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LSU vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-62
41-30 49-32
Position#230
Record11-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game71.8
LSU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#174
Record7-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H14/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
107-81
107
81
+26
H19/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H22/11
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A29/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
96-63
96
63
+33
A30/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
78-69 OT
78
69
+9
A04/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A07/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-38
55-43
50-44
57-37
50-37
49-36
38-24
33-38
50-22
46-41
37-26
24-35
26-47
32-35
47-44
42-33
50-36
28-29
51-56
53-34
162.1Avg total
87.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.971.8160.7+17.292%
Season at home (8)95.573.1168.6+22.4100%
Season away (4)75.869.0144.8+6.875%
Last 10 (10)87.874.3162.1+13.590%
Last 5 (5)81.476.6158.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.278.8143.0-14.66%
vs Similar ◀ (9)90.772.4163.1+18.2100%
vs Weaker (4)89.068.2157.2+20.8100%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#260
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H19/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A06/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
40-33
38-28
44-31
35-46
57-37
41-22
29-38
31-29
51-46
34-34
30-54
29-31
39-29
29-31
38-40
24-17
38-37
32-39
54-54
146.1Avg total
74.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.572.5149.0+3.954%
Season at home (7)79.066.6145.6+12.486%
Season away (6)73.579.5153.0-6.017%
Last 10 (10)74.371.8146.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)69.473.2142.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.279.7150.9-8.515%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.272.8144.1-1.638%
vs Weaker (4)82.263.2145.5+19.0100%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
LSUSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A29/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A30/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A04/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A07/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H23/12
NCAA
81.6Avg total
44.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.535.672.1+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.135.875.9+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)32.435.367.6-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.481.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.536.266.6-5.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.034.978.9+9.178%-
vs Weaker (4)45.234.579.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#260
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H19/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H23/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H09/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H20/12
NCAA
64.2Avg total
32.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.668.3-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.531.966.5+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)33.037.270.2-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)32.331.964.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.460.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.937.071.9-2.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.533.164.6-1.531%-
vs Weaker (4)37.231.568.8+5.875%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LSU wins
0
Southern Miss wins
No previous meetings.
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HPrairie View A&M104-90
20/12/25HSE Louisiana78-65
14/12/25HSMU Mustangs89-77
07/12/25ATexas Tech58-82
04/12/25ABoston College78-69 OT
30/11/25ADePaul96-63
29/11/25ADrake71-62
22/11/25HNebraska O.99-73
19/11/25HAlcorn State107-81
14/11/25HFlorida International98-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HArkansas State86-93
19/12/25HLouisiana Lafayette62-54
13/12/25AOle Miss67-71
09/12/25HGrambling St.68-60
06/12/25AMiami (FL)64-88
04/12/25ARadford82-75
23/11/25HUT Martin70-60
23/11/25HNorth Florida92-83
19/11/25HWilliam Carey82-59
14/11/25AGrambling St.70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %92%100%75%
Points / game88.995.575.8
Allowed / game71.873.169.0
Point differential+17.2+22.4+6.8
Avg total160.7168.6144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%25%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%86%17%
Points / game76.579.073.5
Allowed / game72.566.679.5
Point differential+3.9+12.4-6.0
Avg total149.0145.6153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt13130100%94.270.7+23.5
2 Georgia1312192%99.072.0+27.0
3 LSU1211192%88.971.8+17.2
4 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
5 Texas A&M129375%95.076.8+18.2
6 Tennessee129375%82.264.5+17.7
7 Arkansas129375%89.574.9+14.6
8 Oklahoma129375%86.972.7+14.2
9 Alabama129375%93.981.9+12.0
10 Kentucky139469%84.967.8+17.2
11 Texas139469%87.971.3+16.6
12 Florida139469%85.170.4+14.7
13 Mississippi St.139469%81.274.6+6.5
14 South Carolina128467%79.868.3+11.4
15 Auburn128467%84.277.8+6.5
16 Ole Miss127558%74.268.4+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State139469%82.079.2+2.8
2 Georgia Southern1510567%84.078.8+5.2
3 Troy138562%87.578.7+8.8
4 Marshall138562%79.974.8+5.1
5 Appalachian State148657%73.465.9+7.5
6 Texas State148657%73.768.4+5.4
7 Coastal Carolina148657%72.870.7+2.1
8 Southern Miss137654%76.572.5+3.9
9 South Alabama137654%74.070.6+3.4
10 James Madison137654%75.876.1-0.2
11 Old Dominion1441029%73.176.9-3.8
12 Georgia State1441029%68.976.2-7.3
13 Louisiana Monroe1431121%74.082.9-8.9
14 Louisiana Lafayette1431121%57.968.6-10.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU414990
Southern Miss303262
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