Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

Maccabi Ashdod and Hapoel Beer Sheva face off in the Super League on 2 November 2026, a contest where neither side can be declared a clear favourite as the margin is razor-thin. Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th with a 1-2 record, averaging 69.7 points and conceding 73.3, while Hapoel Beer Sheva languish 14th with a 0-3 record, scoring 77.0 and allowing 91.3. At home, Ashdod are 1-1, 71.0 to 69.5, and have won three of their last five, including a 76-62 victory over Nes Ziona; Beer Sheva, however, are 0-1 on the road, 74.0 to 88.0, and have lost all five of their recent outings, most notably a 75-91 defeat to Hapoel Holon. Historically, Beer Sheva have dominated the series 6-1, with their last win 85-80 on 2 July 2020. Pythia assigns a 54% chance to Ashdod and 46% to Beer Sheva, projecting an 85-84 score for a total of 169.5 points. The home team line is -4.5 with a 40% probability of covering, and the over is 5% likely, while a 5% chance of overtime is noted. The game will hinge on whether Ashdod can overcome their recent struggles and stave off Beer Sheva's recent form.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Ashdod winLost

54.4%fair 1.84

Best odds1.54

Implied61.9%

Edge-7.5pp

Hapoel Beer Sheva winWon

45.6%fair 2.19

Best odds2.55

Implied38.1%

Edge+7.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maccabi Ashdod Israel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAshdod

Date

Competition

Otef Darom

#10

67-71

-4

no box

A19/05

Liga Leumit

Otef Darom

#10

110-84

110

+26

no box

H24/05

Liga Leumit

Otef Darom

#10

82-79

no box

A27/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

108-114 OT

108

114

-6

no box

A31/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

85-70

+15

no box

H04/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

86-82

no box

A08/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

94-83

+11

no box

H11/06

Liga Leumit

Nes Ziona

76-62

+14

48avg 43

H12/10

Super League

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

67-81

-14

42avg 43

A18/10

Super League

Galil Elyon

66-77

-11

39avg 43

H26/10

Super League

19-16

17-13

19-20

12-22

28-22

25-16

28-24

29-22

18-29

25-17

17-16

22-17

29-22

10-25

25-22

28-23

24-22

28-21

16-16

17-11

11-14

26-16

17-26

32-26

20-16

20-23

31-16

23-28

17-12

17-18

14-20

28-12

28-23

20-23

7-14

12-21

23-16

7-26

26-19

10-16

164.4Avg total

84.1Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	69.7	73.3	143.0	-3.7	33%
Season at home (2)	71.0	69.5	140.5	+1.5	50%
Season away (1)	67.0	81.0	148.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	80.3	164.4	+3.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	77.0	154.8	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	75.3	81.7	157.0	-6.3	33%
vs Similar (7)	86.6	86.3	172.9	+0.3	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	93.5	80.6	174.1	+12.9	90%

This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSheva

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

69-81

-12

36avg 62

A06/05

Super League

Nes Ziona

68-105

105

-37

37avg 62

H10/05

Super League

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

101-95

101

76avg 62

H15/05

Super League

Hapoel Jerusalem

87-103

103

-16

69avg 62

A20/05

Super League

Elitzur Maccabi Netanya

#13

79-83

-4

45avg 62

H27/05

Super League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

90-106

106

-16

66avg 62

A01/06

Super League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

83-108

108

-25

61avg 62

H03/06

Super League

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

82-95

-13

55avg 62

H11/10

Super League

Hapoel Jerusalem

74-88

-14

49avg 62

A17/10

Super League

Hapoel Holon

#13

75-91

-16

48avg 62

H23/10

Super League

17-23

19-30

16-11

17-17

14-24

16-19

21-36

17-26

24-28

16-24

27-21

34-22

23-30

25-25

16-26

23-22

19-15

15-30

27-21

18-17

19-27

24-25

24-21

23-33

25-24

18-30

16-25

24-29

23-24

12-20

27-20

20-31

10-22

24-20

14-22

26-24

12-30

26-20

14-25

23-16

176.3Avg total

80.8Scored

95.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	77.0	91.3	168.3	-14.3	0%
Season at home (2)	78.5	93.0	171.5	-14.5	0%
Season away (1)	74.0	88.0	162.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	95.5	176.3	-14.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	97.6	178.4	-16.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	85.1	94.5	179.6	-9.5	13%
vs Similar (15)	84.0	86.5	170.5	-2.5	53%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5

