Maia vs Belenenses Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 91-71

21-18 26-16 25-16 19-21

Position#8

Record7-9

FormLWLWW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game77.3

Maia 🏆

Belenenses

Position#13

Record7-10

FormLWWLL

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game87.1

Proliga

Other2022-23

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Belenenses winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galomar

74-78

-4

H03/12

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

63-76

-13

A08/12

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

74-69

H18/12

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

68-74

-6

A07/01

Proliga

Vasco Da Gama

94-92 OT

H14/01

Proliga

Illiabum

67-72

-5

A21/01

Proliga

Academica

76-70

H28/01

Proliga

Galomar

75-82

-7

A05/02

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

96-81

+15

A18/02

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

91-78

+13

A04/03

Proliga

23-19

10-26

22-16

19-17

13-22

16-15

17-19

17-20

13-19

20-16

17-8

24-26

9-19

27-20

18-8

14-27

23-17

17-24

21-24

21-17

7-17

17-15

24-22

19-18

18-16

23-21

23-16

12-17

22-14

24-22

15-22

14-24

25-22

30-23

16-11

25-25

28-13

13-24

24-16

26-25

155.0Avg total

77.8Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	75.6	77.3	152.9	-1.7	44%
Season at home (7)	76.6	73.4	150.0	+3.1	71%
Season away (9)	74.9	80.3	155.2	-5.4	22%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	77.2	155.0	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	76.6	157.6	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	66.8	70.5	137.3	-3.7	17%
vs Similar (15)	73.5	77.7	151.2	-4.1	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	77.6	67.7	145.2	+9.9	78%

This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Belenenses Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos Barreiro

78-82

-4

A08/12

Proliga

Santo Andre

89-108

108

-19

H18/12

Proliga

Portimonense

77-75

H07/01

Proliga

CA Queluz

#11

78-87

-9

A14/01

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

97-85

+12

H21/01

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

82-88

-6

A28/01

Proliga

Benfica Lisboa B

#12

91-84

H05/02

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

89-76

+13

H19/02

Proliga

Academica

78-80

-2

H26/02

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

82-87

-5

H05/03

Proliga

16-27

18-19

18-12

26-24

17-29

31-28

16-18

25-33

17-18

21-16

16-16

23-25

23-15

19-18

25-25

11-29

27-22

18-20

28-26

24-17

22-15

26-32

17-27

17-14

17-20

23-31

24-21

27-12

23-16

25-21

16-23

25-16

18-22

17-15

20-21

23-22

32-26

15-21

23-20

12-20

169.3Avg total

84.1Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	85.0	87.1	172.1	-2.1	41%
Season at home (10)	86.7	89.2	175.9	-2.5	40%
Season away (7)	82.6	84.0	166.6	-1.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	85.2	169.3	-1.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	83.0	167.4	+1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	76.9	85.2	162.1	-8.4	29%
vs Similar (15)	87.1	84.5	171.6	+2.5	53%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	54.0	136.0	+28.0	100%

This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MaiaBelenenses

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	16.6	34.1	+0.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	14.1	31.1	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.8	36.8	-0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.5	16.0	29.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.9	15.8	34.7	+3.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.8	42.4	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.8	22.9	41.6	-4.1	21%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.5	21.9	44.3	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	7.0	23.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.3	37.1	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	19.3	35.7	-3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.7	17.8	35.4	-0.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.3	38.1	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.1	20.3	41.3	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	10.0	32.0	+12.0	100%	-

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galomar

33-45

-12

H03/12

Proliga

Galitos Aveiro

29-37

-8

A08/12

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

33-35

-2

H18/12

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

36-39

-3

A07/01

Proliga

Vasco Da Gama

40-41

-1

H14/01

Proliga

Illiabum

24-32

-8

A21/01

Proliga

Academica

41-37

H28/01

Proliga

Galomar

46-36

+10

A05/02

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

55-45

+10

A18/02

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

41-37

A04/03

Proliga

76.2Avg total

37.8Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	36.0	71.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.3	32.6	65.9	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	38.9	75.8	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.4	78.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	29.8	35.3	65.2	-5.5	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.5	37.7	74.2	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	36.6	33.6	70.1	+3.0	56%	-

This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BelenensesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos Barreiro

