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Lyon W vs Kibirkstis Vilnius W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-67
21-17 16-20 18-18 14-12
Position#10
Record6-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game60.3
Lyon W 🏆
vs
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
Position#33
Record3-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.3
EuropeEuroCup Women· Gymnase Mado Bonnet
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kibirkstis Vilnius W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lyon WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Landes W
#2
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
81avg 74
H02/11
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
54avg 74
A17/11
LFB W
Chomutov W
#29
W
89-47
89
47
+42
88avg 74
A20/11
EuroCup Women
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
L
67-83
67
83
-16
58avg 74
H23/11
LFB W
Gorzow W
#31
W
100-79
100
79
+21
99avg 74
H27/11
EuroCup Women
Bourges W
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
64avg 74
A30/11
LFB W
Angers W
#21
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 74
A04/12
French Cup Women
Angers W
#6
W
84-65
84
65
+19
81avg 74
H07/12
LFB W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#33
L
85-85
85
85
+0
76avg 74
A12/12
EuroCup Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
57-80
57
80
-23
54avg 74
A15/12
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-19
17-21
18-20
15-22
15-19
23-14
8-18
19-11
29-15
26-6
15-15
20-16
19-22
17-26
11-19
32-13
22-24
21-24
25-18
19-24
14-17
13-25
25-16
13-19
29-17
27-10
11-23
28-18
13-18
29-17
14-12
14-25
23-13
22-25
26-22
11-23
15-22
15-18
16-17
153.1Avg total
78.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.160.3152.4+31.986%
Season at home (3)100.361.0161.3+39.3100%
Season away (4)86.059.8145.8+26.275%
Last 10 (10)78.374.8153.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)75.476.2151.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.984.9152.8-17.010%
vs Similar (7)73.170.7143.9+2.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.166.2152.2+19.975%
This opponent (Kibirkstis Vilnius W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kibirkstis Vilnius WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
RSU Merks W
#8
W
111-44
111
44
+67
110avg 78
H13/11
SLB Women
Panevezys W
#6
W
82-59
82
59
+23
79avg 78
H17/11
Moteru Lyga W
VBW Gdynia W
#16
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 78
H20/11
EuroCup Women
Elitzur Ramla W
#34
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 78
A22/11
EuroCup Women
Alba Berlin W
#41
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 78
H27/11
EuroCup Women
TSA Tallinn W
#5
W
92-45
92
45
+47
95avg 78
H30/11
SLB Women
LCC W
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
52avg 78
A03/12
Moteru Lyga W
Liepajas Papirs/LSSS W
#7
W
85-64
85
64
+21
84avg 78
H08/12
SLB Women
Lyon W
#10
L
85-85
85
85
+0
85avg 78
H12/12
EuroCup Women
Panevezys W
#6
W
90-56
90
56
+34
88avg 78
H15/12
Moteru Lyga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-6
32-8
29-23
21-7
24-8
17-23
23-12
18-16
21-24
11-18
12-13
22-25
19-21
21-10
17-13
28-23
16-14
18-19
19-22
27-13
30-6
19-14
15-9
28-16
13-18
16-12
11-15
21-13
24-19
18-18
17-22
26-5
25-14
13-23
25-22
22-26
19-8
27-17
21-16
23-15
146.3Avg total
83.7Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.073.3147.3+0.743%
Season at home (4)75.878.2154.0-2.525%
Season away (3)71.766.7138.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)83.762.6146.3+21.180%
Last 5 (5)82.661.6144.2+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.579.2150.8-7.80%
vs Similar (4)70.274.8145.0-4.525%
vs Weaker (22)82.557.8140.3+24.795%
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +7.7+7.7
Lyon WKibirkstis Vilnius W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Landes W
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/11
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A17/11
LFB W
Chomutov W
#29
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A20/11
EuroCup Women
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/11
LFB W
Gorzow W
#31
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H27/11
EuroCup Women
Bourges W
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A30/11
LFB W
Angers W
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A04/12
French Cup Women
Angers W
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/12
LFB W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#33
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/12
EuroCup Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A15/12
LFB W
76.8Avg total
39.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.175.8+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.037.378.3+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)36.637.073.6-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.576.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.275.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.443.877.2-10.410%-
vs Similar (7)35.638.974.4-3.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.630.775.2+13.983%-
This opponent (Kibirkstis Vilnius W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kibirkstis Vilnius WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RSU Merks W
#8
W
61-14
61
14
+47
H13/11
SLB Women
Panevezys W
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H17/11
Moteru Lyga W
VBW Gdynia W
#16
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H20/11
EuroCup Women
Elitzur Ramla W
#34
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/11
EuroCup Women
Alba Berlin W
#41
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H27/11
EuroCup Women
TSA Tallinn W
#5
