PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga LeumitRound 6
Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin will host Elitzur Shomron on 15 November 2026 in the Liga Leumit, with the model favouring the visitors who hold a 3-2 record, 78.8 points per game and 76.8 points allowed per game, while the home side sits 1-3, 87.5 points scored and 90.0 points allowed; the home team has won its sole home game 99-90 but has lost four of its last five, including a 83-90 defeat to Ramat Hasharon, whereas the visitors have won both of their road outings, 96.5 points per game and 85.0 points allowed, and have beaten Maccabi Petah Tikva 105-84 away. Their last meeting ended 84-87 in favour of the visitors, and the model projects a 84-87 score with a total of 171.4 points, giving Elitzur Shomron a 61% chance of winning and a 39% chance for Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin. The home line is -1.0 with a 37% probability of covering, the over line is 169.0 with a 55% chance of going over, and the game has a 5% chance of overtime. The visitors' recent 105-84 win over Maccabi Petah Tikva suggests they will continue to outscore the home side.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 87.5 | 90.0 | 177.5 | -2.5 | 25% |
| Season at home (1) | 99.0 | 90.0 | 189.0 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 83.7 | 90.0 | 173.7 | -6.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.3 | 98.1 | 186.4 | -9.8 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.8 | 100.2 | 194.0 | -6.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (24) | 86.5 | 93.5 | 180.0 | -7.0 | 29% |
| vs Similar (6) | 86.0 | 91.2 | 177.2 | -5.2 | 17% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 78.8 | 76.8 | 155.6 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 67.0 | 71.3 | 138.3 | -4.3 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 96.5 | 85.0 | 181.5 | +11.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.8 | 80.4 | 159.2 | -1.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 76.8 | 155.6 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 75.8 | 84.5 | 160.4 | -8.7 | 31% |
| vs Similar (14) | 83.9 | 81.5 | 165.4 | +2.4 | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 84.3 | 77.7 | 162.0 | +6.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.2 | 47.2 | 91.3 | -3.0 | 37% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 45.6 | 44.9 | 90.5 | +0.7 | 46% | 77% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 43.1 | 48.9 | 91.9 | -5.8 | 29% | 76% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 51.6 | 94.6 | -8.6 | 10% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.8 | 57.2 | 103.0 | -11.4 | 0% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (24) | 44.6 | 47.2 | 91.9 | -2.6 | 42% | 75% |
| vs Similar (6) | 42.3 | 46.8 | 89.2 | -4.5 | 17% | 83% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.2 | 43.2 | 81.4 | -5.1 | 30% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.2 | 42.8 | 80.0 | -5.5 | 31% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 39.2 | 43.8 | 83.0 | -4.6 | 29% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.1 | 41.6 | 78.7 | -4.5 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 40.2 | 79.0 | -1.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 35.0 | 46.0 | 81.0 | -11.0 | 15% | 46% |
| vs Similar (14) | 41.1 | 40.1 | 81.1 | +1.0 | 50% | 43% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 38.3 | 46.0 | 84.3 | -7.7 | 0% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elitzur Shomron +3 | 70.0% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp |
| Elitzur Shomron +3.5 | 70.9% | 1.46 | 1.56 | 1.45 | 1.37 | - | - | +12.5pp |
| Elitzur Shomron over 79.5 | 77.6% | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +10.5pp |
| Over 161.5 | 71.8% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp |
| Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin under 89.5 | 70.3% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Ramat Hasharon | 83-90 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 99-90 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Otef Darom | 83-87 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Maccabi Rehovot | 85-93 |
| 04/06/21 | A | Hapoel Acre | 119-141 |
| 02/06/21 | H | Elitzur Yavne | 85-104 |
| 31/05/21 | A | Maccabi Raanana | 87-115 |
| 29/05/21 | H | Ramat Hasharon | 75-93 |
| 07/05/21 | H | M. Hod Hasharon | 75-78 |
| 04/05/21 | A | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 92-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Ramat Hasharon | 70-77 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 105-84 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Otef Darom | 74-61 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Maccabi Rehovot | 88-86 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Elitzur Maccabi Netanya | 57-76 |
| 21/05/26 | A | Ironi Nahariya | 77-97 |
| 18/05/26 | H | Ironi Nahariya | 77-82 |
| 14/05/26 | A | Ironi Nahariya | 65-90 |
| 07/05/26 | H | Hapoel Haifa | 88-76 |
| 04/05/26 | A | Hapoel Haifa | 87-75 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWL | 25% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 87.5 | 99.0 | 83.7 |
| Allowed / game | 90.0 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | -2.5 | +9.0 | -6.3 |
| Avg total | 177.5 | 189.0 | 173.7 |
| Over 169.75 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 60% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 78.8 | 67.0 | 96.5 |
| Allowed / game | 76.8 | 71.3 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | +2.0 | -4.3 | +11.5 |
| Avg total | 155.6 | 138.3 | 181.5 |
| Over 169.75 | 40% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Elitzur Maccabi Netanya | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 86.7 | 71.2 | +15.5 |
| 2 |  Ironi Nahariya | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 85.0 | 75.0 | +10.0 |
| 3 |  Maccabi Raanana | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 80.7 | 75.0 | +5.7 |
| 4 |  Ramat Hasharon | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 84.6 | 81.2 | +3.4 |
| 5 |  Maccabi Rehovot | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.2 | 73.7 | +11.5 |
| 6 | Otef Darom | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.5 | 76.8 | +4.7 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Haifa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.6 | 73.2 | +10.4 |
| 8 | Elitzur Shomron | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 78.8 | 76.8 | +2.0 |
| 9 |  Maccabi Petah Tikva | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 91.4 | 91.0 | +0.4 |
| 10 |  Elitzur Ashkelon | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.2 | 87.2 | -5.0 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 87.5 | 90.0 | -2.5 |
| 12 |  Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 77.2 | 86.0 | -8.8 |
| 13 | H. Hevel Modiin | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 70.2 | 81.2 | -11.0 |
| 14 |  Elitzur Yavne | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 69.3 | 87.3 | -18.0 |
| 15 |  Migdal Haemek | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 74.2 | 93.8 | -19.7 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
