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Louisville vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-68
15-16 26-10 24-26 19-16
Position#8
Record1-0
FormW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game58.0
vs
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game64.0
USANIT
Other2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#24
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H13/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
7-15
22-14
21-14
124.0Avg total
66.0Scored
58.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.058.0124.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)66.058.0124.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (1)66.058.0124.0+8.0100%
Last 5 (1)66.058.0124.0+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#22
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H14/03
NIT
Tennessee
#9
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A19/03
NIT
Minnesota
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H21/03
NIT
Kent State
#6
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H18/03
CIT
Vermont
#31
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H14/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-30
0-0
47-48
0-0
36-34
0-0
35-30
0-0
32-28
0-0
40-50
0-0
29-40
0-0
27-28
16-21
25-12
32-9
18-22
145.6Avg total
75.2Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.064.0155.0+27.0100%
Season at home (1)91.064.0155.0+27.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (5)75.270.4145.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)75.270.4145.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)71.571.0142.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
LouisvilleMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#24
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H13/03
NIT
53.0Avg total
23.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)23.030.053.0-7.00%-
Last 30 at home (1)23.030.053.0-7.00%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (1)23.030.053.0-7.00%-
Last 5 (1)23.030.053.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#22
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H14/03
NIT
Tennessee
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/03
NIT
Minnesota
#2
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H21/03
NIT
Kent State
#6
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H18/03
CIT
Vermont
#31
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/03
NIT
68.4Avg total
35.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)35.433.068.4+2.480%-
Last 30 at home (4)35.232.868.0+2.575%-
Last 30 away (1)36.034.070.0+2.0100%-
Last 10 (5)35.433.068.4+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.068.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/18HNorthern Kentucky66-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/18HVermont91-64
18/03/15HKent State56-68
21/03/12HMinnesota72-78
19/03/12ATennessee71-64
14/03/12HMarshall86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NIT 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game58.058.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total124.0124.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Middle Tenn. St.
NIT 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+27.0+27.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)110100%89.045.0+44.0
2 Middle Tenn. St.110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Western Kentucky110100%79.062.0+17.0
4 Oklahoma State110100%80.068.0+12.0
5 Utah Utes110100%69.059.0+10.0
6 LSU110100%84.076.0+8.0
7 Louisville110100%66.058.0+8.0
8 Marquette220100%84.076.0+8.0
9 Penn State220100%68.060.0+8.0
10 USC110100%103.098.0+5.0
11 Mississippi St.220100%72.068.0+4.0
12 Stanford110100%86.083.0+3.0
13 Washington110100%77.074.0+3.0
14 Baylor21150%78.568.5+10.0
15 Notre Dame21150%73.568.0+5.5
16 Oregon21150%95.593.5+2.0
17 Boise State1010%74.077.0-3.0
18 Brigham Young1010%83.086.0-3.0
19 UNC Asheville1010%98.0103.0-5.0
20 Temple1010%57.063.0-6.0
21 Harvard1010%60.067.0-7.0
22 Nebraska1010%59.066.0-7.0
23 Louisiana Lafayette1010%76.084.0-8.0
24 Northern Kentucky1010%58.066.0-8.0
25 UC Davis1010%59.069.0-10.0
26 Florida Gulf Coast1010%68.080.0-12.0
27 Rider1010%86.099.0-13.0
28 Boston College1010%62.079.0-17.0
29 Hampton1010%63.084.0-21.0
30 Wagner1010%59.080.0-21.0
31 Vermont1010%64.091.0-27.0
32 SE Louisiana1010%45.089.0-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Louisville1526241984
Middle Tenn. St.1610261668
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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