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Luxembourg vs Albania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-75
21-26 27-15 21-14 17-20
Position#38
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#39
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game95.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Coque Sport Center
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luxembourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Albania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLuxembourg
Date
Competition
Iceland
#31
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A26/11
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#56
W
99-89
99
89
+10
no box
A18/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H20/02
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
76-129
76
129
-53
no box
H14/08
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
H17/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
58-94
58
94
-36
no box
A18/08
World Cup
Albania
#39
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 73
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 73
H28/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
14-11
21-32
17-24
15-16
16-14
20-22
26-21
32-23
23-23
20-24
24-19
23-29
20-28
26-14
15-15
12-21
16-26
26-20
20-16
21-33
21-30
9-40
25-26
19-23
27-25
7-13
21-19
19-24
11-19
14-28
14-23
26-27
20-21
28-20
15-24
25-15
15-29
18-14
12-15
166.6Avg total
77.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.582.5162.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)70.073.0143.0-3.00%
Season away (1)89.092.0181.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)77.788.9166.6-11.220%
Last 5 (5)73.493.6167.0-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.087.8160.8-14.86%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.078.6156.6-0.644%
vs Weaker (4)96.574.5171.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Albania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlbania
Date
Competition
Belarus
#19
L
66-97
66
97
-31
no box
A14/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#8
L
57-68
57
68
-11
no box
H21/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#38
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A20/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
W
71-64
71
64
+7
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
50-90
50
90
-40
no box
A26/11
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A18/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H20/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#38
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 79
H25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
84-101
84
101
-17
69avg 79
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
13-19
15-21
24-26
16-20
17-14
18-15
6-19
18-9
13-22
16-13
15-26
14-17
13-16
22-15
22-16
16-21
7-24
20-23
7-22
16-22
21-26
25-21
8-19
22-18
12-14
15-26
17-30
24-25
15-19
16-26
17-23
27-26
21-20
20-28
24-15
29-28
27-24
14-25
14-24
153.8Avg total
69.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.095.0183.0-7.050%
Season at home (1)92.089.0181.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)84.0101.0185.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)69.084.8153.8-15.820%
Last 5 (5)76.891.8168.6-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.087.4151.4-23.40%
vs Similar ◀ (1)92.089.0181.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (2)68.576.0144.5-7.550%
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -6.6-6.6
LuxembourgAlbania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LuxembourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland
#31
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/11
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H28/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#56
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A18/02
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H20/02
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A13/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
42-63
42
63
-21
H14/08
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/08
World Cup
Albania
#39
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/11
EuroBasket
85.9Avg total
39.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.641.781.3-2.141%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.044.284.2-4.247%-
Last 30 away (14)39.139.078.1+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.946.085.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.849.290.0-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.644.281.9-6.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.039.480.4+1.656%-
vs Weaker (4)44.236.580.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Albania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belarus
#19
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A14/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H21/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#38
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A20/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H23/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A26/11
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A18/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#38
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A24/02
EuroBasket
77.0Avg total
35.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)35.443.078.3-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.242.176.3-7.910%-
Last 30 away (10)36.543.880.3-7.330%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.577.0-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.487.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.244.079.2-8.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)48.046.094.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)30.532.563.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luxembourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luxembourg: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.5
57.3%
50.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.5
71.4%
71.4%12.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Albaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Albania: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.5
50.0%
50.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.012.0
48.0%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws15.012.0
80.0%
71.4%12.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luxembourg
LLLLLLLWWL
Albania
LWLLLLWLLL
#38
League position
#39
-2.7
Net rating
-11.2
108.2
Offensive rating
121.7
110.9
Defensive rating
132.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
58.6%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
62.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
40.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.0%
3-point %
48.0%
72.9%
Assist %
41.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 121.7Defence110.9 · 132.9Shooting53.6% · 58.6%3-point %32.0% · 48.0%Ball care15.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds20.9% · 40.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Luxembourg   ■ Albania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luxembourg wins
1
Albania wins
DateGameScore
25/11/21Albania v Luxembourg92-89
Luxembourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HRomania70-73
25/11/21AAlbania89-92
18/08/21ASweden58-94
17/08/21HPortugal74-80
14/08/21HSweden76-129
13/08/21APortugal74-83
20/02/21HIceland84-86
18/02/21AKosovo99-89
28/11/20HSlovakia77-73
26/11/20AIceland76-90
Albanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22ARomania84-101
25/11/21HLuxembourg92-89
20/02/21HBelarus72-93
18/02/21ACyprus66-88
28/11/20HPortugal70-88
26/11/20ABelarus50-90
23/02/20HCyprus71-64
20/02/20APortugal62-70
21/08/19HDenmark57-68
14/08/19ABelarus66-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luxembourg
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.570.089.0
Allowed / game82.573.092.0
Point differential-3.0-3.0-3.0
Avg total162.0143.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Albania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.092.084.0
Allowed / game95.089.0101.0
Point differential-7.0+3.0-17.0
Avg total183.0181.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Romania220100%87.077.0+10.0
2 Switzerland43175%73.264.0+9.2
3 Austria43175%81.072.8+8.2
4 Denmark21150%78.573.0+5.5
5 Kosovo21150%77.579.5-2.0
6 Norway21150%77.080.5-3.5
7 Albania21150%88.095.0-7.0
8 Ireland31233%74.384.3-10.0
9 Luxembourg2020%79.582.5-3.0
10 Cyprus3030%64.377.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luxembourg2127211786
Albania2615142075
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