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Lublin W vs Zaragoza W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 42-64
6-14 14-12 11-16 11-22
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game56.2
Allowed / game71.8
Lublin W
vs
Zaragoza W 🏆
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game59.8
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 7· Hala im. Zdzislawa Niedzieli
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lublin W v Zaragoza W
29 Nov 2023
LUBL42
ZARA64
26 Jan 2023
LUBL69
ZARA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zaragoza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lublin WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
89-47
89
47
+42
98avg 62
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
W
76-65
76
65
+11
82avg 62
H19/10
Euroleague Women
Pruszkow W
#11
W
88-55
88
55
+33
94avg 62
H22/10
Energa Basket Liga W
DVTK W
#6
L
44-74
44
74
-30
31avg 62
A25/10
Euroleague Women
AZS Poznan W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 62
A29/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
50-85
50
85
-35
38avg 62
H31/10
Euroleague Women
Torun W
#8
W
84-73
84
73
+11
85avg 62
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
59-80
59
80
-21
44avg 62
A19/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Lyon W
#13
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 62
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
61avg 62
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
20-13
17-13
22-8
24-13
18-15
16-17
18-20
29-17
17-12
24-14
18-12
19-19
10-20
8-12
7-23
18-24
17-12
5-19
25-16
15-15
11-27
13-23
11-20
21-17
20-17
24-25
19-14
15-18
11-11
10-27
23-24
17-27
21-10
18-16
16-20
21-17
10-14
21-21
14-19
138.7Avg total
69.3Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)56.271.8128.0-15.717%
Season at home (2)63.075.0138.0-12.050%
Season away (4)52.870.2123.0-17.50%
Last 10 (10)69.369.4138.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)66.276.4142.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.674.8141.3-8.239%
vs Similar (4)75.069.2144.2+5.8100%
vs Weaker (6)78.764.3143.0+14.367%
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
67avg 66
H18/10
Euroleague Women
Bembibre W
#16
W
91-62
91
62
+29
75avg 66
H22/10
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 66
A25/10
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#15
W
72-38
72
38
+34
68avg 66
H29/10
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#8
W
59-47
59
47
+12
58avg 66
H31/10
Euroleague Women
Gran Canaria W
#14
W
75-57
75
57
+18
65avg 66
A03/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#7
W
63-57
63
57
+6
54avg 66
H16/11
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#5
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 66
A18/11
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
W
56-51
56
51
+5
51avg 66
H22/11
Euroleague Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
88-56
88
56
+32
93avg 66
H26/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
16-12
27-15
9-17
23-19
22-16
20-13
26-14
16-17
14-10
18-15
19-22
13-6
21-7
14-15
24-10
8-14
18-6
22-18
11-9
16-10
21-18
21-14
17-15
20-19
11-16
15-4
17-18
20-15
10-22
17-19
28-15
6-21
18-9
21-10
11-11
19-13
19-16
20-13
30-14
129.4Avg total
71.7Scored
57.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)66.859.8126.7+7.067%
Season at home (4)67.857.2125.0+10.575%
Season away (2)65.065.0130.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)71.757.7129.4+14.090%
Last 5 (5)71.458.4129.8+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.079.7138.7-20.70%
vs Similar (4)60.850.5111.2+10.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)73.059.0132.0+13.986%
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
Lublin WZaragoza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lublin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H19/10
Euroleague Women
Pruszkow W
#11
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H22/10
Energa Basket Liga W
DVTK W
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/10
Euroleague Women
AZS Poznan W
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/10
Euroleague Women
Torun W
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A19/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Lyon W
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga W
69.5Avg total
36.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.272.6+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.534.172.6+4.547%-
Last 30 away (15)34.338.472.7-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.169.5+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.667.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.638.473.0-3.833%-
vs Similar (4)38.232.070.2+6.250%-
vs Weaker (6)40.733.273.8+7.550%-
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H18/10
Euroleague Women
Bembibre W
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#13
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/10
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#15
W
34-13
34
13
+21
H29/10
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#8
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H31/10
Euroleague Women
Gran Canaria W
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H16/11
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A18/11
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H22/11
Euroleague Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/11
Liga Femenina W
62.6Avg total
33.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.429.362.7+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.226.460.6+7.872%-
Last 30 away (12)32.233.866.0-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)33.029.662.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.863.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.043.769.7-17.70%-
vs Similar (4)28.226.554.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.228.063.2+7.171%-
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin W: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.7
49.7%
46.7%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.0%
32.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
75.3%11.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zaragoza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zaragoza W: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.8
46.3%
46.7%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.75.7
34.0%
32.1%17.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.8
69.2%
75.3%13.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin W
LLLWLLLWWW
Zaragoza W
WWWWWWWWWL
#17
League position
#3
-0.1
Net rating
+11.2
94.5
Offensive rating
93.3
94.6
Defensive rating
82.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
47.7%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
41.5%
21.9%
Turnover %
22.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.0%
3-point %
34.0%
73.1%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 93.3Defence94.6 · 82.1Shooting47.8% · 47.7%3-point %30.0% · 34.0%Ball care21.9% · 22.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Lublin W   ■ Zaragoza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lublin W wins
1
Zaragoza W wins
DateGameScore
01/02/23Zaragoza W v Lublin W58-50
26/01/23Lublin W v Zaragoza W69-66
Lublin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HSosnowiec W66-71
22/11/23ALyon W72-73
19/11/23AVBW Gdynia W59-80
15/11/23HTorun W84-73
31/10/23HFenerbahce W50-85
29/10/23AAZS Poznan W65-71
25/10/23ADVTK W44-74
22/10/23HPruszkow W88-55
19/10/23HSepsi SIC W76-65
15/10/23HBasket 25 Bydgoszcz W89-47
Zaragoza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HGernika Bizkaia W88-56
22/11/23HSchio W56-51
18/11/23AEstudiantes W75-71
16/11/23HFerrol W63-57
03/11/23AGran Canaria W75-57
31/10/23HValencia W59-47
29/10/23HCelta W72-38
25/10/23ALyon W67-64
22/10/23HBembibre W91-62
18/10/23HFenerbahce W71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game56.263.052.8
Allowed / game71.875.070.2
Point differential-15.7-12.0-17.5
Avg total128.0138.0123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zaragoza W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game66.867.865.0
Allowed / game59.857.265.0
Point differential+7.0+10.5+0.0
Avg total126.7125.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W770100%91.762.1+29.6
2 USK Prague W76186%76.464.9+11.6
3 DVTK W97278%68.060.6+7.4
4 CBK Mersin W75271%73.967.6+6.3
5 Zaragoza W64267%66.859.8+7.0
6 Polkowice W96367%72.672.1+0.4
7 Perfumerias Avenida W74357%70.469.3+1.1
8 Schio W63350%65.761.8+3.8
9 Valencia W63350%61.864.2-2.3
10 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
11 Virtus Bologna W73443%74.075.6-1.6
12 ESB Villeneuve W73443%70.673.4-2.9
13 Sepsi SIC W93633%64.076.7-12.7
14 Landes W72529%68.473.4-5.0
15 Lublin W61517%56.271.8-15.7
16 UNI Gyor W71614%74.182.1-8.0
17 Lyon W71614%65.078.9-13.9
18 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
19 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin W614111142
Zaragoza W1412162264
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