Lucca W vs Spezia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 65-54

24-16 15-12 11-10 15-16

Position#4

Record12-6

FormWLWWL

Points / game68.9

Allowed / game60.8

Lucca W 🏆

Spezia W

Position#7

Record9-9

FormWLLLW

Points / game64.3

Allowed / game62.6

Serie A1 WRound 19

Women2013-14

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Spezia W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chieti W

#12

90-61

+29

H08/12

Serie A1 W

Priolo W

#11

70-50

+20

A15/12

Serie A1 W

Parma W

62-47

+15

H22/12

Serie A1 W

Venezia W

62-81

-19

A05/01

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

45-73

-28

A12/01

Serie A1 W

Orvieto W

#10

82-58

+24

H16/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

53-64

-11

A26/01

Serie A1 W

San Martino W

60-58

H02/02

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

63-53

+10

A09/02

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

57-63

-6

A23/02

Serie A1 W

18-22

25-12

20-11

27-16

14-15

17-8

18-6

21-21

13-7

17-13

15-15

17-12

12-22

12-25

15-17

23-17

6-18

6-15

14-24

19-16

16-16

25-9

14-18

27-15

9-19

17-9

20-18

7-18

10-13

15-18

14-13

21-14

17-17

17-8

18-12

11-16

18-18

11-20

11-10

17-15

125.2Avg total

64.4Scored

60.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	68.9	60.8	129.8	+8.1	67%
Season at home (8)	74.1	61.6	135.8	+12.5	75%
Season away (10)	64.8	60.2	125.0	+4.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	64.4	60.8	125.2	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	63.0	59.2	122.2	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	58.2	66.2	124.5	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	60.8	62.4	123.2	-1.7	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	74.2	53.7	127.9	+20.5	100%

This opponent (Spezia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Spezia W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

67-79

-12

A08/12

Serie A1 W

Parma W

61-68

-7

A15/12

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

72-65

H22/12

Serie A1 W

Priolo W

#11

88-71

+17

A05/01

Serie A1 W

San Martino W

85-59

+26

H12/01

Serie A1 W

Chieti W

#12

75-47

+28

A19/01

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

41-69

-28

H26/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

67-87

-20

A02/02

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

57-66

-9

A09/02

Serie A1 W

Orvieto W

#10

72-62

+10

H23/02

Serie A1 W

21-25

13-13

14-21

19-20

12-18

18-11

15-21

16-18

22-21

14-13

16-21

20-10

26-20

20-26

22-12

20-13

19-8

18-14

21-20

27-17

15-13

10-14

26-9

24-11

6-26

14-16

5-10

16-17

21-21

19-26

13-21

14-19

17-23

7-21

16-11

17-11

15-15

23-9

18-17

16-21

135.8Avg total

68.5Scored

67.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	64.3	62.6	126.8	+1.7	50%
Season at home (9)	62.9	56.8	119.7	+6.1	67%
Season away (9)	65.7	68.3	134.0	-2.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	68.5	67.3	135.8	+1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	62.4	66.2	128.6	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	57.8	74.4	132.2	-16.6	20%
vs Similar (5)	64.8	72.2	137.0	-7.4	20%
vs Weaker (8)	68.0	49.1	117.1	+18.9	88%

This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Lucca WSpezia W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	15.8	15.2	31.0	+0.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	14.9	30.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.9	15.5	31.5	+0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.3	16.7	30.0	-3.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	16.6	30.6	-2.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	16.5	31.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	13.3	16.2	29.6	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	17.5	14.3	31.8	+3.3	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.5	35%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	15.6	16.4	32.0	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.6	34.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	13.0	19.2	32.2	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.6	22.6	39.2	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	13.0	33.6	+7.6	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.1	14.6	31.7	+2.5	61%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	15.4	33.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.0	13.7	29.7	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	13.7	29.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	12.8	29.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.2	18.2	30.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.1	16.7	31.8	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.5	12.4	31.9	+7.1	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	15.2	16.8	31.9	-1.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.8	15.4	33.1	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	12.9	18.0	30.9	-5.1	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	16.3	31.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	17.2	31.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.2	16.0	30.2	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	14.9	15.9	30.7	-1.0	43%	-

Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chieti W

#12

43-34

H08/12

Serie A1 W

Priolo W

#11

31-23

A15/12

Serie A1 W

Parma W

30-20

+10

H22/12

Serie A1 W

Venezia W

24-47

-23

A05/01

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

12-33

-21

A12/01

Serie A1 W

Orvieto W

#10

41-25

+16

H16/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

26-28

-2

A26/01

Serie A1 W

San Martino W

25-31

-6

H02/02

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

34-25

A09/02

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

29-38

-9

A23/02

Serie A1 W

59.9Avg total

29.5Scored

30.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	32.9	29.8	62.7	+3.0	61%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.7	30.3	64.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	31.9	29.2	61.2	+2.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.5	30.4	59.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	29.4	60.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	27.0	34.8	61.8	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	28.4	32.9	61.3	-4.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	37.1	26.7	63.7	+10.4	87%	-

