03/16AJekabpils90-85
15/03/16ATartu Ulikool64-68
13/03/16AJelgava95-56
09/03/16HPieno Zvaigzdes80-78
05/03/16HJekabpils100-68
02/03/16APieno Zvaigzdes81-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Baltic League 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL68%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%89%50%
Points / game82.884.281.6
Allowed / game75.472.178.3
Point differential+7.5+12.1+3.3
Avg total158.2156.3159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valmiera/ORDO
Baltic League 2015
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW74%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%90%56%
Points / game78.782.574.4
Allowed / game71.870.673.2
Point differential+6.8+11.9+1.2
Avg total150.5153.1147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool770100%85.971.3+14.6
2 Skycop1412286%83.677.1+6.6
3 Valmiera/ORDO1914574%78.771.8+6.8
4 Siauliai75271%84.675.0+9.6
5 Lietkabelis1913668%82.875.4+7.5
6 BK Liepaja1610662%78.076.2+1.8
7 Rapla148657%70.175.4-5.2
8 Jekabpils169756%77.276.4+0.9
9 Rakvere Tarvas146843%75.175.6-0.5
10 Tallinna Kalev146843%73.577.6-4.1
11 Jurmala145936%75.075.0+0.0
12 Nevezis1651131%74.676.4-1.8
13 Barons Kvartals1441029%77.681.7-4.1
14 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%88.084.5+3.5
15 Atyrau1431121%75.183.9-8.8
16 Tal Tech1221017%70.480.0-9.6
17 Parnu1421214%74.383.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2324162386
Valmiera/ORDO2017151264
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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