Lugano Tigers vs Regio Basel Result & Analysis

Lugano Tigers and Regio Basel face off in the SB League on 15 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as both clubs sit at 2-6 in the standings, 8th and 9th respectively, and have identical win totals. Lugano's eight games have yielded an average of 74.0 points scored and 84.9 points allowed, while Regio's eight outings average 70.5 points scored and 87.8 points allowed, a slight edge in points allowed for the Tigers. At home, Lugano has struggled 1-3, averaging 77.2 points and conceding 85.5, and their last five have seen only one win; they beat Zurich 68-60 away on 8 November but then fell 73-91 at home to Lausanne and 74-92 away to Geneva. Regio's road record mirrors that of Lugano, 1-3 with 71.5 points scored and 84.0 conceded, and their recent five include a 92-82 win over BBC Monthey away but losses to Geneva, Fribourg Olympic, and a 55-117 home defeat. Historically the Tigers lead the series 6-4, though Basel last beat them 98-80 on 29 March. Pythia gives the Tigers a 53% chance to win versus 47% for Basel, projects an 82-81 score and a 163.4 total, and sees the Tigers covering the -1.5 line at 51%; the game has a 5% chance of overtime. The Tigers' recent win over Zurich and their 77.2 points at home suggest they may edge the close contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lugano Tigers winWon

53.5%fair 1.87

Best odds1.79

Implied52.3%

Edge+1.2pp

Regio Basel winLost

46.5%fair 2.15

Best odds2.00

Implied47.7%

Edge-1.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lugano Tigers Switzerland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTigers

Date

Competition

Regio Basel

80-98

-18

68avg 65

A29/03

SB League

SAM Massagno

86-107

107

-21

67avg 65

A04/04

SB League

BBC Monthey

94-72

+22

97avg 65

H27/09

SB League

Neuchatel

61-69

-8

56avg 65

A30/09

SB League

Sdent BBC Nyon

70-77

-7

67avg 65

H04/10

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

80-116

116

-36

67avg 65

A10/10

SB League

SAM Massagno

72-102

102

-30

60avg 65

H17/10

SB League

Geneva Lions

74-92

-18

68avg 65

A24/10

SB League

Lausanne Basket

73-91

-18

61avg 65

H31/10

SB League

Zurich

#10

68-60

no box

A08/11

SB League

27-25

13-23

24-30

16-20

19-31

29-28

22-20

16-28

28-14

21-10

25-19

20-29

18-18

13-18

21-8

9-25

17-23

24-14

16-20

13-20

26-33

7-27

17-32

30-24

16-22

14-27

23-30

19-23

23-24

21-24

8-22

22-22

14-23

19-24

20-23

20-21

14-11

22-17

18-20

14-12

164.2Avg total

75.8Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.0	84.9	158.9	-10.9	25%
Season at home (4)	77.2	85.5	162.8	-8.2	25%
Season away (4)	70.8	84.2	155.0	-13.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	88.4	164.2	-12.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	92.2	165.6	-18.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	74.8	94.8	169.6	-20.0	14%
vs Similar (8)	82.6	81.8	164.4	+0.9	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	68.0	60.0	128.0	+8.0	100%

This opponent (Regio Basel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Regio Basel Switzerland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasel

Date

Competition

Geneva Lions

64-85

-21

52avg 75

H09/05

SB League

Geneva Lions

76-93

-17

61avg 75

H12/05

SB League

SAM Massagno

73-91

-18

61avg 75

H26/09

SB League

Sdent BBC Nyon

83-95

-12

67avg 75

A30/09

SB League

Zurich

#10

81-73

69avg 75

H04/10

SB League

Neuchatel

53-65

-12

38avg 75

A10/10

SB League

Lausanne Basket

69-85

-16

50avg 75

H18/10

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

58-94

-36

42avg 75

A24/10

SB League

Geneva Lions

55-117

117

-62

43avg 75

H01/11

SB League

BBC Monthey

92-82

+10

no box

A07/11

SB League

18-24

12-13

11-24

23-24

24-24

11-17

18-32

23-20

24-18

13-27

14-29

22-17

23-16

12-26

20-33

28-20

21-13

21-16

10-18

29-26

19-18

12-19

12-9

10-19

9-25

18-22

20-20

22-18

9-16

15-33

17-25

17-20

18-30

18-27

8-30

11-30

28-19

20-26

24-18

20-19

158.4Avg total

70.4Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	70.5	87.8	158.2	-17.2	25%
Season at home (4)	69.5	91.5	161.0	-22.0	25%
Season away (4)	71.5	84.0	155.5	-12.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	70.4	88.0	158.4	-17.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.4	88.6	154.0	-23.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	71.0	87.3	158.3	-16.3	14%
vs Similar (6)	84.8	84.3	169.2	+0.5	67%
vs Weaker (10)	91.2	79.9	171.1	+11.3	90%

