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Lusitania vs CAB Madeira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 66-70
13-22 14-9 17-19 22-20
Position#6
Record5-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game74.0
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
CAB Madeira 🏆
Portugal
Position#3
Record8-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game64.6
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lusitania v CAB Madeira
11 Jan 2025
LUSI66
CAB 70
01 Mar 2023
LUSI85
CAB 81
30 Apr 2022
LUSI81
CAB 104
23 Mar 2022
LUSI74
CAB 77
09 Jan 2021
LUSI102
CAB 97
21 Dec 2019
LUSI86
CAB 83
15 Dec 2018
LUSI82
CAB 79
02 Dec 2017
LUSI97
CAB 100
31 Mar 2017
LUSI100
CAB 104
08 Dec 2016
LUSI74
CAB 92
10 Apr 2016
LUSI75
CAB 73
18 Oct 2015
LUSI66
CAB 70
13 Dec 2014
LUSI62
CAB 67
26 Apr 2014
LUSI72
CAB 69
13 Apr 2014
LUSI70
CAB 79
22 Mar 2013
LUSI20
CAB 0
27 Mar 2012
LUSI83
CAB 76
01 Nov 2010
LUSI80
CAB 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
63avg 61
H27/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
57-79
57
79
-22
44avg 61
A01/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
70-56
70
56
+14
62avg 61
H09/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
58avg 61
A16/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
102-65
102
65
+37
110avg 61
A01/12
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
94avg 61
H07/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 61
A14/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
50avg 61
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 61
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
67avg 61
A09/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-15
13-16
17-23
13-24
16-20
11-20
17-15
21-14
25-10
11-13
13-19
18-16
20-14
18-25
17-31
19-16
31-11
24-15
28-23
27-22
17-15
23-16
25-26
11-30
23-14
24-19
18-17
9-15
19-18
20-22
17-24
25-17
16-15
23-12
10-21
18-21
20-16
20-22
16-15
151.4Avg total
75.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.074.0146.0-2.038%
Season at home (6)71.574.7146.2-3.250%
Season away (7)72.473.4145.9-1.029%
Last 10 (10)75.875.6151.4+0.240%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.996.2170.1-22.26%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.778.6147.3-9.914%
vs Weaker (6)75.868.7144.5+7.267%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
56-57
56
57
-1
50avg 70
H27/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
87avg 70
H01/11
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
90-70
90
70
+20
89avg 70
A10/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 70
H16/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
62avg 70
A23/11
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 70
H30/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-68
90
68
+22
84avg 70
A07/12
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
71-54
71
54
+17
66avg 70
H15/12
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-67
84
67
+17
77avg 70
A21/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
59-62
59
62
-3
47avg 70
H04/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
16-13
11-20
14-15
19-20
24-26
19-13
27-12
26-14
21-13
14-25
29-18
16-18
14-20
25-18
31-17
17-29
12-8
19-20
18-9
19-19
20-15
21-16
12-23
20-24
24-15
19-12
27-17
16-11
18-15
18-20
19-8
27-11
21-22
14-15
22-19
21-15
10-17
17-12
11-18
144.9Avg total
77.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.564.6139.1+9.862%
Season at home (7)69.764.6134.3+5.143%
Season away (6)80.064.7144.7+15.383%
Last 10 (10)77.467.5144.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)75.264.8140.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.975.3153.2+2.650%
vs Weaker (14)79.966.5146.4+13.471%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +5.4+5.4
LusitaniaCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H09/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A16/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A01/12
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H07/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A14/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/01
Proliga
73.3Avg total
38.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.378.2-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.643.382.9-3.720%-
Last 30 away (15)34.239.373.5-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.773.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.673.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.546.784.2-9.26%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.435.668.0-3.129%-
vs Weaker (6)40.532.773.2+7.867%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H27/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H01/11
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A10/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H16/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A23/11
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H30/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/12
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/12
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A21/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/01
Proliga
71.0Avg total
37.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.235.375.5+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.333.974.2+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.136.776.8+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.471.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.872.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.137.477.4+2.762%-
vs Weaker (14)40.432.973.3+7.471%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.716.9
46.0%
49.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.2
32.5%
30.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.013.4
70.5%
68.4%13.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.8
51.3%
49.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
30.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
68.4%13.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LWLLWWLWLL
CAB Madeira
LWWWLLWWWL
#6
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+14.1
94.1
Offensive rating
103.8
94.1
Defensive rating
89.7
47.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
25.9%
Turnover %
20.5%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
33.5%
63.2%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 103.8Defence94.1 · 89.7Shooting47.2% · 50.8%3-point %32.5% · 33.5%Ball care25.9% · 20.5%Off. rebounds36.5% · 31.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Lusitania   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lusitania wins
6
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24CAB Madeira v Lusitania86-73
01/03/23Lusitania v CAB Madeira85-81
11/02/23CAB Madeira v Lusitania69-80
04/12/22CAB Madeira v Lusitania101-86
30/04/22Lusitania v CAB Madeira81-104
13/04/22CAB Madeira v Lusitania111-77
23/03/22Lusitania v CAB Madeira74-77
31/10/21CAB Madeira v Lusitania73-76
17/04/21CAB Madeira v Lusitania87-81
09/01/21Lusitania v CAB Madeira102-97 OT
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AImortal B81-89 OT
05/01/25ABarreirense74-65
28/12/24HCB Queluz65-79
14/12/24APortimonense76-80
07/12/24HSanto Andre92-79
01/12/24ABenfica Lisboa B102-65
16/11/24ACAB Madeira73-86
09/11/24HBarreirense70-56
01/11/24ACB Queluz57-79
27/10/24HImortal B68-78
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HPortimonense59-62
21/12/24ABenfica Lisboa B84-67
15/12/24HImortal B71-54
07/12/24ABarreirense90-68
30/11/24HCB Queluz72-73
23/11/24ASanto Andre77-80 OT
16/11/24HLusitania86-73
10/11/24APortimonense90-70
01/11/24HSanto Andre89-71
27/10/24HBenfica Lisboa B56-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game72.071.572.4
Allowed / game74.074.773.4
Point differential-2.0-3.2-1.0
Avg total146.0146.2145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
CAB Madeira
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWLWL43%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%43%83%
Points / game74.569.780.0
Allowed / game64.664.664.7
Point differential+9.8+5.1+15.3
Avg total139.1134.3144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%43%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1310377%84.770.9+13.8
2 Illiabum1310377%79.367.7+11.6
3 Vasco Da Gama1310377%84.778.1+6.6
4 CB Queluz139469%73.869.8+4.1
5 CAB Madeira138562%74.564.6+9.8
6 Portimonense138562%74.573.2+1.2
7 Imortal B138562%68.868.8+0.0
8 Sangalhos136746%77.878.5-0.8
9 Santo Andre136746%68.869.8-1.0
10 Maia136746%76.183.3-7.2
11 Lusitania135838%72.074.0-2.0
12 Ginasio135838%81.585.7-4.2
13 Barreirense134931%68.172.5-4.4
14 Benfica Lisboa B134931%65.373.1-7.8
15 Sampaense134931%76.986.0-9.1
16 Galitos Aveiro131128%67.578.2-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1314172266
CAB Madeira229192070
← all games of the day
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