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H30/11
SLB Women
LCC W
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A03/12
Moteru Lyga W
Liepajas Papirs/LSSS W
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/12
SLB Women
Lyon W
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/12
EuroCup Women
Panevezys W
#6
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H15/12
Moteru Lyga W
71.2Avg total
41.2Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.531.372.8+10.277%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.731.273.8+11.584%-
Last 30 away (11)39.531.570.9+8.064%-
Last 10 (10)41.230.071.2+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.829.870.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.540.877.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (4)35.536.872.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (22)43.528.572.0+15.091%-
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.8 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.8
48.6%
47.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.5
35.7%
31.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.413.5
73.4%
74.2%13.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kibirkstis Vilnius Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kibirkstis Vilnius W: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.8 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.823.9
50.0%
47.0%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.8
34.5%
31.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.814.9
71.6%
74.2%14.9
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lyon W
LLWWLWLWLW
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
WLWWWWWLWW
#10
League position
#33
+4.1
Net rating
+28.2
97.0
Offensive rating
106.1
92.9
Defensive rating
77.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
21.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
40.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
34.5%
69.6%
Assist %
71.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 106.1Defence92.9 · 77.9Shooting50.2% · 50.5%3-point %35.7% · 34.5%Ball care20.9% · 21.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 40.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Lyon W   ■ Kibirkstis Vilnius W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lyon W wins
0
Kibirkstis Vilnius W wins
DateGameScore
12/12/24Kibirkstis Vilnius W v Lyon W85-85
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W57-80
12/12/24AKibirkstis Vilnius W85-85
07/12/24HAngers W84-65
04/12/24AAngers W80-69
30/11/24ABourges W71-82
27/11/24HGorzow W100-79
23/11/24HLanderneau Bretagne W67-83
20/11/24AChomutov W89-47
17/11/24ATarbes GB W61-73
02/11/24HLandes W89-85 OT
Kibirkstis Vilnius Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HPanevezys W90-56
12/12/24HLyon W85-85
08/12/24HLiepajas Papirs/LSSS W85-64
03/12/24ALCC W61-58
30/11/24HTSA Tallinn W92-45
27/11/24HAlba Berlin W80-68
22/11/24AElitzur Ramla W85-67
20/11/24HVBW Gdynia W66-80
17/11/24HPanevezys W82-59
13/11/24HRSU Merks W111-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lyon W
EuroCup Women 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game92.1100.386.0
Allowed / game60.361.059.8
Point differential+31.9+39.3+26.2
Avg total152.4161.3145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
EuroCup Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game74.075.871.7
Allowed / game73.378.266.7
Point differential+0.7-2.5+5.0
Avg total147.3154.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lattes Montpellier W880100%82.556.8+25.8
2 Besiktas W770100%84.061.4+22.6
3 ESB Villeneuve W110100%88.069.0+19.0
4 UNI Gyor W110100%92.077.0+15.0
5 DVTK W110100%81.075.0+6.0
6 Ferrol W98189%79.655.9+23.7
7 Galatasaray W87188%86.463.8+22.6
8 Lyon W76186%92.160.3+31.9
9 Jairis W76186%80.060.7+19.3
10 Uni Girona W76186%85.767.3+18.4
11 Sopron W76186%75.661.0+14.6
12 IDK Gipuzkoa W76186%72.358.3+14.0
13 Sosnowiec W76186%76.766.6+10.1
14 Angers W97278%80.767.6+13.1
15 Sassari W97278%75.663.8+11.8
16 Keltern W86275%76.164.6+11.5
17 Tarbes GB W85362%77.855.2+22.5
18 Estudiantes W85362%84.166.9+17.2
19 VBW Gdynia W85362%75.468.0+7.4
20 Bodrum W85362%71.968.8+3.1
21 NKA Pecs W74357%84.363.1+21.1
22 Campobasso W74357%81.069.4+11.6
23 San Giovanni W74357%73.763.0+10.7
24 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W74357%69.061.7+7.3
25 Braine W74357%73.074.1-1.1
26 Crvena zvezda W84450%75.468.8+6.6
27 Cluj Napoca W21150%59.560.5-1.0
28 Chomutov W63350%70.075.2-5.2
29 Fribourg W63350%64.873.0-8.2
30 Szekszard W73443%82.173.1+9.0
31 Gorzow W73443%79.171.7+7.4
32 Kibirkstis Vilnius W73443%74.073.3+0.7
33 Phoenix Constanta W73443%77.179.7-2.6
34 Elitzur Ramla W73443%72.976.0-3.1
35 Klaipedos Neptunas W83538%64.069.0-5.0
36 Lublin W62433%65.777.3-11.7
37 KP Brno W62433%62.577.7-15.2
38 Sepsi SIC W61517%63.369.7-6.3
39 Mechelen W61517%65.774.0-8.3
40 Alba Berlin W61517%61.870.7-8.8
41 PeKa W61517%70.582.8-12.3
42 Benfica W61517%64.577.5-13.0
43 TTT Riga W61517%63.277.3-14.2
44 Proteas Voulas W61517%53.777.5-23.8
45 Namur W61517%59.384.7-25.3
46 Iraklis W81712%43.096.1-53.1
47 Caledonia Gladiators W6060%61.080.5-19.5
48 TFSE-MTK W2020%67.086.5-19.5
49 Piestanske Cajky W6060%54.874.7-19.8
50 Panathinaikos W6060%62.583.2-20.7
51 Olympiacos W1010%63.085.0-22.0
52 Osnabruck W2020%51.074.0-23.0
53 Uniao Sportiva W6060%48.575.5-27.0
54 Giannina W2020%56.587.5-31.0
55 Battipaglia W2020%46.089.0-43.0
56 AEL Limassol W6060%51.594.8-43.3
57 Yerevan W6060%49.7105.7-56.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 57 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lyon W2116181469
Kibirkstis Vilnius W1720181267
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