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Lucca W vs BK Costa W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-68
17-20 15-13 23-16 18-19
Position#6
Record9-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game70.3
Lucca W 🏆
Italy
vs
BK Costa W
Italy
Position#11
Record4-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game74.1
ItalySerie A1 WRound 16
Women2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Costa W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#5
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H09/11
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A24/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H01/12
Serie A1 W
Empoli W
#7
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A08/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H15/12
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H05/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H12/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H19/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
18-22
18-14
11-10
19-15
16-12
13-22
30-22
24-10
20-10
22-21
10-12
14-14
18-17
20-12
16-13
25-31
15-13
19-20
13-24
21-14
24-26
18-17
15-13
25-23
10-14
18-25
21-17
20-23
9-15
21-17
21-21
16-24
24-19
8-16
17-11
19-20
16-11
24-12
17-29
142.5Avg total
72.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.170.3143.4+2.760%
Season at home (9)68.970.9139.8-2.044%
Season away (6)79.369.5148.8+9.883%
Last 10 (10)72.570.0142.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)72.873.4146.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.276.7140.9-12.48%
vs Similar (5)73.467.8141.2+5.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.267.8146.0+10.585%
This opponent (BK Costa W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK Costa WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A09/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H23/11
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H30/11
Serie A1 W
Empoli W
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H14/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
44-77
44
77
-33
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#14
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A05/01
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H11/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A15/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H18/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
20-7
14-20
30-22
18-17
14-19
17-18
17-18
11-20
16-15
15-12
11-15
22-13
10-17
17-19
22-18
12-20
12-22
8-17
12-18
16-18
19-14
16-18
16-18
16-23
13-14
16-22
11-14
11-23
27-10
15-21
25-22
11-23
22-27
11-8
17-23
22-19
13-15
13-14
14-22
134.4Avg total
63.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)64.574.1138.5-9.627%
Season at home (9)68.973.6142.4-4.733%
Season away (6)57.874.8132.7-17.017%
Last 10 (10)63.171.3134.4-8.230%
Last 5 (5)64.873.6138.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)61.074.8135.8-13.820%
vs Similar (5)71.472.6144.0-1.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
Lucca WBK Costa W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H09/11
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#13
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A24/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H01/12
Serie A1 W
Empoli W
#7
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A08/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H15/12
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H05/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H19/01
Serie A1 W
72.5Avg total
37.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.872.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.835.870.6-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)39.035.974.9+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.272.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.739.272.8-5.525%-
vs Similar (5)37.033.670.6+3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.533.573.1+6.077%-
This opponent (BK Costa W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK Costa WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A09/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/11
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H30/11
Serie A1 W
Empoli W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H14/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#14
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A05/01
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A15/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H18/01
Serie A1 W
66.8Avg total
31.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)32.936.068.9-3.147%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.335.370.7+0.056%-
Last 30 away (6)29.337.066.3-7.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.466.8-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.271.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.538.970.4-7.420%-
vs Similar (5)35.830.266.0+5.6100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lucca W wins
0
BK Costa W wins
DateGameScore
19/10/19BK Costa W v Lucca W73-97
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/20HBroni W76-72
12/01/20HRagusa W65-70
05/01/20HPalermo W71-76
29/12/19AVigarano W74-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna W78-70
15/12/19HVenezia W72-88
08/12/19AEmpoli W68-56
01/12/19HSan Martino W76-53
24/11/19AFixi Piramis Torino W78-71
09/11/19HSan Giovanni W67-65
BK Costa Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/20HSan Martino W62-70
15/01/20ARagusa W61-81
11/01/20HVigarano W78-76
05/01/20AVenezia W56-73
28/12/19HBattipaglia W67-68
21/12/19ASchio W44-77
14/12/19HEmpoli W71-67
30/11/19HPalermo W53-62
23/11/19HSan Giovanni W66-72
09/11/19AVirtus Bologna W73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%44%83%
Points / game73.168.979.3
Allowed / game70.370.969.5
Point differential+2.7-2.0+9.8
Avg total143.4139.8148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%11%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Costa W
Serie A1 W 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %27%33%17%
Points / game64.568.957.8
Allowed / game74.173.674.8
Point differential-9.6-4.7-17.0
Avg total138.5142.4132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W1614288%73.958.3+15.6
2 Ragusa W1614288%79.864.6+15.2
3 Venezia W1512380%79.966.1+13.8
4 San Martino W1510567%68.064.8+3.2
5 San Giovanni W159660%72.669.0+3.6
6 Lucca W159660%73.170.3+2.7
7 Empoli W157847%67.572.1-4.7
8 Broni W156940%68.970.8-1.9
9 Vigarano W156940%71.978.7-6.8
10 Palermo W1551033%67.472.9-5.5
11 Virtus Bologna W1541127%67.974.4-6.5
12 BK Costa W1541127%64.574.1-9.6
13 Fixi Piramis Torino W1541127%67.577.2-9.7
14 Battipaglia W1521313%60.371.7-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W1715231873
BK Costa W2013161968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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