Over 160.5

69.9%

@ 1.52+8.7pp

Under 160.5

30.1%

@ 2.40-8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.37

Marathon Be

2.14

Over/Under 165.75 · main lineActual: Over 165.75

Over 165.75

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 165.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5

Over 170.5

46.7%

@ 2.40+7.8pp

Under 170.5

53.3%

@ 1.52-7.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.35

Under

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Maccabi Ashdod total 80.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod over 80.5

Over 80.5

67.9%

@ 1.40+3.5pp

Under 80.5

32.1%

@ 2.65-3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.39

Maccabi Ashdod total 84.5 · main lineActual: Maccabi Ashdod over 84.5

Over 84.5

53.1%

@ 1.83+2.0pp

Under 84.5

46.9%

@ 1.90-2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.71

Under

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Maccabi Ashdod total 88.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod under 88.5

Over 88.5

37.8%

@ 2.47+0.6pp

Under 88.5

62.2%

@ 1.47-0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.36

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.39

Hapoel Beer Sheva total 75.5Actual: Hapoel Beer Sheva over 75.5

Over 75.5

79.6%

@ 1.40+12.9pp

Under 75.5

20.4%

@ 2.77-12.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.30

Under

1xBet

2.77

Betano

2.65

Hapoel Beer Sheva total 79.5 · main lineActual: Hapoel Beer Sheva over 79.5

Over 79.5

66.9%

@ 1.83+15.2pp

Under 79.5

33.1%

@ 2.02-15.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

BetVictor

1.78

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.57

Under

Betano

2.02

1xBet

1.92

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Hapoel Beer Sheva total 83.5Actual: Hapoel Beer Sheva over 83.5

Over 83.5

52.0%

@ 2.27+10.8pp

Under 83.5

48.0%

@ 1.55-10.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.08

Under

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.49

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Maccabi Ashdod -6.5Actual: Hapoel Beer Sheva +6.5

MACC -6.5

32.8%

@ 2.25-9.4pp

HAPO +6.5

67.2%

@ 1.64+9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

MACC

Marathon Be

2.25

Pinnacle

2.24

1xBet

2.18

Bet365

2.17

Betano

2.12

HAPO

Bet365

1.64

Pinnacle

1.64

Betano

1.62

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.49

Spread Maccabi Ashdod -3.5 · main lineActual: Hapoel Beer Sheva +3.5

MACC -3.5

43.8%

@ 1.88-6.9pp

HAPO +3.5

56.2%

@ 1.95+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

MACC

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.80

Bet365

1.76

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.72

HAPO

Bet365

1.95

Betano

1.93

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.89

1xBet

1.81

Spread Maccabi Ashdod -0.5Actual: Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5

MACC -0.5

54.4%

HAPO +0.5

45.6%

Best 5 market prices

MACC

No market prices yet.

HAPO

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Maccabi AshdodHapoel Beer Sheva

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.7	63%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	19.7	43.6	+4.1	73%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.9	42.9	-0.8	53%	47%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	21.3	42.7	+0.0	67%	67%
vs Similar (7)	21.1	18.4	39.6	+2.7	71%	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.6	60%	60%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.5	40%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.5	27%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.3	42.3	-0.4	53%	47%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	24.7	43.3	-6.1	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	25.4	43.2	-7.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-0.9	40%	67%
vs Similar (15)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	40%	47%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.7	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	53%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	0%	67%
vs Similar (7)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	29%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.8	18.8	42.5	+5.0	70%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.4	30%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	22.7	40.9	-4.5	27%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.3	33%	73%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	24.3	43.8	-4.8	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	20%	67%
vs Similar (15)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	53%
vs Weaker	no games

