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Lugano Tigers vs Zurich Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game57.3
Allowed / game92.5
SwitzerlandSB LeagueRound 12· Istituto Elvetico
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lugano Tigers v Zurich
16 Dec 2026
LUGA v ZURI
upcoming
23 Oct 2010
LUGA91
ZURI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lugano Tigers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zurich win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lugano TigersSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
102-90
102
90
+12
H21/03
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#7
L
64-96
64
96
-32
H25/03
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
A29/03
SB League
SAM Massagno
#6
L
86-107
86
107
-21
A04/04
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H27/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A30/09
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H04/10
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
80-116
80
116
-36
A10/10
SB League
SAM Massagno
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
H17/10
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A24/10
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
35-22
27-20
18-18
17-32
11-22
18-14
18-28
27-25
13-23
24-30
16-20
19-31
29-28
22-20
16-28
28-14
21-10
25-19
20-29
18-18
13-18
21-8
9-25
17-23
24-14
16-20
13-20
26-33
7-27
17-32
30-24
16-22
14-27
23-30
19-23
23-24
21-24
8-22
22-22
170.2Avg total
78.3Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.288.0163.2-12.817%
Season at home (3)78.783.7162.3-5.033%
Season away (3)71.792.3164.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)78.391.9170.2-13.620%
Last 5 (5)71.491.2162.6-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)75.694.3169.9-18.813%
vs Similar (7)85.783.6169.3+2.143%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Zurich) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZurichSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regio Basel
#6
L
54-111
54
111
-57
A05/03
SB League
SAV Vacallo
#5
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H13/03
SB League
BBC Monthey
#4
L
71-107
71
107
-36
A23/03
SB League
SAM Massagno
#8
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A26/03
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#5
L
55-90
55
90
-35
A26/09
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
46-109
46
109
-63
H29/09
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A04/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
L
62-99
62
99
-37
A10/10
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
43-89
43
89
-46
H17/10
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H24/10
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
7-26
10-33
22-20
16-22
18-25
11-25
21-21
21-25
16-29
16-23
18-30
17-26
13-29
15-23
15-16
14-20
18-26
12-26
11-18
12-18
12-34
15-23
7-34
13-21
16-21
18-10
26-29
10-25
14-19
20-30
18-25
9-16
12-27
9-26
13-20
18-22
21-29
16-24
10-12
155.5Avg total
59.5Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)57.392.5149.8-35.20%
Season at home (3)51.395.0146.3-43.70%
Season away (3)63.390.0153.3-26.70%
Last 10 (10)59.596.0155.5-36.50%
Last 5 (5)57.893.0150.8-35.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)61.490.5151.9-29.03%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lugano Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-7+0+7+15Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -11.8-11.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -10.1-10.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -6.4-6.4
Lugano TigersZurich
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lugano TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/03
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#7
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H25/03
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/03
SB League
SAM Massagno
#6
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A04/04
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H27/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A30/09
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/10
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A10/10
SB League
SAM Massagno
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/10
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/10
SB League
86.8Avg total
40.1Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.685.8-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.444.584.9-4.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.046.786.7-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.146.786.8-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.846.081.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)39.147.486.5-8.326%-
vs Similar (7)43.939.683.4+4.357%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Zurich) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZurichLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regio Basel
#6
L
22-58
22
58
-36
A05/03
SB League
SAV Vacallo
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H13/03
SB League
BBC Monthey
#4
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A23/03
SB League
SAM Massagno
#8
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A26/03
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/09
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H29/09
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/10
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H17/10
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/10
SB League
78.4Avg total
29.2Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)29.445.574.9-16.03%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.544.675.2-14.18%-
Last 30 away (16)28.646.274.8-17.60%-
Last 10 (10)29.249.278.4-20.00%-
Last 5 (5)27.446.473.8-19.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)29.445.574.9-16.03%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lugano Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lugano Tigerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lugano Tigers: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.7
52.5%
52.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.6
32.3%
31.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.412.9
66.5%
69.8%12.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zurichtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zurich: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.313.5
47.6%
52.6%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.5
24.4%
31.2%19.5
🏀 Free throws15.810.5
66.3%
69.8%10.5
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lugano Tigers
LLLLLWLLLW
Zurich
LLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#10
-15.1
Net rating
-42.0
85.4
Offensive rating
69.0
100.5
Defensive rating
110.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
42.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
23.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
24.4%
64.0%
Assist %
56.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence85.4 · 69.0Defence100.5 · 110.9Shooting50.9% · 42.3%3-point %32.3% · 24.4%Ball care18.6% · 23.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Lugano Tigers   ■ Zurich
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lugano Tigers wins
0
Zurich wins
DateGameScore
03/03/11Zurich v Lugano Tigers83-112
11/12/10Zurich v Lugano Tigers50-79
23/10/10Lugano Tigers v Zurich91-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AGeneva Lions74-92
17/10/26HSAM Massagno72-102
10/10/26AFribourg Olympic80-116
04/10/26HSdent BBC Nyon70-77
30/09/26ANeuchatel61-69
27/09/26HBBC Monthey94-72
04/04/26ASAM Massagno86-107
29/03/26ARegio Basel80-98
25/03/26HSdent BBC Nyon64-96
21/03/26HLausanne Basket102-90
Zurichlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HNeuchatel65-87
17/10/26HFribourg Olympic43-89
10/10/26ABBC Monthey62-99
04/10/26ARegio Basel73-81
29/09/26HGeneva Lions46-109
26/09/26ALausanne Basket55-90
26/03/11ASAM Massagno60-94
23/03/11ABBC Monthey71-107
13/03/11HSAV Vacallo66-93
05/03/11ARegio Basel54-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lugano Tigers
SB League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.278.771.7
Allowed / game88.083.792.3
Point differential-12.8-5.0-20.7
Avg total163.2162.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zurich
SB League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game57.351.363.3
Allowed / game92.595.090.0
Point differential-35.2-43.7-26.7
Avg total149.8146.3153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geneva Lions660100%90.559.8+30.7
2 Fribourg Olympic65183%86.065.5+20.5
3 SAM Massagno65183%92.880.2+12.7
4 Sdent BBC Nyon64267%88.076.5+11.5
5 Lausanne Basket64267%83.877.2+6.7
6 Neuchatel63350%67.574.8-7.3
7 BBC Monthey61517%78.290.5-12.3
8 Lugano Tigers61517%75.288.0-12.8
9 Regio Basel61517%69.583.8-14.3
10 Zurich6060%57.392.5-35.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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