This opponent (Lugano Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5

Over 157.5

63.2%

@ 1.50+1.4pp

Under 157.5

36.8%

@ 2.50-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.37

Over/Under 162.5 · main lineActual: Under 162.5

Over 162.5

51.4%

@ 1.88+1.0pp

Under 162.5

48.6%

@ 1.88-1.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

Pinnacle

1.85

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.83

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

WilliamHill

1.85

SBO

1.84

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5

Over 167.5

39.5%

@ 2.50+1.4pp

Under 167.5

60.5%

@ 1.50-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.37

Under

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Lugano Tigers total 77.5Actual: Lugano Tigers under 77.5

Over 77.5

67.4%

@ 1.42+2.7pp

Under 77.5

32.6%

@ 2.85-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Bet365

1.37

Under

Bet365

2.85

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.39

Lugano Tigers total 81.5 · main lineActual: Lugano Tigers under 81.5

Over 81.5

52.5%

@ 1.81+1.7pp

Under 81.5

47.5%

@ 1.91-1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

Bet365

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.72

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.72

Lugano Tigers total 85.5Actual: Lugano Tigers under 85.5

Over 85.5

37.3%

@ 2.47+0.3pp

Under 85.5

62.7%

@ 1.58-0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.37

Bet365

2.22

Under

Bet365

1.58

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.39

Regio Basel total 75.5Actual: Regio Basel under 75.5

Over 75.5

70.8%

@ 1.38+4.1pp

Under 75.5

29.2%

@ 2.80-4.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.38

1xBet

1.33

Under

Bet365

2.80

1xBet

2.61

Regio Basel total 79.5 · main lineActual: Regio Basel under 79.5

Over 79.5

56.3%

@ 1.83+3.1pp

Under 79.5

43.7%

@ 2.02-3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.62

Under

Betano

2.02

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Regio Basel total 83.5Actual: Regio Basel under 83.5

Over 83.5

41.0%

@ 2.30+0.7pp

Under 83.5

59.0%

@ 1.55-0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.18

Under

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lugano Tigers -4.5Actual: Lugano Tigers -4.5

LUGA -4.5

39.1%

@ 2.30-2.9pp

REGI +4.5

60.9%

@ 1.60+2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

LUGA

Bet365

2.30

Betano

2.25

1xBet

2.24

Pinnacle

2.21

REGI

Pinnacle

1.60

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.54

1xBet

1.46

Spread Lugano Tigers -1.5 · main lineActual: Lugano Tigers -1.5

LUGA -1.5

50.6%

@ 1.86+0.2pp

REGI +1.5

49.4%

@ 1.91-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

LUGA

Bet365

1.86

Pinnacle

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Betano

1.83

Betfair

1.83

REGI

BetVictor

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.85

SBO

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Spread Lugano Tigers +1.5Actual: Lugano Tigers +1.5

LUGA +1.5

56.3%

@ 1.73+0.6pp

REGI -1.5

43.7%

@ 2.12-0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

LUGA

Betfair

1.73

Pinnacle

1.67

Betano

1.65

Bet365

1.64

Marathon Be

1.61

REGI

Bet365

2.12

Pinnacle

2.10

1xBet

2.07

Betano

2.07

Marathon Be

2.07

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Lugano TigersRegio Basel

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.7	23.9	43.6	-4.1	33%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	23.8	42.9	-4.7	27%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.9	44.3	-3.6	40%	67%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.9	25.8	44.7	-6.9	19%	62%
vs Similar (8)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	62%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	14.0	11.0	25.0	+3.0	100%	0%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	57%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	36%	50%
vs Similar (6)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	19.8	43.1	+3.5	60%	70%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.3	40.3	-0.2	53%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.7	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.8	40.4	-7.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	38%	57%
vs Similar (8)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	50%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	37%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	38%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.1	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	15.2	22.6	37.8	-7.4	10%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	25.4	42.0	-8.8	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.7	22.0	38.7	-5.3	21%	29%
vs Similar (6)	18.3	19.8	38.2	-1.5	17%	33%
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	70%	40%

