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Lyon W vs Valencia W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-70
16-15 6-20 24-20 15-15
Position#13
Record0-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game57.0
Allowed / game86.5
Lyon W
vs
Valencia W 🏆
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 3· Gymnase Mado Bonnet
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyon W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lyon WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#2
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
H20/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H22/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
57avg 54
H15/09
LFB Super Cup Women
La Roche W
#11
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 54
A23/09
LFB W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
52-109
52
109
-57
38avg 54
H28/09
SuperCup Women
Angers W
#10
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 54
H01/10
LFB W
DVTK W
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
46avg 54
H04/10
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#7
L
62-66
62
66
-4
58avg 54
A08/10
LFB W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
57-106
57
106
-49
54avg 54
A11/10
Euroleague Women
Tarbes GB W
#8
W
71-59
71
59
+12
71avg 54
H14/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
29-16
18-15
18-27
18-14
19-23
16-14
21-17
13-21
16-18
17-22
14-16
21-11
9-20
8-12
20-23
16-26
12-25
10-33
14-25
13-19
18-11
10-21
26-12
15-12
17-23
16-19
9-13
21-12
7-25
20-11
14-18
9-31
27-18
14-27
7-30
14-17
24-11
14-16
19-15
139.6Avg total
64.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)57.086.5143.5-29.50%
Season at home (1)57.067.0124.0-10.00%
Season away (1)57.0106.0163.0-49.00%
Last 10 (10)64.375.3139.6-11.040%
Last 5 (5)62.872.2135.0-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.381.3140.7-22.00%
vs Similar (13)74.870.9145.7+3.869%
vs Weaker (12)79.262.8142.0+16.583%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#4
W
93-49
93
49
+44
no box
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
no box
H04/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
81-69
81
69
+12
no box
A07/05
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#15
W
76-47
76
47
+29
no box
H22/09
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
A30/09
Supercopa Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H01/10
Supercopa Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
66-96
66
96
-30
63avg 76
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Gran Canaria W
#14
W
77-54
77
54
+23
73avg 76
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Lublin W
#17
W
64-45
64
45
+19
64avg 76
H11/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#10
W
102-41
102
41
+61
106avg 76
H14/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-7
24-12
17-16
26-14
23-13
20-11
19-22
8-20
16-26
19-18
22-15
24-10
17-15
15-11
20-14
24-7
15-20
21-18
22-9
16-10
24-12
18-10
22-24
14-27
19-25
14-28
18-21
15-22
19-15
23-13
17-12
18-14
19-8
17-12
14-15
14-10
23-12
28-6
26-14
25-9
137.8Avg total
78.1Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.070.5135.5-5.550%
Season at home (1)64.045.0109.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)66.096.0162.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)78.159.7137.8+18.490%
Last 5 (5)77.461.8139.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.087.7149.7-25.70%
vs Similar (6)70.872.2143.0-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)76.955.6132.5+21.4100%
This opponent (Lyon W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
Lyon WValencia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#2
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H20/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/09
LFB Super Cup Women
La Roche W
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A23/09
LFB W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H28/09
SuperCup Women
Angers W
#10
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H01/10
LFB W
DVTK W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/10
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A08/10
LFB W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A11/10
Euroleague Women
Tarbes GB W
#8
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H14/10
LFB W
70.5Avg total
33.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.934.072.9+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.133.572.6+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.834.573.2+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.770.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.868.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.739.368.0-10.70%-
vs Similar (13)40.035.575.5+4.569%-
vs Weaker (12)42.029.371.3+12.783%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#4
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H04/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#15
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H22/09
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/09
Supercopa Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/10
Supercopa Women
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A04/10
Euroleague Women
Gran Canaria W
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Lublin W
#17
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H11/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#10
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H14/10
Liga Femenina W
69.2Avg total
40.0Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.069.0+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.127.367.4+12.881%-
Last 30 away (14)35.535.370.8+0.243%-
Last 10 (10)40.029.269.2+10.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.828.269.0+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.343.372.7-14.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.039.076.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.026.066.0+14.089%-
This opponent (Lyon W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.8
47.7%
46.7%33.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.9
27.6%
32.1%17.6
🏀 Free throws11.88.6
73.4%
75.3%8.6
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.0
47.9%
46.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.5
30.0%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws9.57.5
78.9%
75.3%7.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/2 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lyon W
WLLLWLLLWW
Valencia W
WWWLWWWWWW
#13
League position
#8
-21.9
Net rating
-9.0
82.6
Offensive rating
88.5
104.5
Defensive rating
97.5
45.3%
Effective FG%
46.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
25.7%
Turnover %
24.2%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.16
27.6%
3-point %
30.0%
70.2%
Assist %
81.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 88.5Defence104.5 · 97.5Shooting45.3% · 46.7%3-point %27.6% · 30.0%Ball care25.7% · 24.2%Off. rebounds23.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Lyon W   ■ Valencia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lyon W wins
0
Valencia W wins
No previous meetings.
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HTarbes GB W71-59
11/10/23AFenerbahce W57-106
08/10/23AFlammes Carolo W62-66
04/10/23HDVTK W57-67
01/10/23HAngers W67-63
28/09/23HFenerbahce W52-109
23/09/23ALa Roche W58-66
15/09/23HLandes W60-77
22/05/23HESB Villeneuve W74-68
20/05/23HESB Villeneuve W85-72
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HEnsino W102-41
11/10/23HLublin W64-45
07/10/23AGran Canaria W77-54
04/10/23AFenerbahce W66-96
01/10/23HPerfumerias Avenida W78-73
30/09/23AZaragoza W74-57
22/09/23HCelta W76-47
07/05/23APerfumerias Avenida W81-69
04/05/23HPerfumerias Avenida W70-66
30/04/23HZaragoza W93-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lyon W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game57.057.057.0
Allowed / game86.567.0106.0
Point differential-29.5-10.0-49.0
Avg total143.5124.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game65.064.066.0
Allowed / game70.545.096.0
Point differential-5.5+19.0-30.0
Avg total135.5109.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W220100%101.061.5+39.5
2 Schio W220100%70.054.0+16.0
3 Virtus Bologna W220100%87.571.5+16.0
4 Perfumerias Avenida W220100%80.571.0+9.5
5 Polkowice W54180%72.270.8+1.4
6 DVTK W43175%67.060.2+6.8
7 USK Prague W32167%78.767.3+11.3
8 Zaragoza W21150%74.061.5+12.5
9 CBK Mersin W21150%78.078.5-0.5
10 Valencia W21150%65.070.5-5.5
11 ESB Villeneuve W21150%79.085.5-6.5
12 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
13 Sepsi SIC W42250%59.267.8-8.5
14 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
15 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
16 UNI Gyor W3030%76.787.0-10.3
17 Landes W3030%71.081.7-10.7
18 Lublin W2020%47.567.0-19.5
19 Lyon W2020%57.086.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lyon W166241561
Valencia W1520201570
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