Maccabi AshdodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Otef Darom

#10

36-29

A19/05

Liga Leumit

Otef Darom

#10

53-38

+15

H24/05

Liga Leumit

Otef Darom

#10

43-46

-3

A27/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

39-47

-8

A31/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

52-43

H04/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

37-30

A08/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

40-39

H11/06

Liga Leumit

Nes Ziona

34-30

H12/10

Super League

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

48-46

A18/10

Super League

Galil Elyon

30-42

-12

H26/10

Super League

80.2Avg total

41.2Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	44.5	40.8	85.3	+3.6	60%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.7	39.9	86.6	+6.9	67%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	41.8	84.0	+0.4	53%	67%
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.4	75.2	+0.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	44.0	83.3	-4.7	67%	67%
vs Similar (7)	39.9	41.0	80.9	-1.1	43%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.9	40.3	87.2	+6.6	65%	80%

This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Beer ShevaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

36-53

-17

A06/05

Super League

Nes Ziona

30-43

-13

H10/05

Super League

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

40-52

-12

H15/05

Super League

Hapoel Jerusalem

48-55

-7

A20/05

Super League

Elitzur Maccabi Netanya

#13

34-45

-11

H27/05

Super League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

43-52

-9

A01/06

Super League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

43-54

-11

H03/06

Super League

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

35-44

-9

H11/10

Super League

Hapoel Jerusalem

34-42

-8

A17/10

Super League

Hapoel Holon

#13

38-50

-12

H23/10

Super League

87.1Avg total

38.1Scored

49.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.5
Last 30 (30)	41.3	45.2	86.6	-3.9	37%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	46.5	85.9	-7.1	20%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	44.0	87.3	-0.7	53%	67%
Last 10 (10)	38.1	49.0	87.1	-10.9	0%	60%
Last 5 (5)	38.6	48.4	87.0	-9.8	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	41.9	46.5	88.3	-4.6	33%	67%
vs Similar (15)	40.8	44.0	84.8	-3.2	40%	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Maccabi Ashdod win

MACC win

no forecast

@ 1.61

HAPO win

no forecast

@ 2.34

1st half Spread Maccabi Ashdod -2 · main lineActual: Maccabi Ashdod -2

MACC -2

no forecast

@ 1.92

HAPO +2

no forecast

@ 1.92

1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Over 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Maccabi Ashdod 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Maccabi Ashdod over 43

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.84

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Hapoel Beer Sheva over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: MACC + total 82.5

MACC & over

no forecast

@ 3.10

MACC & under

no forecast

@ 3.20

1st half: Draw + total 82.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: HAPO + total 82.5

HAPO & over

no forecast

@ 4.50

HAPO & under

no forecast

@ 4.50

1st half Over/Under 81.25Actual: Over 81.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 83.75Actual: Over 83.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Maccabi Ashdod -3Actual: Maccabi Ashdod -3

MACC -3

no forecast

@ 2.11

HAPO +3

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half Spread Maccabi Ashdod -0.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod -0.5

MACC -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

HAPO +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Maccabi Ashdod -4Actual: Maccabi Ashdod -4

MACC -4

no forecast

@ 2.16

HAPO +4

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.44

Under

no forecast

@ 2.62

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Hapoel Beer Sheva (regulation)

