PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga LeumitRound 7
Maccabi Kiryat Gat will host Elitzur Maccabi Netanya on 17 November 2026 in the Liga Leumit, with the model rating Netanya as the favourite because of their 4-1 record and an average of 85.4 points scored against only 72.0 allowed, placing them second in the league, while Kiryat Gat sits 13th with a 1-3 record and 76.8 points per game to 85.5 allowed; Netanya's home-court advantage is not relevant here but their road performance is strong, 2-1 with 78.7 points scored and 70.0 allowed. Kiryat Gat's season shows a 1-1 home record, 82.0 points per game, 87.5 allowed, and they have lost three of their last five, including a 84-96 defeat at home to Maccabi Raanana, whereas Netanya has won four of five, including a 88-83 home win over Elitzur Ashkelon and a 88-78 road win over Elitzur Yavne. The Pythia model gives Netanya an 89% chance of winning against Kiryat Gat's 11%, projecting a 77-91 score for a total of 168.1 points, with a 2% chance of overtime. The home team's line is not listed, so no cover probability is provided, and the game ends with Netanya's projected 91 points.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 76.8 | 85.5 | 162.2 | -8.8 | 25% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.0 | 87.5 | 169.5 | -5.5 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 71.5 | 83.5 | 155.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.5 | 83.9 | 167.4 | -0.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.6 | 84.6 | 164.2 | -5.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 76.0 | 90.9 | 166.9 | -14.9 | 10% |
| vs Similar (16) | 84.4 | 87.1 | 171.4 | -2.7 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 91.0 | 79.2 | 170.2 | +11.8 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 86.7 | 71.2 | 157.8 | +15.5 | 83% |
| Season at home (3) | 94.7 | 72.3 | 167.0 | +22.3 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 78.7 | 70.0 | 148.7 | +8.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.9 | 77.2 | 165.1 | +10.7 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.8 | 74.0 | 162.8 | +14.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 80.1 | 94.3 | 174.4 | -14.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (15) | 86.1 | 85.4 | 171.5 | +0.7 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 86.7 | 71.2 | 157.8 | +15.5 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 43.2 | 84.8 | -1.6 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.4 | 42.3 | 86.7 | +2.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.8 | 44.1 | 82.9 | -5.3 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.2 | 41.9 | 87.1 | +3.3 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.6 | 42.0 | 83.6 | -0.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 37.8 | 46.1 | 83.9 | -8.3 | 20% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 42.1 | 43.1 | 85.2 | -1.1 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 49.2 | 36.0 | 85.2 | +13.2 | 75% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.3 | 42.7 | 86.0 | +0.6 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.7 | 41.8 | 86.5 | +2.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.1 | 43.5 | 85.6 | -1.4 | 56% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.5 | 40.0 | 87.5 | +7.5 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.8 | 39.0 | 85.8 | +7.8 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 39.1 | 46.8 | 85.9 | -7.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 44.5 | 42.7 | 87.2 | +1.9 | 53% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 46.5 | 36.7 | 83.2 | +9.8 | 83% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 47.2 | 26.1 | 55.3% | - | 52.2 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.1 | 8.9 | 32.8% | - | 26.7 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 12.3 | 70.7% | - | 12.3 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Hapoel Haifa | 80-79 |
| 30/10/26 | A | H. Hevel Modiin | 75-79 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Maccabi Raanana | 84-96 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Elitzur Ashkelon | 68-88 |
| 27/05/26 | A | Maccabi Haifa | 91-81 |
| 24/05/26 | H | Elitzur Yavne | 70-80 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 80-105 |
| 12/05/26 | H | Migdal Haemek | 89-78 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Safed | 98-90 |
| 05/05/26 | H | Maccabi Maale Adumim | 100-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | H. Hevel Modiin | 93-67 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Maccabi Raanana | 72-75 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Elitzur Ashkelon | 88-83 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Elitzur Yavne | 88-78 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Migdal Haemek | 103-67 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Elitzur Shomron | 76-57 |
| 22/06/26 | A | Galil Elyon | 84-89 |
| 17/06/26 | H | Maccabi Raanana | 89-77 |
| 14/06/26 | A | Nes Ziona | 102-88 |
| 09/06/26 | H | Nes Ziona | 84-91 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLW | 25% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.8 | 82.0 | 71.5 |
| Allowed / game | 85.5 | 87.5 | 83.5 |
| Point differential | -8.8 | -5.5 | -12.0 |
| Avg total | 162.2 | 169.5 | 155.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 83% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 86.7 | 94.7 | 78.7 |
| Allowed / game | 71.2 | 72.3 | 70.0 |
| Point differential | +15.5 | +22.3 | +8.7 |
| Avg total | 157.8 | 167.0 | 148.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elitzur Maccabi Netanya | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 86.7 | 71.2 | +15.5 |
| 2 |  Maccabi Raanana | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 80.7 | 75.0 | +5.7 |
| 3 |  Ironi Nahariya | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 84.4 | 74.2 | +10.2 |
| 4 |  Ramat Hasharon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.0 | 80.5 | +2.5 |
| 5 |  Maccabi Rehovot | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.2 | 73.7 | +11.5 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Haifa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.6 | 73.2 | +10.4 |
| 7 | Otef Darom | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 82.4 | 78.2 | +4.2 |
| 8 | Elitzur Shomron | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 78.8 | 76.8 | +2.0 |
| 9 |  Maccabi Petah Tikva | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 91.4 | 91.0 | +0.4 |
| 10 |  Elitzur Ashkelon | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 84.6 | 89.2 | -4.6 |
| 11 |  Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 87.5 | 90.0 | -2.5 |
| 12 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.8 | 85.5 | -8.8 |
| 13 | H. Hevel Modiin | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 70.2 | 81.2 | -11.0 |
| 14 |  Elitzur Yavne | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 69.3 | 87.3 | -18.0 |
| 15 |  Migdal Haemek | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 72.2 | 94.4 | -22.2 |
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