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Malbas Malmo W vs Alvik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-73
30-18 23-12 19-24 15-19
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.4
Malbas Malmo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Alvik W
Sweden
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game66.8
SwedenBasketligan W· Heleneholms Sporthall
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas Malmo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Team4Q W
#25
W
118-44
118
44
+74
107avg 70
A02/04
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
35avg 70
H13/04
Basketettan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 70
H28/09
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
59-86
59
86
-27
44avg 70
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
73-70
73
70
+3
56avg 70
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 70
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
56avg 70
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 70
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
68avg 70
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
71-65
71
65
+6
62avg 70
A08/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
28-11
26-12
36-10
7-11
10-12
16-13
13-16
21-25
27-21
13-17
17-27
11-27
14-19
9-19
25-21
25-16
21-16
15-23
12-15
19-22
24-20
28-19
17-12
22-17
13-28
21-22
7-21
26-22
15-23
27-21
17-18
20-20
26-23
12-19
17-17
21-17
17-13
17-16
16-19
148.7Avg total
75.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.079.4153.4-5.450%
Season at home (4)75.580.2155.8-4.850%
Season away (4)72.578.5151.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)75.673.1148.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)76.477.8154.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.783.3158.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (2)58.564.0122.5-5.50%
vs Weaker (22)83.552.5135.9+31.0100%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#10
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 65
H16/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
59avg 65
H22/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
48avg 65
H27/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
59-73
59
73
-14
42avg 65
A30/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
56avg 65
H05/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
86-32
86
32
+54
82avg 65
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
59-78
59
78
-19
49avg 65
H22/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
58avg 65
A31/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
67-52
67
52
+15
60avg 65
A01/11
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 65
H08/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-22
26-9
24-20
16-17
15-11
17-20
21-13
13-26
16-16
21-20
18-20
19-19
10-19
19-22
11-13
16-20
10-19
20-21
13-21
29-4
19-9
14-10
24-9
16-16
4-21
16-26
23-15
17-14
11-28
12-22
23-20
16-19
16-13
15-9
20-11
15-27
18-16
18-19
26-12
137.9Avg total
69.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.566.8135.3+1.750%
Season at home (4)70.266.2136.5+4.050%
Season away (2)65.068.0133.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)69.168.8137.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)70.464.0134.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.186.7153.8-19.513%
vs Similar ◀ (2)77.091.5168.5-14.550%
vs Weaker (13)82.165.3147.4+16.8100%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
Malbas Malmo WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team4Q W
#25
W
56-22
56
22
+34
A02/04
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
17-23
17
23
-6
H13/04
Basketettan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/09
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/11
Basketligan W
76.9Avg total
39.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.729.471.1+12.387%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.029.770.7+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)42.329.171.4+13.387%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.476.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.081.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.744.584.2-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)28.524.052.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (22)43.425.869.2+17.6100%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H16/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H22/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H27/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H05/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
48-13
48
13
+35
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H22/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A31/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/11
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H08/11
Basketligan W
66.6Avg total
31.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.874.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.836.971.8-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.440.978.3-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)31.035.666.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.465.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.343.275.5-10.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.042.581.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker (13)39.933.173.0+6.862%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.719.1
42.7%
46.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.0
30.3%
31.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.915.6
71.2%
72.5%15.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 64.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.4
45.2%
46.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.1
29.5%
31.2%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.711.5
68.9%
72.5%11.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas Malmo W
WLWLWWLLLW
Alvik W
WWLLWLLLWW
#8
League position
#10
+1.2
Net rating
+3.7
96.9
Offensive rating
94.3
95.7
Defensive rating
90.7
43.7%
Effective FG%
44.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
42.3%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.3%
3-point %
29.5%
58.2%
Assist %
66.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 94.3Defence95.7 · 90.7Shooting43.7% · 44.8%3-point %30.3% · 29.5%Ball care20.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds35.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Malbas Malmo W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas Malmo W wins
0
Alvik W wins
No previous meetings.
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AVisby W71-65
02/11/25AUppsala W75-79
01/11/25AOstersund W85-84
24/10/25HLulea W63-88
18/10/25HAIK Basket W88-73
11/10/25HBrahe W73-70
04/10/25ASodertalje W59-86
28/09/25HUppsala W78-90
13/04/25HBrahe W46-52
02/04/25ATeam4Q W118-44
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HBrahe W77-74
01/11/25ARIG Lulea W67-52
31/10/25ALulea W63-84
22/10/25HUppsala W59-78
19/10/25HRIG Lulea W86-32
05/10/25HLulea W59-81
30/03/25ASodertalje W59-73
27/03/25HSodertalje W68-82
22/03/25HSodertalje W69-61
16/03/25HOstersund W84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.075.572.5
Allowed / game79.480.278.5
Point differential-5.4-4.8-6.0
Avg total153.4155.8151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game68.570.265.0
Allowed / game66.866.268.0
Point differential+1.7+4.0-3.0
Avg total135.3136.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W990100%85.271.2+14.0
2 Lulea W98189%91.064.8+26.2
3 AIK Basket W75271%84.173.9+10.3
4 Norrkoping W85362%82.469.0+13.4
5 Sodertalje W74357%78.671.9+6.7
6 Hogsbo W84450%86.676.2+10.4
7 Alvik W63350%68.566.8+1.7
8 Malbas Malmo W84450%74.079.4-5.4
9 Ostersund W73443%79.178.4+0.7
10 Brahe W83538%71.074.8-3.8
11 Lund W71614%70.778.0-7.3
12 Visby W91811%61.985.7-23.8
13 RIG Lulea W91811%50.789.3-38.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas Malmo W3023191587
Alvik W1812241973
← all games of the day
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