MACC

no forecast

@ 1.62

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

HAPO

no forecast

@ 2.50

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	57%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	20.5	44.3	+3.3	60%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.7	53%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	21.7	36.7	-6.7	0%	33%
vs Similar (7)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	57%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.9	65%	65%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	40%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	60%	60%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	40%	73%
vs Similar (15)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	60%	60%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	73%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.1	41.8	+3.7	67%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	20.7	44.1	+2.8	80%	67%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	67%	33%
vs Similar (7)	21.4	22.4	43.9	-1.0	43%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.0	19.6	43.5	+4.4	85%	70%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-1.1	40%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.7	44.1	-1.4	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	23.5	46.3	-0.7	33%	87%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.7	46.2	-1.2	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	23.2	26.6	49.8	-3.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	22.3	25.1	47.4	-2.7	33%	80%
vs Similar (15)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	47%	67%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	45.0	40.5	85.5	+4.6	77%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.5	39.5	86.1	+7.0	87%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	41.4	84.9	+2.1	67%	60%
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.1	80.4	+2.2	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.6	79.6	+0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	67%	33%
vs Similar (7)	44.4	42.1	86.6	+2.3	57%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.6	40.3	86.9	+6.3	85%	65%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	42.9	44.8	87.7	-1.9	47%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	45.7	88.0	-3.3	40%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	43.9	87.3	-0.5	53%	80%
Last 10 (10)	42.7	46.5	89.2	-3.8	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	42.2	49.2	91.4	-7.0	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	42.5	47.1	89.7	-4.6	27%	80%
vs Similar (15)	43.2	42.5	85.7	+0.7	67%	67%
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MACC win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

HAPO win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MACC leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: HAPO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MACC:HAPO): MACC wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Hapoel Beer Sheva over 75.5	79.6%	1.35	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +13	85.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +13.5	85.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva over 78.5	70.4%	1.53	Betano 1.57	1xBet 1.49	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva over 77.5	73.6%	1.44	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.41	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva over 74.5	82.3%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva over 76.5	76.7%	1.38	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +8	72.7%	1.48	Pinnacle 1.53	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.39	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Over 157	77.4%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +10	78.5%	1.32	Bet365 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.26	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +10.5	79.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.35	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +11.5	81.4%	1.30	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.27	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +12.5	83.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +9	75.7%	1.38	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +11	81.0%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.28	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +12	83.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +7.5	70.5%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.56	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.44	1xBet 1.40	+10.5pp	Won
Over 156.5	77.9%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +9.5	76.4%	1.34	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.30	1xBet 1.27	-	+10.3pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva +8.5	73.5%	1.41	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.36	1xBet 1.33	-	+10.2pp	Won
Hapoel Beer Sheva over 69.5	92.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Over 157.5	76.0%	1.40	Marathon Bet 1.42	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.37	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Over 154.5	81.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Over 158	75.5%	1.42	Marathon Bet 1.44	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Over 159	73.5%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.43	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Over 149.5	88.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Over 160	71.4%	1.48	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.46	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Over 159.5	72.0%	1.45	Bet365 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Over 158.5	74.1%	1.41	Marathon Bet 1.42	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.39	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Over 155.5	79.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Over 150.5	87.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Over 144.5	93.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Over 139.5	96.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 73.5	87.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 145.5	92.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 140.5	96.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 71.5	91.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 70.5	92.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 78.5	74.5%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 74.5	85.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 79.5	71.3%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 72.5	89.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod under 95.5	83.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 75.5	83.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	-
Under 190.5	89.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Under 189.5	88.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Under 185.5	83.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Under 184.5	81.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-4.3pp	Won
Under 180.5	75.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won
Under 179.5	73.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.3pp	Lost
Hapoel Beer Sheva under 89.5	70.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-9.5pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Maccabi Ashdodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Ashdod: 69.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game

50%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	16.3	43.4%	53.3%	32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.3	36.9%	34.3%	31.0
🏀 Free throws	9.3	6.0	64.3%	73.7%	6.0

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Hapoel Beer Shevatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Beer Sheva: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game

50%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	20.1	47.5%	53.3%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.2	32.3%	34.3%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	17.3	11.4	65.9%	73.7%	11.4

They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.0	50.5%	53.3%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	6.7	29.0%	34.3%	20.0
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.0	69.8%	73.7%	10.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	24.6	60.7%	53.3%	49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.0	34.7%	34.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.2	76.8%	73.7%	19.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	19.9	51.0%	53.3%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	10.0	34.7%	34.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.3	75.1%	73.7%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.0	50.5%	53.3%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	6.7	29.0%	34.3%	20.0
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.0	69.8%	73.7%	10.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	23.7	57.7%	53.3%	47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.6	35.4%	34.3%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.4	73.1%	73.7%	17.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Maccabi Ashdod

