PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Loyola Chicago will host Wichita State on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the home side at 66% versus 34% for the visitors. Loyola Chicago has gone 2-1 this season, averaging 82.0 points and conceding 70.7, and is 159th in the league; at home the team is undefeated 2-0, scoring 76.5 and allowing 52.5. Their last five games include a loss to Air Force 93-107 away, a 76-53 win over West Georgia at home, and a 77-52 win over Citadel at home. Wichita State also sits 2-1, averaging 92.7 points and 73.3 allowed, ranked 142nd; in their last five they have three wins and two losses, with a 113-60 victory over Friends University, a 86-93 loss to USC, and a 79-67 win over CS Northridge. The only previous meeting was on 13 November 2025 when Wichita State beat Loyola Chicago 95-74. Pythia projects a 75-70 score for the game, totaling 145.6 points, and gives Loyola Chicago a 66% chance to win and a 34% chance for Wichita State; the model also estimates a 5% probability of overtime. The projected outcome suggests Loyola Chicago will maintain their early-season momentum against a Wichita State squad that has shown strong offensive numbers.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 82.0 | 70.7 | 152.7 | +11.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 76.5 | 52.5 | 129.0 | +24.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 93.0 | 107.0 | 200.0 | -14.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.2 | 68.7 | 138.9 | +1.5 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 68.6 | 144.6 | +7.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 66.6 | 74.7 | 141.4 | -8.1 | 32% |
| vs Similar (4) | 72.5 | 78.8 | 151.2 | -6.2 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 76.0 | 53.0 | 129.0 | +23.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 92.7 | 73.3 | 166.0 | +19.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 92.7 | 73.3 | 166.0 | +19.3 | 67% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 83.5 | 72.3 | 155.8 | +11.2 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 71.6 | 154.4 | +11.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 74.0 | 76.5 | 150.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (7) | 76.9 | 75.7 | 152.6 | +1.1 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 79.4 | 69.4 | 148.9 | +10.0 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.7 | 36.8 | 69.5 | -4.1 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 32.9 | 35.3 | 68.2 | -2.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.5 | 38.3 | 70.9 | -5.8 | 27% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.9 | 32.7 | 63.6 | -1.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.8 | 32.6 | 66.4 | +1.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (25) | 32.6 | 37.3 | 69.9 | -4.7 | 36% | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 31.0 | 36.0 | 67.0 | -5.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 42.0 | 29.0 | 71.0 | +13.0 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 33.2 | 70.4 | +4.0 | 70% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 39.2 | 32.6 | 71.8 | +6.7 | 78% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 34.2 | 34.2 | 68.4 | -0.1 | 58% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.2 | 34.2 | 75.4 | +7.0 | 90% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.6 | 35.4 | 79.0 | +8.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 34.8 | 35.3 | 70.2 | -0.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 34.9 | 37.9 | 72.7 | -3.0 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 37.6 | 30.8 | 68.4 | +6.9 | 81% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/11/25 | Wichita State v Loyola Chicago | 95-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Air Force | 93-107 |
| 06/11/26 | H | West Georgia | 76-53 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Citadel | 77-52 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Davidson | 59-64 OT |
| 11/03/26 | A | Richmond Spiders | 75-67 |
| 07/03/26 | H | George Washington | 68-62 |
| 05/03/26 | A | St. Louis Billikens | 65-79 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Richmond Spiders | 69-66 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 61-75 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Fordham | 59-62 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Friends University | 113-60 |
| 09/11/26 | H | USC | 86-93 |
| 05/11/26 | H | CS Northridge | 79-67 |
| 15/03/26 | A | South Florida | 55-70 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Tulsa | 81-68 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Florida Atlantic | 88-70 |
| 02/03/26 | A | UTSA Roadrunners | 84-67 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Memphis | 88-82 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Temple | 69-57 |
| 19/02/26 | A | East Carolina | 92-89 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 82.0 | 76.5 | 93.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.7 | 52.5 | 107.0 |
| Point differential | +11.3 | +24.0 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 152.7 | 129.0 | 200.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 67% | 67% | - |
| Points / game | 92.7 | 92.7 | - |
| Allowed / game | 73.3 | 73.3 | - |
| Point differential | +19.3 | +19.3 | - |
| Avg total | 166.0 | 166.0 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 67% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  George Mason | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 57.7 | +17.7 |
| 5 |  Davidson | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 60.7 | +14.7 |
| 6 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 77.3 | 70.0 | +7.3 |
| 7 |  Duquesne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 66.7 | +6.0 |
| 8 |  Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 9 |  Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 10 |  St. Bonaventure | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 64.0 | +18.3 |
| 11 |  VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 12 | Loyola Chicago | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 70.7 | +11.3 |
| 13 |  Dayton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 79.3 | +5.3 |
| 14 |  La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tulsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 65.3 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  North Texas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.0 | 64.3 | +25.7 |
| 3 | Wichita State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 73.3 | +19.3 |
| 4 |  East Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 71.7 | +5.0 |
| 5 |  Tulane | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.3 | 82.7 | +4.7 |
| 6 |  UAB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 75.3 | +4.7 |
| 7 |  UTSA Roadrunners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 74.0 | +2.7 |
| 8 |  Florida Atlantic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 82.3 | -2.3 |
| 9 |  Memphis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 89.7 | -6.3 |
| 10 |  Charlotte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.2 | 67.8 | +1.5 |
| 11 |  Rice | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 72.7 | +8.7 |
| 12 |  South Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.0 | 78.7 | +7.3 |
| 13 |  Temple | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 75.3 | -8.0 |
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