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Madagascar vs Senegal Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 66-99
19-22 12-32 17-28 18-17
Position#89
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Senegal 🏆
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Marius Ndiaye arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Madagascar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Senegal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MadagascarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mozambique
#11
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H17/08
African Championship
Mali
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H19/08
African Championship
Nigeria
#2
L
81-112
81
112
-31
A21/08
African Championship
Senegal
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A24/08
African Championship
South Africa
#14
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A25/08
African Championship
D.R. Congo
#65
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
14-18
23-18
18-23
23-14
7-13
17-23
16-24
19-25
30-30
13-20
19-37
13-26
19-21
20-25
23-20
13-18
23-14
21-12
25-17
11-29
21-16
29-16
18-26
158.3Avg total
74.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Last 10 (6)74.583.8158.3-9.317%
Last 5 (5)76.085.2161.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.088.4161.4-15.40%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)82.061.0143.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SenegalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egypt
#27
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A01/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H02/07
World Cup
Kenya
#85
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H03/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H26/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A24/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
89-63
89
63
+26
A26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
15-15
10-21
8-17
11-17
14-10
11-22
24-23
20-19
20-12
24-12
22-11
17-11
7-16
18-16
27-23
14-23
19-17
21-10
19-13
27-20
21-15
18-24
24-12
21-22
23-23
19-14
12-24
13-13
16-17
13-23
11-17
16-9
23-25
24-14
26-15
14-28
23-20
25-18
18-24
142.6Avg total
71.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.870.8142.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)77.475.4152.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.881.8149.5-14.025%
vs Similar (5)68.075.4143.4-7.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.664.2145.8+17.482%
This opponent (Madagascar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
MadagascarSenegal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MadagascarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mozambique
#11
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H17/08
African Championship
Mali
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H19/08
African Championship
Nigeria
#2
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A21/08
African Championship
Senegal
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/08
African Championship
South Africa
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A25/08
African Championship
D.R. Congo
#65
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A26/02
World Cup
74.5Avg total
34.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)34.240.374.5-6.233%-
Last 30 at home (2)28.031.559.5-3.550%-
Last 30 away (4)37.244.882.0-7.525%-
Last 10 (6)34.240.374.5-6.233%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.277.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.842.075.8-8.220%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SenegalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egypt
#27
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#48
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H02/07
World Cup
Kenya
#85
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H26/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A27/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A24/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H26/02
World Cup
69.9Avg total
34.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.571.6+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.533.270.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.735.872.5+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)34.435.569.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.477.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.838.571.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (5)32.836.669.4-3.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.432.072.4+8.471%-
This opponent (Madagascar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Madagascar wins
1
Senegal wins
DateGameScore
24/08/11Senegal v Madagascar92-75
Madagascarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AD.R. Congo79-87
25/08/11ASouth Africa82-61
24/08/11ASenegal75-92
21/08/11ANigeria81-112
19/08/11HMali63-74
17/08/11HMozambique67-77
Senegallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HIvory Coast80-90
26/02/23ACameroon89-63
25/02/23HTunisia53-70
24/02/23ASouth Sudan75-83
28/08/22HCameroon90-71
27/08/22ATunisia73-63
26/08/22HSouth Sudan69-66
03/07/22HKenya86-54
02/07/22HD.R. Congo60-72
01/07/22AEgypt43-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Madagascar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Senegal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total170.0170.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Croatia770100%94.369.6+24.7
4 Ivory Coast220100%93.069.5+23.5
5 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
6 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
7 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
8 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
9 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
10 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
11 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
12 Mali220100%85.075.0+10.0
13 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
14 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
15 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
16 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
17 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
18 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
19 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
20 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
21 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
22 Germany32167%86.775.3+11.3
23 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
24 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
25 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
28 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
29 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
34 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
35 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
36 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
37 Finland32167%78.777.0+1.7
38 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
39 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
40 Iceland32167%83.783.7+0.0
41 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
42 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
43 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
44 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
45 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
46 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
47 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
48 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
49 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
50 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
51 D.R. Congo21150%73.087.5-14.5
52 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
53 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
54 Israel31233%78.076.0+2.0
55 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
56 Lithuania31233%85.085.3-0.3
57 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
58 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
59 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
60 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
63 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
64 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
65 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
66 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
67 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
71 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
72 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
73 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
74 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
75 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
76 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
77 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
78 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
79 Belgium3030%71.379.0-7.7
80 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
81 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
82 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
85 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
86 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
87 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
88 Uganda2020%70.587.0-16.5
89 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
92 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
93 Cyprus3030%59.392.3-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Madagascar1912171866
Senegal2232281799
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