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Lokomotiv Kuban vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-72
22-18 20-20 26-14 27-20
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game93.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#13
W
106-57
106
57
+49
H05/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A09/05
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
A12/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H23/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A26/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A28/05
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A02/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H05/10
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H10/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A14/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
20-21
29-11
32-15
31-21
27-15
22-15
10-32
23-17
19-18
19-20
15-21
10-18
17-15
23-25
16-21
23-15
16-19
16-21
17-22
23-25
21-14
14-24
15-23
17-12
14-20
26-16
23-25
29-17
23-19
26-14
18-14
28-18
18-13
18-18
18-15
18-15
18-19
20-24
19-21
158.0Avg total
82.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.068.5149.5+12.5100%
Season at home (1)82.064.0146.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.675.4158.0+7.250%
Last 5 (5)81.273.2154.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.078.5153.5-3.50%
vs Similar (2)80.578.5159.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.872.0152.8+8.865%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
63-103
63
103
-40
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
91-107
91
107
-16
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
82-55
82
55
+27
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
19-17
22-22
16-15
15-21
15-26
12-33
21-23
17-19
19-18
15-26
27-23
26-26
26-23
16-18
23-21
17-22
22-28
21-21
17-24
12-25
14-20
22-24
16-25
19-30
35-25
21-19
16-33
19-11
24-8
18-11
21-25
18-14
26-27
13-17
39-21
8-16
24-10
22-12
19-23
162.9Avg total
79.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)96.079.0175.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)91.0107.0198.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)79.183.8162.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)81.279.2160.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.692.0168.6-15.422%
vs Similar (7)86.683.3169.9+3.357%
vs Weaker (13)88.274.1162.2+14.1100%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
Lokomotiv KubanTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H05/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A09/05
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H23/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/05
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H05/10
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/10
VTB United League
76.1Avg total
42.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.675.5+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.434.778.1+8.786%-
Last 30 away (16)38.834.573.2+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.176.1+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.476.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.535.073.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar (2)44.042.086.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.934.074.9+6.977%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A02/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#11
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Istanbul BB
#14
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.6Avg total
39.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.381.7+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.084.1+4.180%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.779.3-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.279.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.277.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.245.784.9-6.422%-
vs Similar (7)41.641.683.1+0.057%-
vs Weaker (13)43.236.579.8+6.777%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.3
55.7%
51.9%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.7
43.3%
36.6%26.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.2%
74.9%12.3
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.0
54.5%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.512.0
53.3%
36.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.5
69.0%
74.9%14.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lokomotiv Kuban
LWWWLLLLWW
Tofas
WWWLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#12
+20.5
Net rating
+0.6
108.0
Offensive rating
113.3
87.6
Defensive rating
112.6
58.9%
Effective FG%
63.9%
43.0%
Opp. effective FG%
60.7%
21.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
9.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
43.3%
3-point %
53.3%
71.1%
Assist %
78.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 113.3Defence87.6 · 112.6Shooting58.9% · 63.9%3-point %43.3% · 53.3%Ball care21.6% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 9.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Lokomotiv Kuban   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18AUnics Kazan75-79
10/10/18HLimoges82-64
05/10/18HZenit Petersburg96-64
02/10/18AGdynia80-73
28/05/18AKhimki M.73-86
26/05/18AKhimki M.72-77
23/05/18HKhimki M.66-79
12/05/18ANizhny Novgorod86-92 OT
09/05/18AKhimki M.90-83
05/05/18HEnisey106-57
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/18HIstanbul BB73-61
10/10/18HGdynia96-79
06/10/18AKarsiyaka82-55
02/10/18AAlba Berlin91-107
13/06/18AFenerbahce64-94
11/06/18HFenerbahce77-95
09/06/18HFenerbahce91-88
07/06/18AFenerbahce78-86
05/06/18AFenerbahce63-103
02/06/18AAnadolu Efes76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.082.080.0
Allowed / game68.564.073.0
Point differential+12.5+18.0+7.0
Avg total149.5146.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game93.596.091.0
Allowed / game93.079.0107.0
Point differential+0.5+17.0-16.0
Avg total186.5175.0198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan220100%91.573.5+18.0
2 Valencia220100%78.064.5+13.5
3 Lokomotiv Kuban220100%81.068.5+12.5
4 Crvena zvezda330100%79.771.7+8.0
5 Unicaja32167%86.376.3+10.0
6 Monaco32167%72.766.3+6.3
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne32167%73.769.3+4.3
8 Galatasaray32167%86.784.0+2.7
9 Frankfurt32167%74.079.0-5.0
10 Alba Berlin21150%90.083.0+7.0
11 Zenit Petersburg21150%86.584.5+2.0
12 Tofas21150%93.593.0+0.5
13 Partizan21150%81.082.0-1.0
14 Limoges21150%73.075.0-2.0
15 Trento21150%71.574.0-2.5
16 Cedevita21150%71.577.5-6.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra31233%87.386.7+0.7
18 Rytas31233%71.376.0-4.7
19 Ulm31233%80.385.0-4.7
20 Mornar Bar31233%81.091.0-10.0
21 Torino2020%82.586.0-3.5
22 Gdynia2020%76.088.0-12.0
23 Turk Telekom3030%70.082.3-12.3
24 Brescia3030%78.391.3-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lokomotiv Kuban2220262795
Tofas1820142072
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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