Lugano TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regio Basel

40-48

-8

A29/03

SB League

SAM Massagno

48-59

-11

A04/04

SB League

BBC Monthey

49-24

+25

H27/09

SB League

Neuchatel

31-36

-5

A30/09

SB League

Sdent BBC Nyon

41-37

H04/10

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

33-60

-27

A10/10

SB League

SAM Massagno

30-49

-19

H17/10

SB League

Geneva Lions

44-48

-4

A24/10

SB League

Lausanne Basket

33-47

-14

H31/10

SB League

Zurich

#10

36-28

A08/11

SB League

82.1Avg total

38.5Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	39.3	44.9	84.2	-5.6	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	44.1	83.3	-4.9	40%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	45.7	85.1	-6.3	27%	60%
Last 10 (10)	38.5	43.6	82.1	-5.1	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	35.2	46.4	81.6	-11.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	38.3	47.9	86.2	-9.5	24%	57%
vs Similar (8)	42.2	39.1	81.4	+3.1	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	36.0	28.0	64.0	+8.0	100%	0%

This opponent (Regio Basel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Regio BaselLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geneva Lions

30-37

-7

H09/05

SB League

Geneva Lions

35-41

-6

H12/05

SB League

SAM Massagno

37-45

-8

H26/09

SB League

Sdent BBC Nyon

35-42

-7

A30/09

SB League

Zurich

#10

42-29

+13

H04/10

SB League

Neuchatel

31-37

-6

A10/10

SB League

Lausanne Basket

27-47

-20

H18/10

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

24-49

-25

A24/10

SB League

Geneva Lions

36-57

-21

H01/11

SB League

BBC Monthey

48-45

A07/11

SB League

77.4Avg total

34.5Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.1	80.2	-2.0	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.3	40.9	78.2	-3.6	38%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	41.4	82.5	-0.2	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	34.5	42.9	77.4	-8.4	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	33.2	47.0	80.2	-13.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.2	43.4	78.6	-8.1	21%	36%
vs Similar (6)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	33%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	44.6	38.3	82.9	+6.3	80%	60%

This opponent (Lugano Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Regio Basel win

LUGA win

no forecast

@ 1.80

REGI win

no forecast

@ 1.98

1st half Spread Lugano Tigers -0.5 · main lineActual: Regio Basel +0.5

LUGA -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

REGI +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Over/Under 80.25 · main lineActual: Under 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Lugano Tigers 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Lugano Tigers under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Regio Basel 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: Regio Basel over 40

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.81

1st half: LUGA + total 80.5

LUGA & over

no forecast

@ 3.60

LUGA & under

no forecast

@ 3.50

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: REGI + total 80.5

REGI & over

no forecast

@ 3.90

REGI & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half Over/Under 79Actual: Under 79

Over

no forecast

@ 1.75

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.07

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Lugano Tigers -1.5Actual: Regio Basel +1.5

LUGA -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

REGI +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half Spread Lugano Tigers +0.5Actual: Regio Basel -0.5

LUGA +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.58

REGI -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Spread Lugano Tigers -2.5Actual: Regio Basel +2.5

LUGA -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

REGI +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Lugano Tigers +1.5Actual: Regio Basel -1.5

LUGA +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

REGI -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Under 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.47

Under

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Lugano Tigers (regulation)