LLWWWWLWWL

Hapoel Beer Sheva

LLLLLLLWLL

League position

#14

+4.6

Net rating

-17.6

87.2

Offensive rating

86.1

82.6

Defensive rating

103.7

48.5%

Effective FG%

47.9%

47.7%

Opp. effective FG%

57.4%

15.7%

Turnover %

16.6%

0.14

Free-throw rate

0.24

36.9%

3-point %

32.3%

55.0%

Assist %

61.1%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Maccabi Ashdod ■ Hapoel Beer Sheva

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Maccabi Ashdod wins

Hapoel Beer Sheva wins

Date	Game	Score
02/07/20	Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Ashdod	85-80
29/02/20	Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Ashdod	101-77
22/12/19	Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Beer Sheva	77-79
07/04/19	Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Ashdod	88-97
11/03/19	Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Beer Sheva	84-99
17/12/18	Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Ashdod	87-70
02/10/18	Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Beer Sheva	95-97 OT

Maccabi Ashdodlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/26	H	Galil Elyon	66-77
18/10/26	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	67-81
12/10/26	H	Nes Ziona	76-62
11/06/26	H	Ironi Nahariya	94-83
08/06/26	A	Ironi Nahariya	86-82
04/06/26	H	Ironi Nahariya	85-70
31/05/26	A	Ironi Nahariya	108-114 OT
27/05/26	A	Otef Darom	82-79
24/05/26	H	Otef Darom	110-84
19/05/26	A	Otef Darom	67-71

Hapoel Beer Shevalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/10/26	H	Hapoel Holon	75-91
17/10/26	A	Hapoel Jerusalem	74-88
11/10/26	H	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	82-95
03/06/26	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	83-108
01/06/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	90-106
27/05/26	H	Elitzur Maccabi Netanya	79-83
20/05/26	A	Hapoel Jerusalem	87-103
15/05/26	H	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan	101-95
10/05/26	H	Nes Ziona	68-105
06/05/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Ashdod

Super League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLL	33%
Home	WL	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	69.7	71.0	67.0
Allowed / game	73.3	69.5	81.0
Point differential	-3.7	+1.5	-14.0
Avg total	143.0	140.5	148.0
Over 165.75	0%	0%	0%
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Super League 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	77.0	78.5	74.0
Allowed / game	91.3	93.0	88.0
Point differential	-14.3	-14.5	-14.0
Avg total	168.3	171.5	162.0
Over 165.75	67%	100%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hapoel Jerusalem	4	4	0	100%	84.5	70.2	+14.2
2	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	4	3	1	75%	85.2	76.5	+8.8
3	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan	4	3	1	75%	91.5	87.0	+4.5
4	Maccabi Tel Aviv	4	2	2	50%	103.2	95.0	+8.2
5	Ironi Eilat	4	2	2	50%	84.5	83.2	+1.2
6	Nes Ziona	4	2	2	50%	79.5	79.8	-0.2
7	Bnei Herzliya	4	2	2	50%	91.2	93.8	-2.5
8	Ironi Kiryat Ata	4	2	2	50%	90.0	94.5	-4.5
9	Galil Elyon	4	2	2	50%	87.0	92.2	-5.2
10	Maccabi Ashdod	3	1	2	33%	69.7	73.3	-3.7
11	Hapoel Holon	3	1	2	33%	76.3	81.7	-5.3
12	Maccabi Rishon	3	1	2	33%	77.7	86.3	-8.7
13	Hapoel HaEmek	4	1	3	25%	77.0	77.5	-0.5
14	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	0	3	0%	77.0	91.3	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Maccabi Ashdod	25	25	18	20	88
Hapoel Beer Sheva	17	27	23	25	92

← all games of the day

Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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