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Lublin W vs Sepsi SIC W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-65
24-13 18-15 16-17 18-20
Position#17
Record0-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game47.5
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#15
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game59.2
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 3· Hala im. Zdzislawa Niedzieli
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sepsi SIC W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lublin WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gorzow W
#1
W
65-51
65
51
+14
no box
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A05/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
no box
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H12/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
80avg 62
H30/09
Super Cup Women
Schio W
#4
L
50-70
50
70
-20
37avg 62
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Valencia W
#8
L
45-64
45
64
-19
36avg 62
A11/10
Euroleague Women
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
89-47
89
47
+42
98avg 62
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
20-17
14-14
8-9
12-22
23-16
23-17
19-15
17-18
20-31
12-13
13-18
25-13
13-25
17-11
18-28
18-13
16-20
29-18
14-19
22-24
23-17
19-22
19-19
17-25
21-13
16-20
27-19
12-19
17-18
14-18
7-15
8-19
12-17
15-14
10-14
30-13
20-13
17-13
22-8
139.0Avg total
70.2Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)47.567.0114.5-19.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)47.567.0114.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)70.268.8139.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)69.668.0137.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.772.9140.6-5.147%
vs Similar (7)73.369.3142.6+4.086%
vs Weaker (6)81.868.2150.0+13.767%
This opponent (Sepsi SIC W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi SIC WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Phoenix Constanta W
#3
W
94-63
94
63
+31
no box
H13/04
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#3
W
101-51
101
51
+50
no box
H14/04
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
A20/04
Liga National W
TTT Riga W
#18
W
59-54
59
54
+5
50avg 75
H20/09
Euroleague Women
Rapid Bucuresti W
#11
W
105-55
105
55
+50
100avg 75
H23/09
Romanian Cup Women
TTT Riga W
#18
W
63-62
63
62
+1
67avg 75
A27/09
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#3
L
57-85
57
85
-28
45avg 75
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Rapid Bucuresti W
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
86avg 75
A07/10
Romanian Cup Women
Schio W
#4
L
58-70
58
70
-12
53avg 75
H11/10
Euroleague Women
Targu Mures W
#8
W
114-35
114
35
+79
124avg 75
A14/10
Liga National W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
12-23
32-17
26-10
23-15
23-12
37-9
18-15
19-13
18-22
18-20
19-11
14-12
20-21
10-14
15-7
27-16
21-11
40-17
17-11
12-14
18-13
16-12
17-23
17-29
11-17
17-17
12-22
14-12
23-15
26-25
20-15
14-25
9-12
14-16
21-17
23-8
35-9
28-6
28-12
141.6Avg total
80.8Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)59.267.8127.0-8.550%
Season at home (2)58.562.0120.5-3.550%
Season away (2)60.073.5133.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)80.860.8141.6+20.080%
Last 5 (5)75.063.8138.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.267.8127.0-8.550%
vs Similar (2)79.589.0168.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)97.454.5151.8+42.9100%
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
Lublin WSepsi SIC W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lublin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorzow W
#1
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A05/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/09
Super Cup Women
Schio W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Valencia W
#8
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A11/10
Euroleague Women
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga W
73.3Avg total
36.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.573.7+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.634.372.9+4.354%-
Last 30 away (17)36.138.274.3-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.473.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.672.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.337.471.7-3.140%-
vs Similar (7)38.034.172.1+3.957%-
vs Weaker (6)44.037.781.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Sepsi SIC W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sepsi SIC WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Constanta W
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/04
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#3
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H14/04
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/04
Liga National W
TTT Riga W
#18
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H20/09
Euroleague Women
Rapid Bucuresti W
#11
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H23/09
Romanian Cup Women
TTT Riga W
#18
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A27/09
Euroleague Women
Zaragoza W
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Rapid Bucuresti W
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/10
Romanian Cup Women
Schio W
#4
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H11/10
Euroleague Women
Targu Mures W
#8
W
58-17
58
17
+41
A14/10
Liga National W
68.9Avg total
37.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.630.176.7+16.583%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.928.976.8+19.182%-
Last 30 away (13)44.831.676.5+13.285%-
Last 10 (10)37.731.268.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.866.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.835.864.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (2)41.551.092.5-9.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)50.027.477.4+22.696%-
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin W: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.213.8
41.4%
46.7%27.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.0
28.3%
32.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.5%
75.3%17.2
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sepsi SIC Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sepsi SIC W: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.7
48.0%
46.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.4%
32.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.913.6
68.3%
75.3%13.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/7 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin W
WLLWWWLLWW
Sepsi SIC W
WLWLWWWWWW
#17
League position
#15
+2.4
Net rating
+19.2
91.5
Offensive rating
97.3
89.0
Defensive rating
78.1
41.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
39.7%
20.3%
Turnover %
24.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.3%
3-point %
35.4%
95.2%
Assist %
77.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 97.3Defence89.0 · 78.1Shooting41.8% · 49.9%3-point %28.3% · 35.4%Ball care20.3% · 24.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 35.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Lublin W   ■ Sepsi SIC W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin W wins
0
Sepsi SIC W wins
No previous meetings.
Lublin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HBasket 25 Bydgoszcz W89-47
11/10/23AValencia W45-64
04/10/23ASchio W50-70
30/09/23HPolkowice W81-77
15/04/23APolkowice W83-82
12/04/23HPolkowice W77-70
11/04/23HPolkowice W73-77
06/04/23APolkowice W62-80
05/04/23APolkowice W77-70
30/03/23HGorzow W65-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ATargu Mures W114-35
11/10/23HSchio W58-70
07/10/23ARapid Bucuresti W83-67
04/10/23AZaragoza W57-85
27/09/23ATTT Riga W63-62
23/09/23HRapid Bucuresti W105-55
20/09/23HTTT Riga W59-54
20/04/23APhoenix Constanta W74-66
14/04/23HPhoenix Constanta W101-51
13/04/23HPhoenix Constanta W94-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game47.5-47.5
Allowed / game67.0-67.0
Point differential-19.5--19.5
Avg total114.5-114.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Sepsi SIC W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game59.258.560.0
Allowed / game67.862.073.5
Point differential-8.5-3.5-13.5
Avg total127.0120.5133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W330100%92.064.7+27.3
2 Virtus Bologna W220100%87.571.5+16.0
3 Perfumerias Avenida W220100%80.571.0+9.5
4 DVTK W54180%65.459.2+6.2
5 Polkowice W54180%72.270.8+1.4
6 USK Prague W32167%78.767.3+11.3
7 Schio W32167%65.055.7+9.3
8 CBK Mersin W32167%75.072.3+2.7
9 Valencia W32167%66.767.3-0.7
10 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
11 Sepsi SIC W42250%59.267.8-8.5
12 Zaragoza W31233%73.065.7+7.3
13 ESB Villeneuve W31233%72.780.0-7.3
14 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
15 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
16 UNI Gyor W3030%76.787.0-10.3
17 Landes W3030%71.081.7-10.7
18 Lublin W2020%47.567.0-19.5
19 Lyon W3030%58.381.0-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin W2418161876
Sepsi SIC W1315172065
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