LUGA

no forecast

@ 1.83

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

REGI

no forecast

@ 2.02

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	33%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.5	40%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.2	25.4	42.6	-8.2	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.9	23.9	42.8	-5.0	19%	62%
vs Similar (8)	23.9	18.9	42.8	+5.0	75%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	0%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.9	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	23.5	43.8	-3.2	38%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.8	39.1	-2.4	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	15.4	23.8	39.2	-8.4	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.6	23.3	39.9	-6.6	29%	50%
vs Similar (6)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	17%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	60%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	17.2	22.9	40.0	-5.7	20%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	23.8	40.5	-7.1	13%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.3	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.4	40.3	-4.5	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.5	14%	57%
vs Similar (8)	16.5	23.8	40.2	-7.2	25%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	14.0	12.0	26.0	+2.0	100%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	60%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.8	62%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.4	57%	57%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	50%	43%
vs Similar (6)	24.8	21.8	46.7	+3.0	83%	83%
vs Weaker (10)	24.4	20.7	45.1	+3.7	60%	70%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	37.4	45.3	82.7	-7.9	7%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	46.1	84.6	-7.5	13%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	44.5	80.7	-8.3	0%	67%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	44.8	82.1	-7.5	0%	60%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	45.8	84.0	-7.6	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	36.5	47.0	83.4	-10.5	5%	71%
vs Similar (8)	40.4	42.6	83.0	-2.2	12%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	32.0	32.0	64.0	+0.0	0%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	41.4	43.1	84.5	-1.7	43%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.7	44.2	86.9	-1.5	44%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	41.9	81.9	-2.0	43%	64%
Last 10 (10)	35.9	45.1	81.0	-9.2	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	32.2	41.6	73.8	-9.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.8	43.9	79.7	-8.1	14%	50%
vs Similar (6)	45.8	43.8	89.7	+2.0	67%	100%
vs Weaker (10)	46.6	41.6	88.2	+5.0	70%	80%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

LUGA win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

REGI win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: LUGA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: REGI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (LUGA:REGI): LUGA wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Regio Basel +13.5	86.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Regio Basel +7	70.2%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
Regio Basel +10.5	79.6%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Regio Basel +18.5	93.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Regio Basel +23.5	96.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Regio Basel over 72.5	79.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Regio Basel over 68.5	89.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Regio Basel +8.5	74.2%	1.36	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Regio Basel +21.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +23.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Regio Basel +9.5	77.0%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Regio Basel +7.5	71.2%	1.43	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Regio Basel over 74.5	74.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Lugano Tigers under 93.5	86.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Regio Basel over 66.5	92.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +18.5	94.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 97.5	92.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Regio Basel +16.5	90.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 89.5	76.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 95.5	90.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Regio Basel over 65.5	93.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Regio Basel over 69.5	87.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Regio Basel over 71.5	82.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Lugano Tigers +21.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +8.5	79.3%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 71.5	85.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Regio Basel over 70.5	85.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Lugano Tigers over 76.5	70.8%	1.37	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.33	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +13.5	89.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Regio Basel +11.5	82.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 68.5	90.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Regio Basel over 67.5	90.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Regio Basel over 75.5	70.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
Lugano Tigers over 70.5	87.1%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 96.5	91.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Regio Basel over 73.5	77.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Lugano Tigers +7.5	76.6%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Over 137.5	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 72.5	82.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +16.5	93.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 67.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 92.5	84.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 74.5	77.1%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 94.5	88.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 90.5	79.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Under 187.5	92.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Lugano Tigers under 91.5	81.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +5.5	70.6%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Regio Basel under 90.5	81.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Regio Basel under 93.5	88.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Over 142.5	89.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 69.5	89.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Regio Basel under 91.5	83.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 75.5	74.1%	1.27	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 147.5	82.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Lost
Over 152.5	74.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Lost
Lugano Tigers under 88.5	73.0%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Regio Basel under 94.5	89.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Under 182.5	87.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Lugano Tigers over 73.5	80.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Regio Basel under 89.5	78.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Regio Basel under 87.5	72.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +11.5	85.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Under 177.5	80.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Lugano Tigers +6.5	73.7%	1.27	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Regio Basel under 92.5	86.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Under 172.5	71.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Regio Basel under 88.5	76.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Lugano Tigerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lugano Tigers: 75.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.4	50.0%	52.7%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.5	32.0%	31.5%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.9	69.0%	70.3%	12.9

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Regio Baseltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regio Basel: 67.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	18.4	45.3%	52.7%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	6.3	25.5%	31.5%	18.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.2	68.2%	70.3%	12.2