This opponent (Spezia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Spezia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

34-38

-4

A08/12

Serie A1 W

Parma W

30-29

A15/12

Serie A1 W

Cagliari W

36-34

H22/12

Serie A1 W

Priolo W

#11

46-46

A05/01

Serie A1 W

San Martino W

37-22

+15

H12/01

Serie A1 W

Chieti W

#12

25-27

-2

A19/01

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

20-42

-22

H26/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

40-47

-7

A02/02

Serie A1 W

Umbertide W

24-44

-20

A09/02

Serie A1 W

Orvieto W

#10

38-24

+14

H23/02

Serie A1 W

68.3Avg total

33.0Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	32.4	34.4	66.8	-2.1	35%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	33.4	31.8	65.1	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	31.4	36.8	68.2	-5.3	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	35.3	68.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	36.8	66.2	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	29.6	38.0	67.6	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	30.8	38.6	69.4	-7.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	35.4	28.9	64.3	+6.6	43%	-

This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.6	12.2	29.8	+5.5	75%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	11.3	30.0	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.5	13.2	29.6	+3.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	14.4	30.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	14.2	29.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	13.5	31.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.1	12.6	29.7	+4.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	17.9	11.6	29.5	+6.3	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	15.6	15.4	31.0	+0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	16.3	32.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	13.6	29.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	11.2	17.4	28.6	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.6	17.4	33.0	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	14.0	35.1	+7.1	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.3	16.5	33.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	15.9	34.8	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.5	17.2	32.7	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	15.6	32.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.2	18.0	31.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.2	17.0	32.2	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.6	15.9	35.5	+3.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.9	15.8	33.8	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.8	15.0	31.8	+1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	15.7	34.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.8	33.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	13.3	31.6	+5.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	34.9	28.7	63.6	+6.2	71%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	27.3	64.8	+10.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (13)	31.9	30.4	62.3	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	30.4	65.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	29.8	61.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.2	31.5	62.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	32.3	29.6	61.9	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	37.5	27.5	64.9	+10.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	34.5	31.8	66.4	+2.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	34.9	32.1	67.0	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	34.2	31.6	65.8	+2.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	32.0	67.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	29.4	62.4	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	28.2	36.4	64.6	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.0	33.6	67.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.4	27.3	66.7	+12.1	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lucca W wins

Spezia W wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/13	Spezia W v Lucca W	62-78

Lucca Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/14	A	Ragusa W	57-63
09/02/14	A	Cagliari W	63-53
02/02/14	H	San Martino W	60-58
26/01/14	A	Schio W	53-64
16/01/14	H	Orvieto W	82-58
12/01/14	A	Umbertide W	45-73
05/01/14	A	Venezia W	62-81
22/12/13	H	Parma W	62-47
15/12/13	A	Priolo W	70-50
08/12/13	H	Chieti W	90-61

Spezia Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/14	H	Orvieto W	72-62
09/02/14	A	Umbertide W	57-66
02/02/14	A	Schio W	67-87
26/01/14	H	Ragusa W	41-69
19/01/14	A	Chieti W	75-47
12/01/14	H	San Martino W	85-59
05/01/14	A	Priolo W	88-71
22/12/13	H	Cagliari W	72-65
15/12/13	A	Parma W	61-68
08/12/13	A	Venezia W	67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W

Serie A1 W 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	67%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	LLLWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	68.9	74.1	64.8
Allowed / game	60.8	61.6	60.2
Point differential	+8.1	+12.5	+4.6
Avg total	129.8	135.8	125.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	62%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Spezia W

Serie A1 W 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	50%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	64.3	62.9	65.7
Allowed / game	62.6	56.8	68.3
Point differential	+1.7	+6.1	-2.7
Avg total	126.8	119.7	134.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	44%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Schio W	20	19	1	95%	77.2	58.5	+18.6
2	Ragusa W	19	17	2	89%	73.3	55.9	+17.3
3	Umbertide W	18	13	5	72%	65.7	58.9	+6.8
4	Lucca W	18	12	6	67%	68.9	60.8	+8.1
5	Venezia W	18	10	8	56%	65.6	61.4	+4.1
6	Parma W	18	10	8	56%	64.9	61.6	+3.4
7	Spezia W	18	9	9	50%	64.3	62.6	+1.7
8	San Martino W	19	6	13	32%	58.1	60.5	-2.5
9	Orvieto W	18	5	13	28%	65.4	73.2	-7.7
10	Cagliari W	19	5	14	26%	66.4	68.5	-2.2
11	Priolo W	19	5	14	26%	53.8	72.9	-19.2
12	Chieti W	18	0	18	0%	52.1	82.4	-30.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lucca W	24	15	11	15	65
Spezia W	16	12	10	16	54

← all games of the day

Lucca W vs Spezia W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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