34-46

-12

A08/12

Proliga

Santo Andre

48-57

-9

H18/12

Proliga

Portimonense

38-34

H07/01

Proliga

CA Queluz

#11

42-33

A14/01

Proliga

Barreirense

#10

45-42

H21/01

Proliga

Ginasio Olhanense

#15

48-47

A28/01

Proliga

Benfica Lisboa B

#12

40-51

-11

H05/02

Proliga

Electrico FC

#16

48-37

+11

H19/02

Proliga

Academica

35-37

-2

H26/02

Proliga

Sampaense

#14

47-47

H05/03

Proliga

85.6Avg total

42.5Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.5	82.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	43.9	86.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	40.8	78.6	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	43.1	85.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	43.8	87.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.1	44.6	81.7	-7.6	21%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.5	42.1	85.7	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	17.0	55.0	+21.0	100%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.1	35.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	16.1	35.6	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.2	35.9	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.5	18.8	36.3	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.6	12.8	32.3	+6.8	89%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	17.6	35.1	-0.2	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	16.4	33.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	15.7	32.7	+1.3	83%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.4	21.3	42.8	+0.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.6	37.2	-0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.6	20.6	40.3	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	36.5	73.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	32.5	69.4	+4.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	39.9	77.9	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.0	35.2	72.2	+1.8	83%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.5	38.4	73.9	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.0	34.1	75.1	+6.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.8	79.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	41.7	83.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	37.6	76.4	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	42.1	83.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.1	38.3	75.4	-1.2	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.7	41.4	84.1	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	37.0	81.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Maia wins

Belenenses wins

No previous meetings.

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	A	Barreirense	91-78
18/02/23	A	Ginasio Olhanense	96-81
05/02/23	A	Galomar	75-82
28/01/23	H	Academica	76-70
21/01/23	A	Illiabum	67-72
14/01/23	H	Vasco Da Gama	94-92 OT
07/01/23	A	Electrico FC	68-74
18/12/22	H	Sampaense	74-69
08/12/22	A	Galitos Aveiro	63-76
03/12/22	H	Galomar	74-78

Belenenseslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/23	H	Sampaense	82-87
26/02/23	H	Academica	78-80
19/02/23	H	Electrico FC	89-76
05/02/23	H	Benfica Lisboa B	91-84
28/01/23	A	Ginasio Olhanense	82-88
21/01/23	H	Barreirense	97-85
14/01/23	A	CA Queluz	78-87
07/01/23	H	Portimonense	77-75
18/12/22	H	Santo Andre	89-108
08/12/22	A	Galitos Barreiro	78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia

Proliga 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	44%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	LLLWW	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	44%	71%	22%
Points / game	75.6	76.6	74.9
Allowed / game	77.3	73.4	80.3
Point differential	-1.7	+3.1	-5.4
Avg total	152.9	150.0	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	14%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	60% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	14%	0%

Belenenses

Proliga 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	41%
Home	WWWLL	40%
Away	WWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	41%	40%	43%
Points / game	85.0	86.7	82.6
Allowed / game	87.1	89.2	84.0
Point differential	-2.1	-2.5	-1.4
Avg total	172.1	175.9	166.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	25% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Galomar	17	16	1	94%	84.5	70.8	+13.7
2	Illiabum	18	13	5	72%	80.3	72.1	+8.2
3	Santo Andre	18	13	5	72%	84.9	79.7	+5.3
4	Galitos Barreiro	17	12	5	71%	82.5	76.1	+6.4
5	Portimonense	18	11	7	61%	76.9	74.1	+2.8
6	Galitos Aveiro	18	11	7	61%	75.8	75.2	+0.7
7	Vasco Da Gama	18	10	8	56%	82.0	81.3	+0.7
8	Academica	17	9	8	53%	77.5	73.5	+4.0
9	Maia	16	7	9	44%	75.6	77.3	-1.7
10	Belenenses	17	7	10	41%	85.0	87.1	-2.1
11	CA Queluz	19	7	12	37%	85.8	86.5	-0.7
12	Benfica Lisboa B	17	5	12	29%	71.1	79.8	-8.6
13	Ginasio Olhanense	18	5	13	28%	79.7	82.2	-2.4
14	Barreirense	18	5	13	28%	84.1	90.3	-6.2
15	Sampaense	18	5	13	28%	76.2	85.6	-9.3
16	Electrico FC	18	5	13	28%	69.5	79.6	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Maia	21	26	25	19	91
Belenenses	18	16	16	21	71

← all games of the day

Maia vs Belenenses Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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