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Magnolia Hotshots vs Smart Gilas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2011
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 98-90 (OT)
17-20 20-22 26-25 23-19 12-4
Position#6
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game89.6
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Magnolia Hotshots winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Smart Gilas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Magnolia HotshotsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H07/01
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A09/01
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A12/01
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A14/01
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A23/02
Commissioners Cup
Powerade Tigers
#9
L
96-103
96
103
-7
H26/02
Commissioners Cup
Air21 Express
#5
W
121-92
121
92
+29
H02/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A06/03
Commissioners Cup
Alaska Aces
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A18/03
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
15-24
17-26
27-17
20-15
28-20
28-22
22-36
31-20
17-31
21-22
14-24
18-19
17-23
18-31
19-16
28-28
19-23
27-26
20-18
20-23
28-20
19-38
29-22
28-15
36-27
37-20
20-30
26-11
16-27
26-30
28-21
24-28
23-19
20-27
24-23
15-17
22-21
25-24
24-27
185.1Avg total
91.5Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.394.2191.5+3.233%
Season at home (2)108.597.5206.0+11.050%
Season away (4)91.892.5184.2-0.825%
Last 10 (10)91.593.6185.1-2.130%
Last 5 (5)98.094.0192.0+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.892.2178.0-6.430%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.286.7175.9+2.658%
vs Weaker (6)94.288.0182.2+6.250%
This opponent (Smart Gilas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Smart GilasPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mahram
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H25/05
Asia Champions Cup
Duhok
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A26/05
Asia Champions Cup
Al-Riyadi
#3
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A28/05
Asia Champions Cup
Al-Jalaa
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H29/05
Asia Champions Cup
Al-Hilal
#9
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
A30/05
Asia Champions Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
W
103-98
103
98
+5
A25/02
Commissioners Cup
Alaska Aces
#4
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
H04/03
Commissioners Cup
Air21 Express
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A09/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
109-68
109
68
+41
A12/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A18/03
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
17-15
20-24
19-24
18-22
18-12
16-19
24-21
10-9
24-25
13-22
16-18
21-14
21-17
17-26
22-26
14-20
27-27
24-19
21-20
28-25
22-26
28-29
25-18
24-24
13-20
26-9
21-31
22-23
30-23
26-28
24-25
18-8
26-22
31-11
34-27
24-21
23-26
27-17
25-30
175.6Avg total
89.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)100.889.6190.4+11.2100%
Season at home (1)91.089.0180.0+2.0100%
Season away (4)103.289.8193.0+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.686.0175.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)100.889.6190.4+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.485.4160.8-10.020%
vs Similar ◀ (1)71.077.0148.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (6)96.286.5182.7+9.7100%
This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
Magnolia HotshotsSmart Gilas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Magnolia HotshotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H07/01
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/01
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/01
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/01
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/02
Commissioners Cup
Powerade Tigers
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/02
Commissioners Cup
Air21 Express
#5
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H02/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A06/03
Commissioners Cup
Alaska Aces
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/03
Commissioners Cup
88.6Avg total
45.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)43.042.585.5+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.543.785.3-2.236%-
Last 30 away (17)43.941.685.6+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.688.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.689.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.644.585.1-3.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.841.084.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (6)45.542.087.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Smart Gilas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Smart GilasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mahram
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H25/05
Asia Champions Cup
Duhok
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/05
Asia Champions Cup
Al-Riyadi
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A28/05
Asia Champions Cup
Al-Jalaa
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H29/05
Asia Champions Cup
Al-Hilal
#9
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/05
Asia Champions Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A25/02
Commissioners Cup
Alaska Aces
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H04/03
Commissioners Cup
Air21 Express
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A09/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A18/03
Commissioners Cup
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)40.639.580.1+1.142%-
Last 30 at home (4)38.237.275.5+1.050%-
Last 30 away (8)41.840.682.4+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.689.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.038.078.0+2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)30.036.066.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (6)42.841.384.2+1.550%-
This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Magnolia Hotshots wins
0
Smart Gilas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/11AMeralco Bolts86-89
13/03/11AAlaska Aces91-97
06/03/11ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel96-89
02/03/11HAir21 Express121-92
26/02/11HPowerade Tigers96-103
23/02/11ARain or Shine Elasto Painters94-95
14/01/11ATNT Tropang Giga72-89
12/01/11ATNT Tropang Giga83-97
09/01/11ATNT Tropang Giga98-93
07/01/11HTNT Tropang Giga78-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/11ARain or Shine Elasto Painters99-94
12/03/11ASan Miguel Beermen109-68
09/03/11AAir21 Express102-99
04/03/11HAlaska Aces91-89 OT
25/02/11ATNT Tropang Giga103-98
30/05/10AAl-Hilal100-95 OT
29/05/10HAl-Jalaa81-83
28/05/10AAl-Riyadi63-74
26/05/10ADuhok76-74
25/05/10HMahram72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Magnolia Hotshots
Commissioners Cup 2011
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game97.3108.591.8
Allowed / game94.297.592.5
Point differential+3.2+11.0-0.8
Avg total191.5206.0184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Smart Gilas
Commissioners Cup 2011
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.891.0103.2
Allowed / game89.689.089.8
Point differential+11.2+2.0+13.5
Avg total190.4180.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %20%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Smart Gilas550100%100.889.6+11.2
2 TNT Tropang Giga65183%101.592.8+8.7
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel64267%101.793.5+8.2
4 Alaska Aces64267%93.889.5+4.3
5 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters63350%93.795.0-1.3
6 Magnolia Hotshots62433%97.394.2+3.2
7 Powerade Tigers62433%91.399.3-8.0
8 Air21 Express62433%95.5104.2-8.7
9 Meralco Bolts51420%94.8100.2-5.4
10 San Miguel Beermen61517%87.398.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Magnolia Hotshots172026231298
Smart Gilas20222519490
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