They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.9	29.2	57.4%	52.7%	58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.2	5.9	29.2%	31.5%	17.7
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.9	72.3%	70.3%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	24.3	56.9%	52.7%	48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.7	33.7%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.1	69.3%	70.3%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.7	52.2%	52.7%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.1	30.3%	31.5%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	19.4	12.8	66.2%	70.3%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.4	52.8%	52.7%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	7.3	30.9%	31.5%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.0	72.2%	70.3%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.7	26.5	56.6%	52.7%	52.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.7%	31.5%	21.4
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.3	72.2%	70.3%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	22.5	55.3%	52.7%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.4	32.1%	31.5%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.6	73.4%	70.3%	14.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Lugano Tigers

WLLLLLLWLL

Regio Basel

WLLLLWLLLL

League position

-18.6

Net rating

-21.8

83.2

Offensive rating

74.5

101.8

Defensive rating

96.3

49.1%

Effective FG%

42.6%

53.5%

Opp. effective FG%

54.5%

19.3%

Turnover %

19.6%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.27

32.0%

3-point %

25.5%

61.3%

Assist %

51.4%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Lugano Tigers ■ Regio Basel

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lugano Tigers wins

Regio Basel wins

Date	Game	Score
29/03/26	Regio Basel v Lugano Tigers	98-80
07/02/26	Regio Basel v Lugano Tigers	86-76
15/11/25	Lugano Tigers v Regio Basel	60-97
25/03/25	Lugano Tigers v Regio Basel	87-78
07/12/24	Lugano Tigers v Regio Basel	95-91 OT
29/09/24	Regio Basel v Lugano Tigers	68-60
14/02/24	Lugano Tigers v Regio Basel	121-92
03/12/23	Regio Basel v Lugano Tigers	76-91
08/10/23	Lugano Tigers v Regio Basel	90-71
08/03/23	Lugano Tigers v Regio Basel	95-82

Lugano Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	Zurich	68-60
31/10/26	H	Lausanne Basket	73-91
24/10/26	A	Geneva Lions	74-92
17/10/26	H	SAM Massagno	72-102
10/10/26	A	Fribourg Olympic	80-116
04/10/26	H	Sdent BBC Nyon	70-77
30/09/26	A	Neuchatel	61-69
27/09/26	H	BBC Monthey	94-72
04/04/26	A	SAM Massagno	86-107
29/03/26	A	Regio Basel	80-98

Regio Basellast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	BBC Monthey	92-82
01/11/26	H	Geneva Lions	55-117
24/10/26	A	Fribourg Olympic	58-94
18/10/26	H	Lausanne Basket	69-85
10/10/26	A	Neuchatel	53-65
04/10/26	H	Zurich	81-73
30/09/26	A	Sdent BBC Nyon	83-95
26/09/26	H	SAM Massagno	73-91
12/05/26	H	Geneva Lions	76-93
09/05/26	H	Geneva Lions	64-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lugano Tigers

SB League 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	25%	25%	25%
Points / game	74.0	77.2	70.8
Allowed / game	84.9	85.5	84.2
Point differential	-10.9	-8.2	-13.5
Avg total	158.9	162.8	155.0
Over 162.5	62%	75%	50%
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Regio Basel

SB League 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	25%	25%	25%
Points / game	70.5	69.5	71.5
Allowed / game	87.8	91.5	84.0
Point differential	-17.2	-22.0	-12.5
Avg total	158.2	161.0	155.5
Over 162.5	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Geneva Lions	9	9	0	100%	93.2	60.8	+32.4
2	Fribourg Olympic	9	7	2	78%	84.3	68.3	+16.0
3	SAM Massagno	9	7	2	78%	88.8	79.8	+9.0
4	Sdent BBC Nyon	9	6	3	67%	85.2	77.0	+8.2
5	Lausanne Basket	8	5	3	62%	83.6	78.5	+5.1
6	Neuchatel	8	3	5	38%	68.1	76.9	-8.8
7	Lugano Tigers	8	2	6	25%	74.0	84.9	-10.9
8	Regio Basel	8	2	6	25%	70.5	87.8	-17.2
9	BBC Monthey	9	2	7	22%	77.3	87.0	-9.7
10	Zurich	9	0	9	0%	61.4	89.2	-27.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lugano Tigers	20	14	20	23	77
Regio Basel	19	23	12	15	69

← all games of the day

Lugano Tigers vs Regio Basel Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature